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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -20.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $82.57B large-cap · #4 of 55 peers
Summary

Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Travelers Companies, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Travelers Companies, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $82.57B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 55 Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For TRV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -20.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, TRV included.

Price

TRV price chart and AI forecast

TRV
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How TRV ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricTRVIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $82.57B $3.05B 4/55
P/E Ratio 10.59x 10.05x 24/49
P/B Ratio 2.85x 1.56x 9/54
Dividend Yield 1.21% 1.71% 24/32
EPS $38.04 – –
Book Value/Share $141.48 – –
Revenue/Share $238.70 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricTRVIndustry medianRank
ROE 28.7% 16.4% 9/50
ROA 5.9% 3.6% 16/49
Net Margin 17.0% 12.0% 14/50
EBT Margin 21.2% 15.2% 17/51
Tax Rate 19.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricTRVIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 3.90x 3.18x 17/55
Financial Leverage 4.90x 4.23x 17/53
Interest Coverage 9.8x 8.8x 5/12

Cash Flow

MetricTRVIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $10.68B $443M 5/56
OCF Growth YoY 6.9% -1.9% 18/43

Operational Efficiency

MetricTRVIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.34x 0.30x 19/51

Income Statement

MetricTRVIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $48.92B $1.77B 5/55
Net Income $8.33B $398M 4/50
SG&A Expense $6.23B $680M 1/11

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricTRVIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $4.88 – –
Payout Ratio 12.8% 14.5% 19/30
Shares Outstanding 205M – –
Net Income Growth 41.9% 10.8% 8/39
EPS Growth 49.6% 17.6% 12/43

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$766M0.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$113.09B79.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

TRV quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance

Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Travelers Companies, Inc. (Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance): 56 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
TRV Travelers Companies, Inc. $82.57B 10.6x 2.9x
BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc $1.23T 14.3x 4.9x
CB Chubb Ltd $139.47B 12.8x 1.9x
PGR Progressive Corp/Oh/ $132.42B 11.5x 3.8x
ALL Allstate Corp $64.43B 5.8x 2.0x
AIG American International Group, Inc. $40.65B 12.6x 1.1x
ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. $36.61B 8.8x 1.6x
HIG Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. $35.83B 8.1x 1.9x
CINF Cincinnati Financial Corp $28.47B 11.3x 1.8x
WRB Berkley W R Corp $27.93B 15.9x 2.9x
MKL Markel Group Inc. $23.71B 13.8x 1.3x
L Loews Corp $22.19B 15.2x 1.3x
EG Everest Group, Ltd. $15.23B 8.7x 1.1x
RNR Renaissancere Holdings Ltd $14.04B 12.1x 1.2x
AFG American Financial Group Inc $12.82B 12.6x 2.7x
CNA Cna Financial Corp $12.81B 15.7x 1.3x
KNSL Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. $8.64B 16.8x 4.5x
THG Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. $8.35B 11.6x 2.4x
AXS Axis Capital Holdings Ltd $7.60B 8.1x 1.2x
RLI Rli Corp $6.27B 13.7x 3.7x
SIGI Selective Insurance Group Inc $5.87B 12.0x 1.7x
WTM White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd $5.35B 6.0x 1.0x
MCY Mercury General Corp $4.58B 7.1x 1.6x
PLMR Palomar Holdings, Inc. $4.10B 19.5x 4.2x
HG Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. $3.63B 6.2x 1.2x
SLDE Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc. $3.10B 5.1x 2.4x
LMND Lemonade, Inc. $3.06B – 6.5x
SPNT Siriuspoint Ltd $3.05B 6.2x 1.4x
SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. $2.84B 14.9x 2.2x
HCI Hci Group, Inc. $2.31B 7.5x 2.1x
PLGO Pelagos Insurance Capital Ltd $2.29B 7.7x 1.0x
HMN Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ $2.16B 12.7x 1.5x
KMPR Kemper Corp $1.97B – 0.9x
SAFT Safety Insurance Group Inc $1.53B 18.1x 1.8x
UVE Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. $1.29B 5.8x 2.0x
UFCS United Fire Group Inc $1.23B 8.1x 1.3x
ASIC Ategrity Specialty Insurance Co Holdings $1.16B 11.5x 1.8x
HRTG Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. $988M 4.1x 1.7x
HIPO Hippo Holdings Inc. $929M 54.5x 2.0x
EIG Employers Holdings, Inc. $830M 26.0x 1.1x
DGICA Donegal Group Inc $695M 10.1x 1.1x
ROOT Root, Inc. $672M 9.1x –
TIPT Tiptree Inc. $639M 1.5x 0.7x
AII American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. $528M 5.8x 1.4x
GLRE Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd. $525M 6.7x 0.8x
ACIC American Coastal Insurance Corp $475M 5.3x 1.3x
AMSF Amerisafe Inc $363M 9.0x 1.5x
NODK Ni Holdings, Inc. $314M 192.4x 1.3x
GBLI Global Indemnity Group, Llc $307M 9.3x 0.4x
KINS Kingstone Companies, Inc. $296M 8.0x 2.2x
KWY Kingsway Corp $277M – 28.0x
JRVR James River Group Holdings, Inc. $180M 4.7x 0.3x
KG Kestrel Group Ltd $32M – 0.3x
PRHI Presurance Holdings, Inc. $26M – 0.9x
OXBR Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd $6M – 1.0x
MHLA Maiden Holdings, Ltd. N/A – –

Where TRV sits on the market map

Finance · Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
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News

Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) stock news

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FAQ

Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Travelers Companies, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Travelers Companies, Inc. stock predictions?

For TRV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -20.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Travelers Companies, Inc. forecasts updated?

Travelers Companies, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Travelers Companies, Inc.'s industry peers?

56 issuers in our coverage, TRV included, share the SEC industry code Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance. The largest are: Berkshire Hathaway Inc (BRK-B), Chubb Ltd (CB), Progressive Corp/Oh/ (PGR), Allstate Corp (ALL), American International Group, Inc. (AIG), Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.