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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Chubb Ltd (CB) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -18.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $141.60B large-cap · #2 of 55 peers
Summary

Chubb Ltd (CB) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Chubb Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Chubb Ltd is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $141.60B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 55 Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For CB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -18.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, CB included.

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Price

CB price chart and AI forecast

CB
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How CB ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-03-31

Chubb Ltd (CB) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricCBIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $141.60B $2.89B 2/55
P/E Ratio 12.73x 10.02x 16/49
P/B Ratio 1.92x 1.50x 21/54
Dividend Yield 1.07% 1.87% 27/33
EPS $28.27 – –
Book Value/Share $187.49 – –
Revenue/Share $154.54 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCBIndustry medianRank
ROE 15.3% 18.8% 30/51
ROA 4.1% 4.0% 25/50
Net Margin 18.6% 14.0% 17/51
EBT Margin 23.6% 17.2% 16/51
Tax Rate 19.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricCBIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 2.65x 3.04x 39/55
Financial Leverage 3.73x 4.04x 32/52

Cash Flow

MetricCBIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $15.20B $409M 3/56
OCF Growth YoY 4.6% 2.8% 20/44

Operational Efficiency

MetricCBIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.22x 0.29x 37/50

Income Statement

MetricCBIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $60.82B $1.75B 4/55
Net Income $11.30B $310M 3/51

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCBIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $3.86 – –
Payout Ratio 13.7% 17.2% 18/31
Shares Outstanding 394M – –
Net Income Growth 33.6% 30.4% 18/40
EPS Growth 36.2% 31.9% 19/43

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$2.43B0.9% of assets
Total Liabilities$195.54B72.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

CB quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance

Chubb Ltd (CB) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Chubb Ltd (Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance): 56 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
CB Chubb Ltd ▼ $141.60B 12.7x 1.9x
BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc ▼ $1.14T 13.3x 4.6x
PGR Progressive Corp/Oh/ ▶ $124.27B 10.7x 3.6x
TRV Travelers Companies, Inc. ▼ $80.07B 10.3x 2.4x
ALL Allstate Corp ▶ $62.68B 5.0x 1.9x
AIG American International Group, Inc. ▼ $42.22B 14.7x 1.0x
HIG Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. ▼ $36.60B 8.8x 1.9x
ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. ▼ $34.56B 7.9x 1.4x
WRB Berkley W R Corp ▼ $27.46B 15.2x 2.8x
CINF Cincinnati Financial Corp ▼ $26.28B 8.3x 1.6x
MKL Markel Group Inc. ▼ $22.92B 10.2x 1.2x
L Loews Corp ▼ $22.59B 13.6x 1.3x
EG Everest Group, Ltd. ▶ $14.92B 8.2x 1.0x
RNR Renaissancere Holdings Ltd ▶ $14.30B 6.7x 1.2x
CNA Cna Financial Corp ▶ $12.96B 12.7x 1.2x
AFG American Financial Group Inc ▼ $12.37B 13.0x 2.6x
KNSL Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. ▼ $8.32B 14.8x 4.1x
THG Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. ▼ $7.95B 10.9x 2.2x
AXS Axis Capital Holdings Ltd ▼ $7.68B 7.5x 1.2x
MCY Mercury General Corp ▶ $5.69B 6.1x 2.0x
RLI Rli Corp ▼ $5.46B 12.3x 3.1x
SIGI Selective Insurance Group Inc ▼ $5.20B 10.8x 1.4x
WTM White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd ▼ $5.12B 4.9x 1.0x
PLMR Palomar Holdings, Inc. ▼ $3.62B 18.5x 3.7x
HG Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. ▶ $3.56B 5.6x 1.3x
LMND Lemonade, Inc. ▲ $3.42B – 6.9x
SLDE Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc. ▲ $3.10B 5.4x 2.6x
SPNT Siriuspoint Ltd ▶ $2.89B 6.7x 1.3x
SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. ▼ $2.67B 14.0x 2.1x
HCI Hci Group, Inc. ▶ $2.47B 8.5x 2.3x
PLGO Pelagos Insurance Capital Ltd ▶ $2.05B 6.9x 0.9x
HMN Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ ▶ $1.88B 11.0x 1.3x
SAFT Safety Insurance Group Inc ▼ $1.53B 18.5x 1.7x
KMPR Kemper Corp ▼ $1.46B – 0.7x
UFCS United Fire Group Inc ▶ $1.42B 9.2x 1.5x
ASIC Ategrity Specialty Insurance Co Holdings ▲ $1.31B 14.7x 2.0x
UVE Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. ▶ $1.30B 6.2x 2.1x
HRTG Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. ▶ $1.06B 4.5x 1.9x
HIPO Hippo Holdings Inc. ▶ $931M 7.9x 2.0x
EIG Employers Holdings, Inc. ▶ $920M 62.5x 1.1x
ROOT Root, Inc. ▶ $788M 14.1x –
DGICA Donegal Group Inc ▶ $693M 9.8x 1.0x
TIPT Tiptree Inc. ▼ $628M 17.1x 1.3x
AII American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. ▲ $539M 5.9x 1.5x
ACIC American Coastal Insurance Corp ▶ $525M 5.4x 1.5x
GLRE Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd. ▶ $484M 6.4x 0.7x
AMSF Amerisafe Inc ▼ $468M 10.0x 1.9x
GBLI Global Indemnity Group, Llc ▲ $355M 13.5x 0.5x
NODK Ni Holdings, Inc. ▶ $303M 185.8x 1.2x
KWY Kingsway Corp ▲ $281M – 21.9x
KINS Kingstone Companies, Inc. ▲ $271M 5.9x 2.1x
JRVR James River Group Holdings, Inc. ▼ $177M 4.6x 0.3x
KG Kestrel Group Ltd ▲ $36M – 0.3x
PRHI Presurance Holdings, Inc. ▲ $30M – 1.1x
OXBR Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd ▲ $8M – 1.1x
MHLA Maiden Holdings, Ltd. ▶ N/A – –

Where CB sits on the market map

Finance · Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
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News

Chubb Ltd (CB) stock news

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FAQ

Chubb Ltd (CB) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Chubb Ltd (CB) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Chubb Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Chubb Ltd stock predictions?

For CB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -18.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Chubb Ltd forecasts updated?

Chubb Ltd forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Chubb Ltd's industry peers?

56 issuers in our coverage, CB included, share the SEC industry code Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance. The largest are: Berkshire Hathaway Inc (BRK-B), Progressive Corp/Oh/ (PGR), Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV), Allstate Corp (ALL), American International Group, Inc. (AIG), Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. (HIG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.