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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Total
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 34.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $1.03B small-cap · #6 of 34 peers
Summary

Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, CFFN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.03B. It ranks number 6 by market capitalization among the 34 Savings Institution, Federally Chartered issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For CFFN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 34.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 20.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

CFFN price chart and AI forecast

CFFN
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How CFFN ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Savings Institution, Federally Chartered peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricCFFNIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.03B $194M 6/34
P/E Ratio 14.33x 15.03x 15/26
P/B Ratio 1.01x 1.00x 15/33
Dividend Yield 4.73% 2.54% 3/19
EPS $0.57 – –
Book Value/Share $8.13 – –
Revenue/Share $1.80 – –
FCF/Share $0.57 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCFFNIndustry medianRank
ROE 8.1% 6.0% 11/31
ROA 0.9% 0.7% 13/31
Net Margin 36.7% 20.8% 2/31
EBT Margin 45.5% 25.9% 3/33
Tax Rate 19.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricCFFNIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 8.46x 8.35x 16/34
Financial Leverage 9.46x 9.23x 15/33

Cash Flow

MetricCFFNIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $78M $20M 8/34
Free Cash Flow $72M $20M 7/27
Capital Spending -$6M -$2M 21/27
OCF Growth YoY 155.8% 40.0% 6/30
FCF Growth YoY 185.0% 26.6% 5/22
FCF/Sales 31.7% 30.5% 13/26
CapEx/Sales 2.8% 1.8% 11/26

Operational Efficiency

MetricCFFNIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.02x 0.03x 26/31
Fixed Assets Turnover 2.5x 3.5x 17/28

Income Statement

MetricCFFNIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $226M $59M 6/31
Net Income $83M $13M 5/31

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCFFNIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.39 – –
Payout Ratio 68.4% 39.5% 4/16
Shares Outstanding 126M – –
Net Income Growth 35.2% 22.5% 9/24
EPS Growth 58.3% 23.9% 4/26

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$136M1.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$8.64B89.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

CFFN quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Savings Institution, Federally Chartered

Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (Savings Institution, Federally Chartered): 34 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
CFFN Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. ▶ $1.03B 14.3x 1.0x
HSBC Hsbc Holdings Plc ▼ $334.76B 23.8x –
AX Axos Financial, Inc. ▼ $5.00B 10.4x 1.6x
EBC Eastern Bankshares, Inc. ▼ $4.87B 14.3x 1.1x
TFSL Tfs Financial Corp ▶ $4.58B 46.7x 2.3x
PFS Provident Financial Services Inc ▼ $2.90B 9.8x 1.0x
HTB Hometrust Bancshares, Inc. ▶ $786M 50.1x 1.3x
KRNY Kearny Financial Corp. ▼ $582M 15.7x 0.8x
NRIM Northrim Bancorp Inc ▲ $524M 9.7x 1.5x
PDLB Ponce Financial Group, Inc. ▶ $487M 15.5x 0.9x
FMAO Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc ▶ $486M 12.9x 1.3x
WSBF Waterstone Financial, Inc. ▶ $358M 12.9x 1.0x
FNRN First Northern Community Bancorp ▲ $275M 13.8x 1.3x
WNEB Western New England Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $272M 19.4x 1.1x
BCBP Bcb Bancorp Inc ▶ $250M – 0.9x
CZWI Citizens Community Bancorp Inc. ▶ $205M 17.1x 1.1x
FCAP First Capital Inc ▼ $205M 9.4x 1.4x
BVFL Bv Financial, Inc. ▶ $184M 13.9x 1.0x
FNWD Finward Bancorp ▼ $182M 22.6x 1.0x
FGBI First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. ▲ $136M – 0.6x
MGYR Magyar Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $128M 12.0x 1.0x
RVSB Riverview Bancorp Inc ▶ $120M – 0.8x
PROV Provident Financial Holdings Inc ▼ $113M 17.6x 0.9x
SFBC Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. ▲ $111M 14.6x 1.0x
BYFC Broadway Financial Corp \De\ ▼ $106M – 4.1x
FDSB Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $88M 62.5x 0.7x
CPBI Central Plains Bancshares, Inc. ▶ $83M 17.0x 0.9x
NSTS Nsts Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $75M – 0.9x
HFBL Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. Of Louisiana ▲ $73M 11.9x 1.2x
CLST Catalyst Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $69M 30.4x 0.8x
KFFB Kentucky First Federal Bancorp ▲ $44M 49.1x 0.9x
MGNO Magnolia Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $12M – 0.6x
CARV Carver Bancorp Inc ▲ $9M – 0.3x
MFBI Monroe Federal Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $7M – 0.6x

Where CFFN sits on the market map

Finance · Savings Institution, Federally Chartered
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News

Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN) stock news

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FAQ

Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, CFFN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. stock predictions?

For CFFN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 34.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 20.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. forecasts updated?

Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Capitol Federal Financial, Inc.'s industry peers?

34 issuers in our coverage, CFFN included, share the SEC industry code Savings Institution, Federally Chartered. The largest are: Hsbc Holdings Plc (HSBC), Axos Financial, Inc. (AX), Eastern Bankshares, Inc. (EBC), Tfs Financial Corp (TFSL), Provident Financial Services Inc (PFS), Hometrust Bancshares, Inc. (HTB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.