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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. (HG) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 42.0% Spearman, 289 dates
Market Cap $3.63B mid-cap · #25 of 55 peers
Summary

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. (HG) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.63B. It ranks number 25 by market capitalization among the 55 Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For HG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 42.0%, measured on 289 forecast dates between 2023-12-08 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 31.0%, measured on 332 forecast dates between 2023-12-08 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, HG included.

Price

HG price chart and AI forecast

HG
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How HG ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. (HG) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricHGIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $3.63B $3.05B 25/55
P/E Ratio 6.18x 10.05x 39/49
P/B Ratio 1.24x 1.56x 38/54
EPS $5.98 – –
Book Value/Share $29.89 – –
Revenue/Share $32.12 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricHGIndustry medianRank
EBT Margin 28.3% 15.2% 10/51
Tax Rate -2.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricHGIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 2.64x 3.23x 41/55
Financial Leverage 3.69x 4.32x 38/53

Cash Flow

MetricHGIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $787M $443M 23/56
OCF Growth YoY -5.5% -3.7% 22/42

Operational Efficiency

MetricHGIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.29x 0.30x 28/51

Income Statement

MetricHGIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $3.15B $1.77B 24/55
SG&A Expense $276M $680M 8/11

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricHGIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 98M – –
EPS Growth 72.8% 19.2% 9/43

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$1.18B11.1% of assets
Total Liabilities$7.76B72.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

HG quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. (HG) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. (Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance): 56 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
HG Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. $3.63B 6.2x 1.2x
BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc $1.23T 14.3x 4.9x
CB Chubb Ltd $139.47B 12.8x 1.9x
PGR Progressive Corp/Oh/ $132.42B 11.5x 3.8x
TRV Travelers Companies, Inc. $82.57B 10.6x 2.9x
ALL Allstate Corp $64.43B 5.8x 2.0x
AIG American International Group, Inc. $40.65B 12.6x 1.1x
ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. $36.61B 8.8x 1.6x
HIG Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. $35.83B 8.1x 1.9x
CINF Cincinnati Financial Corp $28.47B 11.3x 1.8x
WRB Berkley W R Corp $27.93B 15.9x 2.9x
MKL Markel Group Inc. $23.71B 13.8x 1.3x
L Loews Corp $22.47B 15.4x 1.3x
EG Everest Group, Ltd. $15.23B 8.7x 1.1x
RNR Renaissancere Holdings Ltd $14.04B 12.1x 1.2x
AFG American Financial Group Inc $12.82B 12.6x 2.7x
CNA Cna Financial Corp $12.81B 15.7x 1.3x
KNSL Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. $8.64B 16.8x 4.5x
THG Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. $8.35B 11.6x 2.4x
AXS Axis Capital Holdings Ltd $7.60B 8.1x 1.2x
RLI Rli Corp $6.27B 13.7x 3.7x
SIGI Selective Insurance Group Inc $5.87B 12.0x 1.7x
WTM White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd $5.35B 6.0x 1.0x
MCY Mercury General Corp $4.58B 7.1x 1.6x
PLMR Palomar Holdings, Inc. $4.10B 19.5x 4.2x
SLDE Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc. $3.10B 5.1x 2.4x
LMND Lemonade, Inc. $3.06B – 6.5x
SPNT Siriuspoint Ltd $3.05B 6.2x 1.4x
SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. $2.84B 14.9x 2.2x
HCI Hci Group, Inc. $2.31B 7.5x 2.1x
PLGO Pelagos Insurance Capital Ltd $2.29B 7.7x 1.0x
HMN Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ $2.16B 12.7x 1.5x
KMPR Kemper Corp $2.08B – 1.0x
SAFT Safety Insurance Group Inc $1.53B 18.1x 1.8x
UVE Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. $1.29B 5.8x 2.0x
UFCS United Fire Group Inc $1.23B 8.1x 1.3x
ASIC Ategrity Specialty Insurance Co Holdings $1.16B 11.5x 1.8x
HRTG Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. $1.00B 4.2x 1.8x
HIPO Hippo Holdings Inc. $926M 54.4x 2.0x
EIG Employers Holdings, Inc. $830M 26.0x 1.1x
DGICA Donegal Group Inc $695M 10.1x 1.1x
ROOT Root, Inc. $672M 9.1x –
TIPT Tiptree Inc. $639M 1.5x 0.7x
AII American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. $528M 5.8x 1.4x
GLRE Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd. $525M 6.7x 0.8x
ACIC American Coastal Insurance Corp $475M 5.3x 1.3x
AMSF Amerisafe Inc $363M 9.0x 1.5x
NODK Ni Holdings, Inc. $314M 192.4x 1.3x
GBLI Global Indemnity Group, Llc $307M 9.3x 0.4x
KWY Kingsway Corp $277M – 28.0x
KINS Kingstone Companies, Inc. $274M 6.0x 2.1x
JRVR James River Group Holdings, Inc. $180M 4.7x 0.3x
KG Kestrel Group Ltd $32M – 0.3x
PRHI Presurance Holdings, Inc. $26M – 0.9x
OXBR Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd $6M – 1.0x
MHLA Maiden Holdings, Ltd. N/A – –

Where HG sits on the market map

Finance · Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
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News

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. (HG) stock news

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FAQ

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. (HG) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. (HG) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. stock predictions?

For HG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 42.0%, measured on 289 forecast dates between 2023-12-08 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 31.0%, measured on 332 forecast dates between 2023-12-08 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. forecasts updated?

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd.'s industry peers?

56 issuers in our coverage, HG included, share the SEC industry code Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance. The largest are: Berkshire Hathaway Inc (BRK-B), Chubb Ltd (CB), Progressive Corp/Oh/ (PGR), Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV), Allstate Corp (ALL), American International Group, Inc. (AIG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.