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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Horton D R Inc /De/ (DHI) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Total
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 20.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $38.99B large-cap · #1 of 17 peers
Summary

Horton D R Inc /De/ (DHI) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, DHI is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

Horton D R Inc /De/ is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $38.99B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 17 Operative Builders issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For DHI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 20.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

DHI price chart and AI forecast

DHI
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How DHI ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Horton D R Inc /De/ (DHI) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Operative Builders peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricDHIIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $38.99B $2.63B 1/17
P/E Ratio 13.29x 14.68x 9/15
P/B Ratio 1.64x 0.98x 3/15
Dividend Yield 1.30% 1.30% 4/7
EPS $10.49 – –
Book Value/Share $85.16 – –
Revenue/Share $119.23 – –
FCF/Share $11.45 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricDHIIndustry medianRank
ROE 12.8% 10.0% 6/14
ROA 8.4% 6.5% 5/15
Gross Margin 22.6% 22.0% 5/10
Net Margin 9.2% 6.7% 5/13
EBT Margin 12.3% 6.7% 4/12
Tax Rate 24.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricDHIIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 0.51x 0.77x 11/16
Financial Leverage 1.53x 1.77x 11/16

Cash Flow

MetricDHIIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $3.35B $190M 1/16
Free Cash Flow $3.20B $196M 1/15
Capital Spending -$150M -$23M 15/15
OCF Growth YoY 15.2% 13.9% 5/10
FCF Growth YoY 15.0% 14.9% 5/10
FCF/Sales 9.6% 6.4% 3/14
CapEx/Sales 0.5% 0.6% 9/14

Operational Efficiency

MetricDHIIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.91x 0.89x 6/14
Receivables Turnover 209.0x 60.6x 1/7
Fixed Assets Turnover 54.9x 53.8x 4/9
Days Sales Outstanding 2 days 6 days 7/7

Income Statement

MetricDHIIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $33.35B $4.20B 1/14
Net Income $3.05B $273M 1/14
SG&A Expense $3.73B $499M 1/11
Cost of Goods Sold $25.81B $3.53B 1/8

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricDHIIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.81 – –
Payout Ratio 17.2% 17.2% 4/7
Shares Outstanding 280M – –
Net Income Growth -23.0% -37.9% 4/13
EPS Growth -15.7% -40.1% 4/15

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$2.08B5.8% of assets
Accounts Receivable$160M0.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$12.10B33.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

DHI quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Operative Builders

Horton D R Inc /De/ (DHI) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Horton D R Inc /De/ (Operative Builders): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
DHI Horton D R Inc /De/ ▶ $38.99B 13.3x 1.6x
PHM Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ ▶ $21.29B 11.6x 1.6x
NVR Nvr Inc ▶ $15.78B 15.4x 4.7x
TOL Toll Brothers, Inc. ▶ $12.32B 10.8x 1.4x
ECG Everus Construction Group, Inc. ▲ $5.60B 19.2x 7.2x
MTH Meritage Homes Corp ▶ $3.86B 14.8x 0.8x
MHO M/I Homes, Inc. ▶ $3.15B 10.5x 1.0x
KBH Kb Home ▲ $2.65B 16.7x 0.7x
GRBK Green Brick Partners, Inc. ▶ $2.63B 9.2x 1.3x
CCS Century Communities, Inc. ▶ $1.55B 14.7x 0.6x
LGIH Lgi Homes, Inc. ▲ $1000M 14.7x 0.5x
BZH Beazer Homes Usa Inc ▼ $892M 159.3x 0.8x
DFH Dream Finders Homes, Inc. ▲ $807M 4.8x 0.6x
HOV Hovnanian Enterprises Inc ▲ $580M 109.3x 0.7x
VNJA Vanjia Corp ▼ $165M – –
SDHC Smith Douglas Homes Corp. ▶ $90M 10.8x 1.1x
DREM Dream Homes & Development Corp. ▼ $780K – –

Where DHI sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Operative Builders
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News

Horton D R Inc /De/ (DHI) stock news

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FAQ

Horton D R Inc /De/ (DHI) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Horton D R Inc /De/ (DHI) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, DHI is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Horton D R Inc /De/ stock predictions?

For DHI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 20.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Horton D R Inc /De/ forecasts updated?

Horton D R Inc /De/ forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Horton D R Inc /De/'s industry peers?

17 issuers in our coverage, DHI included, share the SEC industry code Operative Builders. The largest are: Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ (PHM), Nvr Inc (NVR), Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL), Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG), Meritage Homes Corp (MTH), M/I Homes, Inc. (MHO).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.