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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. (DNA) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 30.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $692M small-cap · #52 of 60 peers
Summary

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. (DNA) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $692M. It ranks number 52 by market capitalization among the 60 Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For DNA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 17.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, DNA included.

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Price

DNA price chart and AI forecast

DNA
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How DNA ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. (DNA) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricDNAIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $692M $2.38B 52/60
P/B Ratio 1.65x 4.69x 47/49
EPS $-5.64 – –
Book Value/Share $6.24 – –
Revenue/Share $1.66 – –
FCF/Share $-2.60 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricDNAIndustry medianRank
ROE -69.2% -32.1% 39/47
ROA -29.4% -24.2% 29/50
ROIC -31.7% -31.7% 27/53
Operating Margin -259.9% -46.0% 28/40
Net Margin -260.0% -31.7% 26/37
EBT Margin -264.1% -52.3% 28/42
Tax Rate 0.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricDNAIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 4.57x 5.23x 36/59
D/E Ratio 1.36x 0.39x 11/53
Financial Leverage 2.36x 1.40x 11/52
Interest Coverage -18.1x -17.0x 20/37
Working Capital $260M $450M 46/59

Cash Flow

MetricDNAIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$170M -$132M 38/57
Free Cash Flow -$175M -$117M 33/50
Capital Spending -$5M -$7M 24/50
FCF/Sales -156.3% -8.7% 24/32
CapEx/Sales 4.1% 3.6% 14/32

Operational Efficiency

MetricDNAIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.11x 0.36x 26/36
Receivables Turnover 8.6x 5.8x 6/24
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.7x 4.0x 32/37
Days Sales Outstanding 42 days 63 days 19/24

Income Statement

MetricDNAIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $112M $414M 26/37
Operating Income -$291M -$189M 39/54
Net Income -$291M -$170M 38/50
R&D Expense $216M $204M 26/56

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricDNAIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 67M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$333M33.6% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$85M8.5% of assets
Accounts Receivable$13M1.3% of assets
Total Liabilities$570M57.5% of assets
Short-term Debt$63M6.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

DNA quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. (DNA) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. (Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
DNA Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. ▲ $692M – 1.7x
AMGN Amgen Inc ▼ $233.82B 26.9x 20.0x
GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. ▲ $193.67B – 16.4x
MRNA Moderna, Inc. ▲ $87.04B – 12.9x
ARGX Argenx Se ▼ $50.69B 21.5x –
RVMD Revolution Medicines, Inc. ▲ $38.14B – 14.6x
BIIB Biogen Inc. ▼ $34.13B 25.0x 1.8x
BNTX Biontech Se ▲ $22.18B 2.3x –
EXEL Exelixis, Inc. ▶ $15.42B 17.9x 8.4x
HALO Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc. ▶ $13.83B 28.0x 96.3x
NBIX Neurocrine Biosciences Inc ▲ $13.79B 19.6x 3.7x
TECH Bio-Techne Corp ▼ $11.38B 62.6x 5.4x
QGEN Qiagen N.V. ▶ $10.01B 32.7x 2.7x
RGEN Repligen Corp ▲ $9.90B 254.2x 4.7x
IBRX Immunitybio, Inc. ▲ $9.73B – –
PCVX Vaxcyte, Inc. ▲ $9.47B – 3.4x
KRYS Krystal Biotech, Inc. ▶ $9.37B 39.7x 6.9x
KYMR Kymera Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $8.71B – 5.8x
TWST Twist Bioscience Corp ▲ $8.32B – 18.7x
IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. ▲ $6.17B – 8.4x
IMVT Immunovant, Inc. ▲ $5.52B – 7.5x
KOD Kodiak Sciences Inc. ▲ $5.39B – 88.2x
CGON Cg Oncology, Inc. ▲ $5.31B – 5.2x
SRRK Scholar Rock Holding Corp ▲ $4.86B – 19.2x
CRSP Crispr Therapeutics Ag ▲ $4.76B – 2.7x
ADPT Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp ▲ $3.83B – 26.8x
RLAY Relay Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $3.57B – 4.0x
TARS Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▲ $2.99B – 8.6x
DNLI Denali Therapeutics Inc. ▼ $2.81B – 3.4x
BEAM Beam Therapeutics Inc. ▲ $2.42B 93.9x 2.3x
ADMA Adma Biologics, Inc. ▼ $2.39B 17.2x 5.9x
LIFE Atyr Pharma Inc ▲ $2.37B – 48.6x
RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▲ $2.07B – 2.3x
VCEL Vericel Corp ▶ $2.05B 108.5x 5.6x
BCRX Biocryst Pharmaceuticals Inc ▲ $1.99B – –
NVAX Novavax Inc ▲ $1.86B – –
ALVO Alvotech ▲ $1.78B – –
MESO Mesoblast Ltd ▶ $1.70B – –
VIR Vir Biotechnology, Inc. ▲ $1.69B – 1.7x
MAZE Maze Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $1.53B – 3.4x
IMCR Immunocore Holdings Plc ▶ $1.51B – 3.6x
COAG Hemab Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. ▶ $1.40B – 3.1x
TSHA Taysha Gene Therapies, Inc. ▲ $1.18B – 3.1x
VOR Vor Biopharma Inc. ▲ $1.07B – –
REPL Replimune Group, Inc. ▲ $1.02B – 9.7x
JATT Zura Bio Ltd ▶ $994M – 5.0x
IMTX Immatics N.V. ▲ $902M – –
MGTX Meiragtx Holdings Plc ▶ $891M 12.1x 4.1x
SLBT Sl Science Holding Ltd ▶ $884M – –
CGEM Cullinan Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $832M – 2.6x
GLUE Monte Rosa Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $831M – 1.7x
ODTX Odyssey Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $825M – 2.0x
SANA Sana Biotechnology, Inc. ▲ $680M – 4.4x
FDMT 4d Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $670M – 1.6x
AURA Aura Biosciences, Inc. ▲ $633M – 2.0x
PRME Prime Medicine, Inc. ▲ $629M – 15.8x
CADL Candel Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $627M – 5.0x
SLDB Solid Biosciences Inc. ▲ $593M – 1.6x
DBVT Dbv Technologies S.A. ▶ $536M – 3.2x
VALN Valneva Se ▼ $505M – –

Where DNA sits on the market map

Life Sciences · Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
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News

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. (DNA) stock news

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FAQ

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. (DNA) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. (DNA) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?

For DNA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 17.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, DNA included, share the SEC industry code Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances). The largest are: Amgen Inc (AMGN), Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD), Moderna, Inc. (MRNA), Argenx Se (ARGX), Revolution Medicines, Inc. (RVMD), Biogen Inc. (BIIB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.