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Model output · Signal date Oct. 16, 2026

Daily SignalsNeutral

2760 companies scored · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · 30D 90D

Signal date 2026-10-16 Cut-offs from the 2026-10-16 run
Companies scored 2760 IC ≥ 0 · market cap ≥ $100M
Median forecast -0.22% Alpha · 30D
Long–short spread +2.36% Strong Buy minus Strong Sell, mean
Median IC 0.17 Spearman · 30D
Rating changes ▲ 526 ▼ 476 vs the previous run
Cross-section

Distribution of the day's forecasts

30D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Signals · Neutral

184 companies

Sorted by 30D forecast ↓

# Ticker Sector IC Mkt cap Rating 30D 90D Δ
1 CACCAMDEN NATIONAL CORP Finance 0.18 $948M Neutral +0.08% +0.18% ·
2 RVSBRIVERVIEW BANCORP INC Finance -0.12 $119M Neutral +0.08% +0.18% ·
3 TPGTPG Inc. Finance 0.04 $16.7B Neutral +0.08% +0.18% ▼ 1
4 TSBKTIMBERLAND BANCORP INC Finance 0.19 $353M Neutral +0.08% +0.19% ▼ 1
5 SMBKSMARTFINANCIAL INC. Finance 0.04 $866M Neutral +0.07% +0.16% ·
6 TBBKBancorp, Inc. Finance 0.28 $2.0B Neutral +0.07% +0.16% ▼ 1
7 MTBM&T BANK CORP Finance 0.03 $31.1B Neutral +0.06% +0.15% ·
8 UNTYUNITY BANCORP INC /NJ/ Finance 0.26 $563M Neutral +0.06% +0.16% ▼ 1
9 GBFHGBank Financial Holdings Inc. Finance 0.06 $254M Neutral +0.04% +0.10% ·
10 SHBISHORE BANCSHARES INC Finance 0.15 $752M Neutral +0.04% +0.11% ▼ 1
11 FCNCAFIRST CITIZENS BANCSHARES INC /DE/ Finance 0.02 $24.0B Neutral +0.03% +0.09% ▼ 1
12 FHNFIRST HORIZON CORP Finance 0.19 $10.8B Neutral +0.03% +0.08% ·
13 PEBOPEOPLES BANCORP INC Finance 0.03 $1.3B Neutral +0.03% +0.10% ·
14 OMFOneMain Holdings, Inc. Finance 0.10 $6.6B Neutral +0.01% +0.05% ·
15 OSBCOLD SECOND BANCORP INC Finance 0.12 $1.3B Neutral +0.01% +0.06% ·
16 BUSEFIRST BUSEY CORP /NV/ Finance 0.07 $2.4B Neutral -0.01% +0.01% ·
17 SBCFSEACOAST BANKING CORP OF FLORIDA Finance 0.17 $3.1B Neutral -0.01% +0.02% ·
18 WFCWELLS FARGO & COMPANY/MN Finance 0.26 $250.2B Neutral -0.01% +0.01% ▼ 1
19 CNCCENTENE CORP Finance 0.36 $34.2B Neutral -0.02% -0.01% ·
20 CPFCENTRAL PACIFIC FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.25 $939M Neutral -0.02% -0.01% ·
21 FFINFIRST FINANCIAL BANKSHARES INC Finance 0.09 $4.4B Neutral -0.02% 0.00% ▲ 1
22 LCNBLCNB CORP Finance 0.15 $269M Neutral -0.02% -0.01% ·
23 MSMORGAN STANLEY Finance 0.20 $283.6B Neutral -0.02% 0.00% ·
24 UNMUnum Group Finance 0.13 $14.6B Neutral -0.02% -0.01% ▼ 1
25 FRAFFRANKLIN FINANCIAL SERVICES CORP /PA/ Finance 0.11 $282M Neutral -0.03% -0.02% ·
26 FSUNFIRSTSUN CAPITAL BANCORP Finance 0.19 $1.8B Neutral -0.03% -0.03% ·
27 HKHCHorizon Kinetics Holding Corp Finance -0.07 $382M Neutral -0.03% -0.03% ·
28 STEPStepStone Group Inc. Finance 0.17 $5.2B Neutral -0.03% -0.02% ▼ 1
29 TFSLTFS Financial CORP Finance -0.04 $4.6B Neutral -0.03% -0.02% ▼ 1
30 ATLOAMES NATIONAL CORP Finance 0.14 $285M Neutral -0.04% -0.04% ·
31 CFFIC & F FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.22 $332M Neutral -0.04% -0.05% ·
32 RDNRADIAN GROUP INC Finance 0.31 $4.4B Neutral -0.04% -0.05% ·
33 CZNCCITIZENS & NORTHERN CORP Finance 0.31 $457M Neutral -0.05% -0.07% ·
34 HWCHANCOCK WHITNEY CORP Finance 0.21 $5.9B Neutral -0.05% -0.07% ·
35 ORRFORRSTOWN FINANCIAL SERVICES INC Finance 0.07 $819M Neutral -0.05% -0.07% ·
36 HIPOHippo Holdings Inc. Finance 0.25 $931M Neutral -0.07% -0.11% ·
37 STCSTEWART INFORMATION SERVICES CORP Finance 0.35 $1.6B Neutral -0.07% -0.10% ▼ 1
38 CNOBConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. Finance 0.06 $1.7B Neutral -0.08% -0.12% ·
39 HTBHomeTrust Bancshares, Inc. Finance 0.03 $786M Neutral -0.08% -0.13% ·
40 EGBNEAGLE BANCORP INC Finance 0.09 $864M Neutral -0.09% -0.14% ·
41 ELVElevance Health, Inc. Finance 0.21 $92.9B Neutral -0.09% -0.15% ·
42 RBCAAREPUBLIC BANCORP INC /KY/ Finance 0.04 $1.8B Neutral -0.09% -0.15% ·
43 RKTRocket Companies, Inc. Finance -0.09 $30.4B Neutral -0.09% -0.14% ·
44 ALLALLSTATE CORP Finance 0.18 $62.7B Neutral -0.10% -0.17% ·
45 CCFNMUNCY COLUMBIA FINANCIAL Corp Finance 0.06 $324M Neutral -0.10% -0.17% ·
46 TREELendingTree, Inc. Finance 0.30 $362M Neutral -0.10% -0.16% ·
47 FGF&G Annuities & Life, Inc. Finance 0.32 $2.6B Neutral -0.11% -0.17% ·
48 ATLCAtlanticus Holdings Corp Finance 0.21 $1.4B Neutral -0.12% -0.20% ▲ 1
49 CATYCATHAY GENERAL BANCORP Finance 0.14 $4.0B Neutral -0.12% -0.21% ·
50 COLBCOLUMBIA BANKING SYSTEM, INC. Finance 0.08 $8.0B Neutral -0.13% -0.23% ·
1–50 of 184 Previous Next
Since the previous run

Rating changes

▲ 526▼ 476
Which companies were upgraded or downgraded is part of the paid plans.
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Methodology

Ratings are relative: the forecasts of the latest complete daily run (2026-10-16) are ranked and cut at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles, so Strong Sell is the bottom 15%, Sell the next 20%, Neutral the middle 30%, Buy the next 20% and Strong Buy the top 15%. Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. IC is the company's Spearman information coefficient between its past forecasts and the realised returns at the selected horizon; IC-weighted ranking multiplies each forecast by its IC (negative IC counts as zero). Δ is the rating move since the company's previous signal, in rating steps. Each company shows its latest signal, including one from a run still in progress; every signal is rated against the cut-offs above. Quantitative research output, not investment advice.