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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (RXRX) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -11.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $2.07B mid-cap · #32 of 60 peers
Summary

Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (RXRX) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.07B. It ranks number 32 by market capitalization among the 60 Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For RXRX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -11.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, RXRX included.

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Price

RXRX price chart and AI forecast

RXRX
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How RXRX ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (RXRX) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricRXRXIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $2.07B $2.38B 32/60
P/B Ratio 2.26x 4.69x 41/49
EPS $-1.28 – –
Book Value/Share $1.53 – –
Revenue/Share $0.09 – –
FCF/Share $-0.59 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricRXRXIndustry medianRank
ROE -56.7% -32.1% 35/47
ROA -42.8% -24.2% 39/50
ROIC -49.8% -31.7% 41/53
Operating Margin -991.7% -46.0% 32/40
Net Margin -945.9% -31.7% 30/37
EBT Margin -954.3% -52.3% 34/42
Tax Rate 0.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricRXRXIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 5.03x 5.23x 34/59
D/E Ratio 0.33x 0.39x 32/53
Financial Leverage 1.33x 1.40x 31/52
Interest Coverage -4817.0x -17.0x 36/37
Working Capital $484M $450M 26/59

Cash Flow

MetricRXRXIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$350M -$132M 49/57
Free Cash Flow -$352M -$117M 42/50
Capital Spending -$2M -$7M 18/50
FCF/Sales -642.2% -8.7% 28/32
CapEx/Sales 3.3% 3.6% 18/32

Operational Efficiency

MetricRXRXIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.05x 0.36x 29/36
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.6x 4.0x 33/37
Payables Period 87 days 63 days 11/26

Income Statement

MetricRXRXIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $55M $414M 30/37
Operating Income -$544M -$189M 50/54
Net Income -$519M -$170M 45/50
R&D Expense $395M $204M 17/56
Cost of Goods Sold $53M $194M 22/26

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricRXRXIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 597M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$603M49.8% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$546M45.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$298M24.5% of assets
Short-term Debt$107M8.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

RXRX quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)

Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (RXRX) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▲ $2.07B – 2.3x
AMGN Amgen Inc ▼ $233.82B 26.9x 20.0x
GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. ▲ $193.67B – 16.4x
MRNA Moderna, Inc. ▲ $87.04B – 12.9x
ARGX Argenx Se ▼ $50.69B 21.5x –
RVMD Revolution Medicines, Inc. ▲ $38.14B – 14.6x
BIIB Biogen Inc. ▼ $34.13B 25.0x 1.8x
BNTX Biontech Se ▲ $22.18B 2.3x –
EXEL Exelixis, Inc. ▶ $15.42B 17.9x 8.4x
HALO Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc. ▶ $13.83B 28.0x 96.3x
NBIX Neurocrine Biosciences Inc ▲ $13.79B 19.6x 3.7x
TECH Bio-Techne Corp ▼ $11.38B 62.6x 5.4x
QGEN Qiagen N.V. ▶ $10.01B 32.7x 2.7x
RGEN Repligen Corp ▲ $9.90B 254.2x 4.7x
IBRX Immunitybio, Inc. ▲ $9.73B – –
PCVX Vaxcyte, Inc. ▲ $9.47B – 3.4x
KRYS Krystal Biotech, Inc. ▶ $9.37B 39.7x 6.9x
KYMR Kymera Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $8.71B – 5.8x
TWST Twist Bioscience Corp ▲ $8.32B – 18.7x
IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. ▲ $6.17B – 8.4x
IMVT Immunovant, Inc. ▲ $5.52B – 7.5x
KOD Kodiak Sciences Inc. ▲ $5.39B – 88.2x
CGON Cg Oncology, Inc. ▲ $5.31B – 5.2x
SRRK Scholar Rock Holding Corp ▲ $4.86B – 19.2x
CRSP Crispr Therapeutics Ag ▲ $4.76B – 2.7x
ADPT Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp ▲ $3.83B – 26.8x
RLAY Relay Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $3.57B – 4.0x
TARS Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▲ $2.99B – 8.6x
DNLI Denali Therapeutics Inc. ▼ $2.81B – 3.4x
BEAM Beam Therapeutics Inc. ▲ $2.42B 93.9x 2.3x
ADMA Adma Biologics, Inc. ▼ $2.39B 17.2x 5.9x
LIFE Atyr Pharma Inc ▲ $2.37B – 48.6x
VCEL Vericel Corp ▶ $2.05B 108.5x 5.6x
BCRX Biocryst Pharmaceuticals Inc ▲ $1.99B – –
NVAX Novavax Inc ▲ $1.86B – –
ALVO Alvotech ▲ $1.78B – –
MESO Mesoblast Ltd ▶ $1.70B – –
VIR Vir Biotechnology, Inc. ▲ $1.69B – 1.7x
MAZE Maze Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $1.53B – 3.4x
IMCR Immunocore Holdings Plc ▶ $1.51B – 3.6x
COAG Hemab Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. ▶ $1.40B – 3.1x
TSHA Taysha Gene Therapies, Inc. ▲ $1.18B – 3.1x
VOR Vor Biopharma Inc. ▲ $1.07B – –
REPL Replimune Group, Inc. ▲ $1.02B – 9.7x
JATT Zura Bio Ltd ▶ $994M – 5.0x
IMTX Immatics N.V. ▲ $902M – –
MGTX Meiragtx Holdings Plc ▶ $891M 12.1x 4.1x
SLBT Sl Science Holding Ltd ▶ $884M – –
CGEM Cullinan Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $832M – 2.6x
GLUE Monte Rosa Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $831M – 1.7x
ODTX Odyssey Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $825M – 2.0x
DNA Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. ▲ $692M – 1.7x
SANA Sana Biotechnology, Inc. ▲ $680M – 4.4x
FDMT 4d Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $670M – 1.6x
AURA Aura Biosciences, Inc. ▲ $633M – 2.0x
PRME Prime Medicine, Inc. ▲ $629M – 15.8x
CADL Candel Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $627M – 5.0x
SLDB Solid Biosciences Inc. ▲ $593M – 1.6x
DBVT Dbv Technologies S.A. ▶ $536M – 3.2x
VALN Valneva Se ▼ $505M – –

Where RXRX sits on the market map

Life Sciences · Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
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News

Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (RXRX) stock news

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FAQ

Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (RXRX) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (RXRX) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. stock predictions?

For RXRX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -11.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. forecasts updated?

Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, RXRX included, share the SEC industry code Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances). The largest are: Amgen Inc (AMGN), Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD), Moderna, Inc. (MRNA), Argenx Se (ARGX), Revolution Medicines, Inc. (RVMD), Biogen Inc. (BIIB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.