United Fire Group Inc (UFCS) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
United Fire Group Inc (UFCS) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks United Fire Group Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
United Fire Group Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.45B. It ranks number 35 by market capitalization among the 55 Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For UFCS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 14.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, UFCS included.
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How UFCS ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
United Fire Group Inc (UFCS) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | UFCS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.45B | 35/55 |
| P/E Ratio | 9.33x | 27/49 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.48x | 28/54 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.27% | 23/33 |
| EPS | $6.05 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $38.02 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $57.30 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | UFCS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 14.4% | 32/51 |
| ROA | 3.5% | 27/50 |
| Net Margin | 9.6% | 36/51 |
| EBT Margin | 12.0% | 38/51 |
| Tax Rate | 20.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | UFCS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 3.11x | 26/55 |
| Financial Leverage | 4.11x | 25/52 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | UFCS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $272M | 33/56 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -10.0% | 31/44 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | UFCS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.37x | 14/50 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 11.5x | 28/30 |
Income Statement
| Metric | UFCS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.47B | 33/55 |
| Net Income | $141M | 32/51 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | UFCS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.72 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 11.9% | 21/31 |
| Shares Outstanding | 26M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 53.5% | 10/40 |
| EPS Growth | 79.5% | 12/43 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $139M | 3.5% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $3.04B | 75.6% of assets |
UFCS quarterly financials and insider trading
United Fire Group Inc (UFCS) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as United Fire Group Inc (Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance): 56 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| UFCS United Fire Group Inc | ▼ | $1.45B |
| BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc | ▼ | $1.14T |
| CB Chubb Ltd | ▼ | $141.60B |
| PGR Progressive Corp/Oh/ | ▼ | $127.02B |
| TRV Travelers Companies, Inc. | ▼ | $81.25B |
| ALL Allstate Corp | ▼ | $62.68B |
| AIG American International Group, Inc. | ▼ | $42.22B |
| HIG Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. | ▼ | $36.60B |
| ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. | ▼ | $34.56B |
| WRB Berkley W R Corp | ▼ | $28.00B |
| CINF Cincinnati Financial Corp | ▼ | $26.28B |
| MKL Markel Group Inc. | ▼ | $22.92B |
| L Loews Corp | ▼ | $22.59B |
| EG Everest Group, Ltd. | ▼ | $14.92B |
| RNR Renaissancere Holdings Ltd | ▼ | $14.59B |
| CNA Cna Financial Corp | ▼ | $12.96B |
| AFG American Financial Group Inc | ▼ | $12.37B |
| KNSL Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. | ▼ | $8.32B |
| THG Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. | ▼ | $8.11B |
| AXS Axis Capital Holdings Ltd | ▼ | $7.68B |
| MCY Mercury General Corp | ▼ | $5.69B |
| RLI Rli Corp | ▼ | $5.60B |
| SIGI Selective Insurance Group Inc | ▼ | $5.31B |
| WTM White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd | ▼ | $5.16B |
| PLMR Palomar Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $3.67B |
| HG Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. | ▼ | $3.56B |
| LMND Lemonade, Inc. | ▲ | $3.42B |
| SLDE Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $3.16B |
| SPNT Siriuspoint Ltd | ▼ | $2.92B |
| SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. | ▼ | $2.72B |
| HCI Hci Group, Inc. | ▼ | $2.47B |
| PLGO Pelagos Insurance Capital Ltd | ▼ | $2.10B |
| HMN Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ | ▼ | $1.88B |
| SAFT Safety Insurance Group Inc | ▼ | $1.53B |
| KMPR Kemper Corp | ▼ | $1.46B |
| UVE Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $1.31B |
| ASIC Ategrity Specialty Insurance Co Holdings | ▶ | $1.31B |
| HRTG Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $1.06B |
| HIPO Hippo Holdings Inc. | ▶ | $931M |
| EIG Employers Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $920M |
| ROOT Root, Inc. | ▶ | $787M |
| DGICA Donegal Group Inc | ▼ | $693M |
| TIPT Tiptree Inc. | ▼ | $623M |
| AII American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. | ▶ | $539M |
| ACIC American Coastal Insurance Corp | ▼ | $525M |
| GLRE Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd. | ▼ | $484M |
| AMSF Amerisafe Inc | ▼ | $468M |
| GBLI Global Indemnity Group, Llc | ▲ | $355M |
| NODK Ni Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $303M |
| KWY Kingsway Corp | ▲ | $281M |
| KINS Kingstone Companies, Inc. | ▲ | $271M |
| JRVR James River Group Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $177M |
| KG Kestrel Group Ltd | ▲ | $36M |
| PRHI Presurance Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $30M |
| OXBR Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd | ▲ | $8M |
| MHLA Maiden Holdings, Ltd. | ▶ | N/A |
Where UFCS sits on the market map
United Fire Group Inc (UFCS) stock news
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United Fire Group Inc (UFCS) stock forecast FAQ
What is the United Fire Group Inc (UFCS) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks United Fire Group Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are United Fire Group Inc stock predictions?
For UFCS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 14.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are United Fire Group Inc forecasts updated?
United Fire Group Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are United Fire Group Inc's industry peers?
56 issuers in our coverage, UFCS included, share the SEC industry code Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance. The largest are: Berkshire Hathaway Inc (BRK-B), Chubb Ltd (CB), Progressive Corp/Oh/ (PGR), Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV), Allstate Corp (ALL), American International Group, Inc. (AIG).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.