Intratio
Loading...
Skip to main content
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ (HMN) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

Follow Unlock full AI forecasts
Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -5.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $1.88B small-cap · #32 of 55 peers
Summary

Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ (HMN) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.88B. It ranks number 32 by market capitalization among the 55 Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For HMN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -5.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -15.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, HMN included.

Follow HMN free
Price

HMN price chart and AI forecast

HMN
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How HMN ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ (HMN) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricHMNIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.88B $2.92B 32/55
P/E Ratio 11.03x 10.02x 21/49
P/B Ratio 1.25x 1.51x 34/54
Dividend Yield 3.07% 1.83% 9/33
EPS $4.20 – –
Book Value/Share $37.11 – –
Revenue/Share $43.11 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricHMNIndustry medianRank
ROE 11.8% 18.8% 36/51
ROA 1.1% 4.0% 41/50
Net Margin 10.2% 14.0% 35/51
EBT Margin 12.4% 17.2% 37/51
Tax Rate 18.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricHMNIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 9.38x 3.04x 4/55
Financial Leverage 10.38x 4.04x 4/52

Cash Flow

MetricHMNIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $566M $409M 24/56
OCF Growth YoY -7.1% 2.8% 29/44

Operational Efficiency

MetricHMNIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.11x 0.29x 49/50

Income Statement

MetricHMNIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.75B $1.75B 28/55
Net Income $177M $310M 31/51

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricHMNIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.42 – –
Payout Ratio 33.8% 17.2% 10/31
Shares Outstanding 40M – –
Net Income Growth 26.6% 30.4% 23/40
EPS Growth 35.5% 31.9% 20/43

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$46M0.3% of assets
Total Liabilities$14.10B90.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

HMN quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance

Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ (HMN) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ (Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance): 56 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors

Sign up free
Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
HMN Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ ▼ $1.88B 11.0x 1.3x
BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc ▼ $1.14T 13.3x 4.6x
CB Chubb Ltd ▼ $141.60B 12.7x 1.9x
PGR Progressive Corp/Oh/ ▼ $127.02B 11.0x 3.7x
TRV Travelers Companies, Inc. ▼ $81.25B 10.2x 2.8x
ALL Allstate Corp ▼ $62.68B 5.0x 1.9x
AIG American International Group, Inc. ▼ $42.22B 14.7x 1.0x
HIG Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. ▼ $36.60B 8.8x 1.9x
ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. ▼ $34.56B 7.9x 1.4x
WRB Berkley W R Corp ▼ $28.00B 15.5x 2.9x
CINF Cincinnati Financial Corp ▼ $26.28B 8.3x 1.6x
MKL Markel Group Inc. ▼ $22.92B 10.2x 1.2x
L Loews Corp ▼ $22.59B 13.6x 1.3x
EG Everest Group, Ltd. ▼ $14.92B 8.2x 1.0x
RNR Renaissancere Holdings Ltd ▼ $14.59B 6.8x 1.2x
CNA Cna Financial Corp ▼ $12.96B 12.7x 1.2x
AFG American Financial Group Inc ▼ $12.37B 13.0x 2.6x
KNSL Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. ▼ $8.32B 14.8x 4.1x
THG Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. ▼ $8.11B 11.1x 2.2x
AXS Axis Capital Holdings Ltd ▼ $7.68B 7.5x 1.2x
MCY Mercury General Corp ▼ $5.69B 6.1x 2.0x
RLI Rli Corp ▼ $5.60B 12.6x 3.2x
SIGI Selective Insurance Group Inc ▼ $5.31B 11.1x 1.5x
WTM White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd ▼ $5.16B 4.9x 1.0x
PLMR Palomar Holdings, Inc. ▼ $3.67B 18.8x 3.8x
HG Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. ▼ $3.56B 5.6x 1.3x
LMND Lemonade, Inc. ▲ $3.42B – 6.9x
SLDE Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc. ▶ $3.16B 5.6x 2.7x
SPNT Siriuspoint Ltd ▼ $2.92B 6.8x 1.3x
SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. ▼ $2.72B 14.3x 2.1x
HCI Hci Group, Inc. ▼ $2.47B 8.5x 2.3x
PLGO Pelagos Insurance Capital Ltd ▼ $2.10B 7.0x 0.9x
SAFT Safety Insurance Group Inc ▼ $1.53B 18.5x 1.7x
KMPR Kemper Corp ▼ $1.46B – 0.7x
UFCS United Fire Group Inc ▼ $1.45B 9.3x 1.5x
UVE Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. ▼ $1.31B 6.2x 2.1x
ASIC Ategrity Specialty Insurance Co Holdings ▶ $1.31B 14.7x 2.0x
HRTG Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. ▼ $1.06B 4.5x 1.9x
HIPO Hippo Holdings Inc. ▶ $931M 7.9x 2.0x
EIG Employers Holdings, Inc. ▼ $920M 62.5x 1.1x
ROOT Root, Inc. ▶ $787M 14.1x –
DGICA Donegal Group Inc ▼ $693M 9.8x 1.0x
TIPT Tiptree Inc. ▼ $623M 17.0x 1.2x
AII American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. ▶ $539M 5.9x 1.5x
ACIC American Coastal Insurance Corp ▼ $525M 5.4x 1.5x
GLRE Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd. ▼ $484M 6.4x 0.7x
AMSF Amerisafe Inc ▼ $468M 10.0x 1.9x
GBLI Global Indemnity Group, Llc ▲ $355M 13.5x 0.5x
NODK Ni Holdings, Inc. ▼ $303M 185.8x 1.2x
KWY Kingsway Corp ▲ $281M – 21.9x
KINS Kingstone Companies, Inc. ▲ $271M 5.9x 2.1x
JRVR James River Group Holdings, Inc. ▼ $177M 4.6x 0.3x
KG Kestrel Group Ltd ▲ $36M – 0.3x
PRHI Presurance Holdings, Inc. ▲ $30M – 1.1x
OXBR Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd ▲ $8M – 1.1x
MHLA Maiden Holdings, Ltd. ▶ N/A – –

Where HMN sits on the market map

Finance · Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
Explore the map →
News

Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ (HMN) stock news

source: Financial Times

Horace Mann Educators Corporation (NYSE: HMN) today announced it has completed its previously announced acquisition of all outstanding membership interests of Employee Services, LLC (ESI) from Medical ...

More news available

Sign up free to read all 8 news articles and stay updated on market developments.

Sign Up Free to Read More
FAQ

Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ (HMN) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ (HMN) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ stock predictions?

For HMN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -5.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -15.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ forecasts updated?

Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/'s industry peers?

56 issuers in our coverage, HMN included, share the SEC industry code Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance. The largest are: Berkshire Hathaway Inc (BRK-B), Chubb Ltd (CB), Progressive Corp/Oh/ (PGR), Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV), Allstate Corp (ALL), American International Group, Inc. (AIG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.