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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Axos Financial, Inc. (AX) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 21.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $5.00B mid-cap · #2 of 34 peers
Summary

Axos Financial, Inc. (AX) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Axos Financial, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Axos Financial, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $5.00B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 34 Savings Institution, Federally Chartered issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For AX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 21.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 29.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, AX included.

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Price

AX price chart and AI forecast

AX
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How AX ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Axos Financial, Inc. (AX) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Savings Institution, Federally Chartered peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricAXIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $5.00B $194M 2/34
P/E Ratio 10.39x 15.03x 23/26
P/B Ratio 1.58x 1.01x 3/33
EPS $8.48 – –
Book Value/Share $55.81 – –
Revenue/Share $24.31 – –
FCF/Share $5.13 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricAXIndustry medianRank
ROE 15.9% 6.0% 2/31
ROA 1.7% 0.7% 2/31
Net Margin 35.0% 20.8% 3/31
EBT Margin 45.1% 25.9% 4/33
Tax Rate 24.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricAXIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 8.46x 8.35x 16/34
Financial Leverage 9.46x 9.23x 15/33

Cash Flow

MetricAXIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $558M $20M 2/34
Free Cash Flow $291M $20M 3/27
Capital Spending -$266M -$2M 26/27
OCF Growth YoY 13.7% 40.0% 21/30
FCF Growth YoY -40.9% 26.6% 19/22
FCF/Sales 21.1% 30.5% 20/26
CapEx/Sales 19.3% 1.8% 2/26

Operational Efficiency

MetricAXIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.05x 0.03x 4/31

Income Statement

MetricAXIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.38B $59M 1/31
Net Income $503M $13M 1/31

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricAXIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 57M – –
Net Income Growth 16.2% 22.5% 16/24
EPS Growth 14.1% 23.9% 18/26

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Liabilities$26.80B89.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

AX quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Savings Institution, Federally Chartered

Axos Financial, Inc. (AX) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Axos Financial, Inc. (Savings Institution, Federally Chartered): 34 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
AX Axos Financial, Inc. ▼ $5.00B 10.4x 1.6x
HSBC Hsbc Holdings Plc ▼ $334.76B 23.8x –
EBC Eastern Bankshares, Inc. ▼ $4.87B 14.3x 1.1x
TFSL Tfs Financial Corp ▶ $4.58B 46.7x 2.3x
PFS Provident Financial Services Inc ▼ $2.90B 9.8x 1.0x
CFFN Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. ▶ $1.03B 14.3x 1.0x
HTB Hometrust Bancshares, Inc. ▶ $786M 50.1x 1.3x
KRNY Kearny Financial Corp. ▼ $582M 15.7x 0.8x
NRIM Northrim Bancorp Inc ▲ $524M 9.7x 1.5x
PDLB Ponce Financial Group, Inc. ▶ $487M 15.5x 0.9x
FMAO Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc ▶ $486M 12.9x 1.3x
WSBF Waterstone Financial, Inc. ▶ $358M 12.9x 1.0x
FNRN First Northern Community Bancorp ▲ $275M 13.8x 1.3x
WNEB Western New England Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $272M 19.4x 1.1x
BCBP Bcb Bancorp Inc ▶ $250M – 0.9x
CZWI Citizens Community Bancorp Inc. ▶ $205M 17.1x 1.1x
FCAP First Capital Inc ▼ $205M 9.4x 1.4x
BVFL Bv Financial, Inc. ▶ $184M 13.9x 1.0x
FNWD Finward Bancorp ▼ $181M 22.5x 1.0x
FGBI First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. ▲ $135M – 0.6x
MGYR Magyar Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $128M 12.1x 1.0x
RVSB Riverview Bancorp Inc ▶ $119M – 0.8x
PROV Provident Financial Holdings Inc ▼ $113M 17.6x 0.9x
SFBC Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. ▲ $111M 14.6x 1.0x
BYFC Broadway Financial Corp \De\ ▼ $107M – 4.2x
FDSB Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $88M 62.5x 0.7x
CPBI Central Plains Bancshares, Inc. ▶ $83M 16.8x 0.9x
NSTS Nsts Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $75M – 0.9x
HFBL Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. Of Louisiana ▲ $73M 11.9x 1.2x
CLST Catalyst Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $68M 29.9x 0.8x
KFFB Kentucky First Federal Bancorp ▲ $44M 49.2x 0.9x
MGNO Magnolia Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $12M – 0.6x
CARV Carver Bancorp Inc ▲ $9M – 0.3x
MFBI Monroe Federal Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $7M – 0.6x

Where AX sits on the market map

Finance · Savings Institution, Federally Chartered
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News

Axos Financial, Inc. (AX) stock news

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FAQ

Axos Financial, Inc. (AX) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Axos Financial, Inc. (AX) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Axos Financial, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Axos Financial, Inc. stock predictions?

For AX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 21.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 29.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Axos Financial, Inc. forecasts updated?

Axos Financial, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Axos Financial, Inc.'s industry peers?

34 issuers in our coverage, AX included, share the SEC industry code Savings Institution, Federally Chartered. The largest are: Hsbc Holdings Plc (HSBC), Eastern Bankshares, Inc. (EBC), Tfs Financial Corp (TFSL), Provident Financial Services Inc (PFS), Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN), Hometrust Bancshares, Inc. (HTB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.