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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Krystal Biotech, Inc. (KRYS) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 18.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $9.37B mid-cap · #16 of 60 peers
Summary

Krystal Biotech, Inc. (KRYS) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, KRYS is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

Krystal Biotech, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $9.37B. It ranks number 16 by market capitalization among the 60 Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Net Margin of 54.8% is the highest of the 37 peers that report one.

For KRYS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 18.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

KRYS price chart and AI forecast

KRYS
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How KRYS ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Krystal Biotech, Inc. (KRYS) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricKRYSIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $9.37B $2.38B 16/60
P/E Ratio 39.72x 26.88x 5/15
P/B Ratio 6.89x 4.92x 17/49
EPS $7.97 – –
Book Value/Share $45.92 – –
Revenue/Share $14.88 – –
FCF/Share $8.71 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricKRYSIndustry medianRank
ROE 17.8% -32.1% 9/47
ROA 16.1% -24.2% 6/50
ROIC 14.4% -31.7% 10/53
Operating Margin 44.9% -46.0% 2/40
Net Margin 54.8% -31.7% 1/37
EBT Margin 51.5% -52.3% 1/42
Tax Rate -6.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricKRYSIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 8.32x 5.23x 21/59
Quick Ratio 7.96x 3.33x 3/28
D/E Ratio 0.10x 0.39x 47/53
Financial Leverage 1.10x 1.40x 46/52
Working Capital $932M $450M 14/59

Cash Flow

MetricKRYSIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $272M -$132M 12/57
Free Cash Flow $258M -$117M 11/50
Capital Spending -$15M -$7M 35/50
OCF Growth YoY 39.4% 38.4% 8/16
FCF Growth YoY 39.0% 2.8% 6/15
FCF/Sales 58.5% -8.7% 2/32
CapEx/Sales 3.3% 3.6% 17/32

Operational Efficiency

MetricKRYSIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.29x 0.36x 21/36
Receivables Turnover 3.2x 5.8x 21/24
Fixed Assets Turnover 2.9x 4.0x 24/37
Days Sales Outstanding 115 days 63 days 3/24

Income Statement

MetricKRYSIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $440M $414M 16/37
Operating Income $198M -$189M 11/54
Net Income $241M -$170M 9/50
R&D Expense $59M $204M 50/56
SG&A Expense $160M $296M 18/22

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricKRYSIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 30M – –
Net Income Growth 64.6% 12.4% 5/12
EPS Growth 60.7% 17.6% 4/14

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.06B70.6% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$428M28.5% of assets
Accounts Receivable$139M9.2% of assets
Inventory$46M3.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$142M9.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$121M8.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

KRYS quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)

Krystal Biotech, Inc. (KRYS) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Krystal Biotech, Inc. (Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
KRYS Krystal Biotech, Inc. ▶ $9.37B 39.7x 6.9x
AMGN Amgen Inc ▼ $233.82B 26.9x 20.0x
GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. ▲ $193.67B – 16.4x
MRNA Moderna, Inc. ▲ $87.04B – 12.9x
ARGX Argenx Se ▼ $50.69B 21.5x –
RVMD Revolution Medicines, Inc. ▲ $40.57B – 15.6x
BIIB Biogen Inc. ▼ $34.13B 25.0x 1.8x
BNTX Biontech Se ▲ $22.18B 2.3x –
EXEL Exelixis, Inc. ▶ $15.42B 17.9x 8.4x
NBIX Neurocrine Biosciences Inc ▲ $13.92B 19.8x 3.8x
HALO Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc. ▶ $13.83B 28.0x 96.3x
TECH Bio-Techne Corp ▼ $11.37B 62.5x 5.4x
RGEN Repligen Corp ▶ $10.39B 266.9x 4.9x
QGEN Qiagen N.V. ▶ $10.02B 32.7x 2.7x
IBRX Immunitybio, Inc. ▲ $9.73B – –
PCVX Vaxcyte, Inc. ▲ $9.71B – 3.5x
TWST Twist Bioscience Corp ▲ $9.06B – 20.3x
KYMR Kymera Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $8.71B – 5.8x
IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. ▲ $6.17B – 8.4x
IMVT Immunovant, Inc. ▲ $5.52B – 7.5x
KOD Kodiak Sciences Inc. ▲ $5.39B – 88.2x
CGON Cg Oncology, Inc. ▲ $5.31B – 5.2x
SRRK Scholar Rock Holding Corp ▲ $4.95B – 19.5x
CRSP Crispr Therapeutics Ag ▲ $4.76B – 2.7x
ADPT Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp ▲ $3.83B – 26.8x
RLAY Relay Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $3.79B – 4.3x
TARS Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▲ $3.12B – 9.0x
DNLI Denali Therapeutics Inc. ▼ $2.81B – 3.4x
BEAM Beam Therapeutics Inc. ▲ $2.42B 93.9x 2.3x
ADMA Adma Biologics, Inc. ▼ $2.39B 17.2x 5.9x
LIFE Atyr Pharma Inc ▲ $2.37B – 48.6x
RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▲ $2.23B – 2.4x
NVAX Novavax Inc ▲ $2.11B – –
VCEL Vericel Corp ▶ $2.10B 110.9x 5.7x
BCRX Biocryst Pharmaceuticals Inc ▲ $1.99B – –
ALVO Alvotech ▲ $1.78B – –
VIR Vir Biotechnology, Inc. ▲ $1.77B – 1.8x
MESO Mesoblast Ltd ▶ $1.70B – –
MAZE Maze Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $1.53B – 3.4x
IMCR Immunocore Holdings Plc ▶ $1.51B – 3.6x
COAG Hemab Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. ▶ $1.40B – 3.1x
TSHA Taysha Gene Therapies, Inc. ▲ $1.22B – 3.1x
VOR Vor Biopharma Inc. ▲ $1.14B – –
REPL Replimune Group, Inc. ▲ $1.11B – 10.5x
JATT Zura Bio Ltd ▶ $994M – 5.0x
MGTX Meiragtx Holdings Plc ▶ $950M 12.8x 4.4x
IMTX Immatics N.V. ▲ $902M – –
SLBT Sl Science Holding Ltd ▶ $884M – –
ODTX Odyssey Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $844M – 2.0x
CGEM Cullinan Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $832M – 2.6x
GLUE Monte Rosa Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $831M – 1.7x
SANA Sana Biotechnology, Inc. ▲ $741M – 4.8x
DNA Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. ▲ $692M – 1.7x
FDMT 4d Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $670M – 1.6x
PRME Prime Medicine, Inc. ▲ $655M – 16.5x
AURA Aura Biosciences, Inc. ▲ $633M – 2.0x
CADL Candel Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $627M – 5.0x
SLDB Solid Biosciences Inc. ▲ $615M – 1.7x
DBVT Dbv Technologies S.A. ▶ $536M – 3.2x
VALN Valneva Se ▼ $505M – –

Where KRYS sits on the market map

Life Sciences · Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
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News

Krystal Biotech, Inc. (KRYS) stock news

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FAQ

Krystal Biotech, Inc. (KRYS) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Krystal Biotech, Inc. (KRYS) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, KRYS is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Krystal Biotech, Inc. stock predictions?

For KRYS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 18.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Krystal Biotech, Inc. forecasts updated?

Krystal Biotech, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Krystal Biotech, Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, KRYS included, share the SEC industry code Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances). The largest are: Amgen Inc (AMGN), Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD), Moderna, Inc. (MRNA), Argenx Se (ARGX), Revolution Medicines, Inc. (RVMD), Biogen Inc. (BIIB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.