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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Allstate Corp (ALL) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 16.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $62.68B large-cap · #5 of 55 peers
Summary

Allstate Corp (ALL) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Allstate Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Allstate Corp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $62.68B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 55 Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For ALL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 16.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.3%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ALL included.

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Price

ALL price chart and AI forecast

ALL
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How ALL ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Allstate Corp (ALL) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricALLIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $62.68B $2.89B 5/55
P/E Ratio 4.96x 10.02x 46/49
P/B Ratio 1.86x 1.50x 24/54
Dividend Yield 1.70% 1.87% 20/33
EPS $49.95 – –
Book Value/Share $133.27 – –
Revenue/Share $277.38 – –
FCF/Share $48.44 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricALLIndustry medianRank
ROE 39.5% 18.8% 3/51
ROA 10.7% 4.0% 3/50
Net Margin 19.0% 14.0% 15/51

Financial Health

MetricALLIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 2.70x 3.04x 36/55
Financial Leverage 3.70x 4.04x 35/52

Cash Flow

MetricALLIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $12.47B $409M 4/56
Free Cash Flow $12.25B $574M 3/30
Capital Spending -$220M -$7M 28/30
OCF Growth YoY 42.6% 2.8% 6/44
FCF Growth YoY 43.5% 5.7% 6/24
FCF/Sales 17.5% 19.2% 18/30
CapEx/Sales 0.3% 0.4% 18/30

Operational Efficiency

MetricALLIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.56x 0.29x 4/50
Fixed Assets Turnover 118.7x 44.5x 7/30

Income Statement

MetricALLIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $70.14B $1.75B 3/55
Net Income $13.31B $310M 1/51

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricALLIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $4.22 – –
Payout Ratio 8.4% 17.2% 23/31
Shares Outstanding 253M – –
Net Income Growth 128.6% 30.4% 6/40
EPS Growth 134.8% 31.9% 8/43

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$840M0.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$91.08B73.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

ALL quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance

Allstate Corp (ALL) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Allstate Corp (Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance): 56 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
ALL Allstate Corp ▼ $62.68B 5.0x 1.9x
BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc ▼ $1.14T 13.3x 4.6x
CB Chubb Ltd ▼ $141.60B 12.7x 1.9x
PGR Progressive Corp/Oh/ ▼ $124.27B 10.7x 3.6x
TRV Travelers Companies, Inc. ▼ $80.07B 10.3x 2.4x
AIG American International Group, Inc. ▼ $42.22B 14.7x 1.0x
HIG Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. ▼ $36.60B 8.8x 1.9x
ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. ▼ $34.56B 7.9x 1.4x
WRB Berkley W R Corp ▼ $27.46B 15.2x 2.8x
CINF Cincinnati Financial Corp ▼ $26.28B 8.3x 1.6x
MKL Markel Group Inc. ▼ $22.92B 10.2x 1.2x
L Loews Corp ▼ $22.59B 13.6x 1.3x
EG Everest Group, Ltd. ▼ $14.92B 8.2x 1.0x
RNR Renaissancere Holdings Ltd ▼ $14.30B 6.7x 1.2x
CNA Cna Financial Corp ▼ $12.96B 12.7x 1.2x
AFG American Financial Group Inc ▼ $12.37B 13.0x 2.6x
KNSL Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. ▼ $8.32B 14.8x 4.1x
THG Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. ▼ $7.95B 10.9x 2.2x
AXS Axis Capital Holdings Ltd ▼ $7.68B 7.5x 1.2x
MCY Mercury General Corp ▼ $5.69B 6.1x 2.0x
RLI Rli Corp ▼ $5.46B 12.3x 3.1x
SIGI Selective Insurance Group Inc ▼ $5.20B 10.8x 1.4x
WTM White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd ▼ $5.12B 4.9x 1.0x
PLMR Palomar Holdings, Inc. ▼ $3.62B 18.5x 3.7x
HG Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. ▼ $3.56B 5.6x 1.3x
LMND Lemonade, Inc. ▲ $3.42B – 6.9x
SLDE Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc. ▶ $3.10B 5.4x 2.6x
SPNT Siriuspoint Ltd ▼ $2.89B 6.7x 1.3x
SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. ▼ $2.67B 14.0x 2.1x
HCI Hci Group, Inc. ▼ $2.47B 8.5x 2.3x
PLGO Pelagos Insurance Capital Ltd ▼ $2.05B 6.9x 0.9x
HMN Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ ▼ $1.88B 11.0x 1.3x
SAFT Safety Insurance Group Inc ▼ $1.53B 18.5x 1.7x
KMPR Kemper Corp ▼ $1.46B – 0.7x
UFCS United Fire Group Inc ▼ $1.42B 9.2x 1.5x
ASIC Ategrity Specialty Insurance Co Holdings ▶ $1.31B 14.7x 2.0x
UVE Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. ▼ $1.30B 6.2x 2.1x
HRTG Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. ▼ $1.06B 4.5x 1.9x
HIPO Hippo Holdings Inc. ▶ $931M 7.9x 2.0x
EIG Employers Holdings, Inc. ▼ $920M 62.5x 1.1x
ROOT Root, Inc. ▶ $788M 14.1x –
DGICA Donegal Group Inc ▶ $693M 9.8x 1.0x
TIPT Tiptree Inc. ▼ $628M 17.1x 1.3x
AII American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. ▶ $539M 5.9x 1.5x
ACIC American Coastal Insurance Corp ▼ $525M 5.4x 1.5x
GLRE Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd. ▼ $484M 6.4x 0.7x
AMSF Amerisafe Inc ▼ $468M 10.0x 1.9x
GBLI Global Indemnity Group, Llc ▲ $355M 13.5x 0.5x
NODK Ni Holdings, Inc. ▼ $303M 185.8x 1.2x
KWY Kingsway Corp ▲ $281M – 21.9x
KINS Kingstone Companies, Inc. ▲ $271M 5.9x 2.1x
JRVR James River Group Holdings, Inc. ▼ $177M 4.6x 0.3x
KG Kestrel Group Ltd ▲ $36M – 0.3x
PRHI Presurance Holdings, Inc. ▲ $30M – 1.1x
OXBR Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd ▲ $8M – 1.1x
MHLA Maiden Holdings, Ltd. ▶ N/A – –

Where ALL sits on the market map

Finance · Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
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News

Allstate Corp (ALL) stock news

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FAQ

Allstate Corp (ALL) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Allstate Corp (ALL) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Allstate Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Allstate Corp stock predictions?

For ALL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 16.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Allstate Corp forecasts updated?

Allstate Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Allstate Corp's industry peers?

56 issuers in our coverage, ALL included, share the SEC industry code Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance. The largest are: Berkshire Hathaway Inc (BRK-B), Chubb Ltd (CB), Progressive Corp/Oh/ (PGR), Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV), American International Group, Inc. (AIG), Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. (HIG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.