Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Our AI scores Progressive Corp/Oh/ every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Progressive Corp/Oh/ is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $132.42B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 55 Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For PGR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -12.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -1.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, PGR included.
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance peers listed below that report each metric.
| Metric | PGR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $132.42B | 3/55 |
| P/E Ratio | 11.47x | 22/49 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.84x | 6/54 |
| EPS | $19.85 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $59.32 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $157.79 | – |
| FCF/Share | $26.19 | – |
| Metric | PGR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 33.7% | 6/50 |
| ROA | 9.1% | 5/49 |
| Net Margin | 12.7% | 23/50 |
| EBT Margin | 16.0% | 23/51 |
| Tax Rate | 20.9% | – |
| Metric | PGR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 2.70x | 37/55 |
| Financial Leverage | 3.70x | 36/53 |
| Metric | PGR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $15.66B | 3/56 |
| Free Cash Flow | $15.22B | 2/30 |
| Capital Spending | -$438M | 29/30 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -9.9% | 26/43 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -10.7% | 15/22 |
| FCF/Sales | 16.6% | 20/30 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.5% | 14/30 |
| Metric | PGR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.72x | 1/51 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 99.3x | 8/30 |
| Metric | PGR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $91.73B | 2/55 |
| Net Income | $11.62B | 2/50 |
| Metric | PGR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 581M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 8.5% | 24/39 |
| EPS Growth | 8.9% | 28/43 |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $141M | 0.1% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $93.26B | 73.0% of assets |
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Progressive Corp/Oh/ (Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance): 56 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| PGR Progressive Corp/Oh/ | $132.42B | |
| BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc | $1.23T | |
| CB Chubb Ltd | $139.47B | |
| TRV Travelers Companies, Inc. | $82.57B | |
| ALL Allstate Corp | $64.43B | |
| AIG American International Group, Inc. | $40.65B | |
| ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. | $36.61B | |
| HIG Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. | $35.83B | |
| CINF Cincinnati Financial Corp | $28.47B | |
| WRB Berkley W R Corp | $27.93B | |
| MKL Markel Group Inc. | $23.71B | |
| L Loews Corp | $22.19B | |
| EG Everest Group, Ltd. | $15.23B | |
| RNR Renaissancere Holdings Ltd | $14.04B | |
| AFG American Financial Group Inc | $12.82B | |
| CNA Cna Financial Corp | $12.81B | |
| KNSL Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. | $8.64B | |
| THG Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. | $8.35B | |
| AXS Axis Capital Holdings Ltd | $7.60B | |
| RLI Rli Corp | $6.27B | |
| SIGI Selective Insurance Group Inc | $5.87B | |
| WTM White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd | $5.35B | |
| MCY Mercury General Corp | $4.58B | |
| PLMR Palomar Holdings, Inc. | $4.10B | |
| HG Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. | $3.63B | |
| SLDE Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc. | $3.10B | |
| LMND Lemonade, Inc. | $3.06B | |
| SPNT Siriuspoint Ltd | $3.05B | |
| SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. | $2.84B | |
| HCI Hci Group, Inc. | $2.31B | |
| PLGO Pelagos Insurance Capital Ltd | $2.29B | |
| HMN Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ | $2.16B | |
| KMPR Kemper Corp | $1.97B | |
| SAFT Safety Insurance Group Inc | $1.53B | |
| UVE Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. | $1.29B | |
| UFCS United Fire Group Inc | $1.23B | |
| ASIC Ategrity Specialty Insurance Co Holdings | $1.16B | |
| HRTG Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. | $988M | |
| HIPO Hippo Holdings Inc. | $929M | |
| EIG Employers Holdings, Inc. | $830M | |
| DGICA Donegal Group Inc | $695M | |
| ROOT Root, Inc. | $672M | |
| TIPT Tiptree Inc. | $639M | |
| AII American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. | $528M | |
| GLRE Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd. | $525M | |
| ACIC American Coastal Insurance Corp | $475M | |
| AMSF Amerisafe Inc | $363M | |
| NODK Ni Holdings, Inc. | $314M | |
| GBLI Global Indemnity Group, Llc | $307M | |
| KINS Kingstone Companies, Inc. | $296M | |
| KWY Kingsway Corp | $277M | |
| JRVR James River Group Holdings, Inc. | $180M | |
| KG Kestrel Group Ltd | $32M | |
| PRHI Presurance Holdings, Inc. | $26M | |
| OXBR Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd | $6M | |
| MHLA Maiden Holdings, Ltd. | N/A |
Philip Bleser’s Phantom Stock Unit Purchase Under Progressive’s Director Compensation Plan The filing reveals that Progressive Corp/OH (NYSE:PGR) PGR (NYSE:PGR) director Philip Bleser acquired 11.4438 ...
Andrew J. Quigg, VP and CFO of Progressive Corp/OH/ PGR (NYSE:PGR) Security Acquired: 5.782 Restricted Stock Units, each representing a conti ...
Earnings call Progressive delivered another quarter of industry-leading profitable growth, gaining 1.9 points of personal auto market share in 2025 to reach 18.6%, with combined ratios below 90 in ...
Our AI scores Progressive Corp/Oh/ every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
For PGR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -12.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -1.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Progressive Corp/Oh/ forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
56 issuers in our coverage, PGR included, share the SEC industry code Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance. The largest are: Berkshire Hathaway Inc (BRK-B), Chubb Ltd (CB), Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV), Allstate Corp (ALL), American International Group, Inc. (AIG), Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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