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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. (AII) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 61.0% Spearman, 177 dates
Market Cap $539M small-cap · #44 of 55 peers
Summary

American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. (AII) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $539M. It ranks number 44 by market capitalization among the 55 Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For AII, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 61.0%, measured on 177 forecast dates between 2025-11-13 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 220 forecast dates between 2025-11-13 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, AII included.

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Price

AII price chart and AI forecast

AII
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How AII ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. (AII) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricAIIIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $539M $2.89B 44/55
P/E Ratio 5.89x 10.02x 42/49
P/B Ratio 1.46x 1.50x 28/54
EPS $4.67 – –
Book Value/Share $18.86 – –
Revenue/Share $17.16 – –
FCF/Share $8.35 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricAIIIndustry medianRank
ROE 23.8% 18.8% 15/51
ROA 5.5% 4.0% 18/50
Net Margin 26.2% 14.0% 8/51
EBT Margin 36.2% 17.2% 5/51
Tax Rate 27.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricAIIIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 3.36x 3.04x 22/55
Financial Leverage 4.36x 4.04x 21/52

Cash Flow

MetricAIIIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $173M $409M 40/56
Free Cash Flow $164M $574M 23/30
Capital Spending -$9M -$7M 17/30
FCF/Sales 48.7% 19.2% 3/30
CapEx/Sales 2.6% 0.4% 2/30

Operational Efficiency

MetricAIIIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.21x 0.29x 40/50
Fixed Assets Turnover 37.6x 44.5x 18/30

Income Statement

MetricAIIIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $336M $1.75B 46/55
Net Income $88M $310M 36/51

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricAIIIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 20M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$288M17.9% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.24B77.1% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

AII quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance

American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. (AII) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. (Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance): 56 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
AII American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. ▲ $539M 5.9x 1.5x
BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc ▼ $1.14T 13.3x 4.6x
CB Chubb Ltd ▼ $141.60B 12.7x 1.9x
PGR Progressive Corp/Oh/ ▶ $127.02B 11.0x 3.7x
TRV Travelers Companies, Inc. ▼ $80.07B 10.3x 2.4x
ALL Allstate Corp ▶ $62.68B 5.0x 1.9x
AIG American International Group, Inc. ▼ $42.22B 14.7x 1.0x
HIG Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. ▼ $36.60B 8.8x 1.9x
ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. ▼ $34.56B 7.9x 1.4x
WRB Berkley W R Corp ▼ $27.46B 15.2x 2.8x
CINF Cincinnati Financial Corp ▼ $26.28B 8.3x 1.6x
MKL Markel Group Inc. ▼ $22.92B 10.2x 1.2x
L Loews Corp ▼ $22.59B 13.6x 1.3x
EG Everest Group, Ltd. ▶ $14.92B 8.2x 1.0x
RNR Renaissancere Holdings Ltd ▶ $14.30B 6.7x 1.2x
CNA Cna Financial Corp ▶ $12.96B 12.7x 1.2x
AFG American Financial Group Inc ▼ $12.37B 13.0x 2.6x
KNSL Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. ▼ $8.32B 14.8x 4.1x
THG Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. ▼ $7.95B 10.9x 2.2x
AXS Axis Capital Holdings Ltd ▼ $7.68B 7.5x 1.2x
MCY Mercury General Corp ▶ $5.69B 6.1x 2.0x
RLI Rli Corp ▼ $5.46B 12.3x 3.1x
SIGI Selective Insurance Group Inc ▼ $5.31B 11.1x 1.5x
WTM White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd ▼ $5.12B 4.9x 1.0x
PLMR Palomar Holdings, Inc. ▼ $3.67B 18.8x 3.8x
HG Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. ▶ $3.56B 5.6x 1.3x
LMND Lemonade, Inc. ▲ $3.42B – 6.9x
SLDE Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc. ▲ $3.10B 5.4x 2.6x
SPNT Siriuspoint Ltd ▶ $2.89B 6.7x 1.3x
SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. ▼ $2.67B 14.0x 2.1x
HCI Hci Group, Inc. ▶ $2.47B 8.5x 2.3x
PLGO Pelagos Insurance Capital Ltd ▶ $2.10B 7.0x 0.9x
HMN Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ ▶ $1.88B 11.0x 1.3x
SAFT Safety Insurance Group Inc ▼ $1.53B 18.5x 1.7x
KMPR Kemper Corp ▼ $1.46B – 0.7x
UFCS United Fire Group Inc ▶ $1.42B 9.2x 1.5x
ASIC Ategrity Specialty Insurance Co Holdings ▲ $1.31B 14.7x 2.0x
UVE Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. ▶ $1.30B 6.2x 2.1x
HRTG Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. ▶ $1.06B 4.5x 1.9x
HIPO Hippo Holdings Inc. ▶ $931M 7.9x 2.0x
EIG Employers Holdings, Inc. ▶ $920M 62.5x 1.1x
ROOT Root, Inc. ▶ $788M 14.1x –
DGICA Donegal Group Inc ▶ $693M 9.8x 1.0x
TIPT Tiptree Inc. ▼ $628M 17.1x 1.3x
ACIC American Coastal Insurance Corp ▶ $525M 5.4x 1.5x
GLRE Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd. ▶ $484M 6.4x 0.7x
AMSF Amerisafe Inc ▼ $468M 10.0x 1.9x
GBLI Global Indemnity Group, Llc ▲ $355M 13.5x 0.5x
NODK Ni Holdings, Inc. ▶ $303M 185.8x 1.2x
KWY Kingsway Corp ▲ $281M – 21.9x
KINS Kingstone Companies, Inc. ▲ $271M 5.9x 2.1x
JRVR James River Group Holdings, Inc. ▼ $177M 4.6x 0.3x
KG Kestrel Group Ltd ▲ $36M – 0.3x
PRHI Presurance Holdings, Inc. ▲ $30M – 1.1x
OXBR Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd ▲ $8M – 1.1x
MHLA Maiden Holdings, Ltd. ▶ N/A – –

Where AII sits on the market map

Finance · Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
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FAQ

American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. (AII) stock forecast FAQ

What is the American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. (AII) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. stock predictions?

For AII, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 61.0%, measured on 177 forecast dates between 2025-11-13 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 220 forecast dates between 2025-11-13 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. forecasts updated?

American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc.'s industry peers?

56 issuers in our coverage, AII included, share the SEC industry code Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance. The largest are: Berkshire Hathaway Inc (BRK-B), Chubb Ltd (CB), Progressive Corp/Oh/ (PGR), Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV), Allstate Corp (ALL), American International Group, Inc. (AIG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.