Revolution Medicines stock has surged 124% this year — analyst sees more room to grow
Revolution Medicines Inc. RVMD has significant growth opportunities beyond pancreatic cancer, according to William Blair, ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Revolution Medicines, Inc. (RVMD) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Rating · 90D
▲ Bullish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Top 35%
of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
32.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$38.14B
large-cap · #5 of 60 peers
Summary
Revolution Medicines, Inc. (RVMD) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Revolution Medicines, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Revolution Medicines, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $38.14B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 60 Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For RVMD, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 32.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 9.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, RVMD included.
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RVMD price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How RVMD ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-06-30
Revolution Medicines, Inc. (RVMD) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | RVMD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $38.14B | 5/60 |
| P/B Ratio | 14.64x | 10/49 |
| EPS | $-8.86 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $12.16 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-5.75 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | RVMD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -67.8% | 38/47 |
| ROA | -40.9% | 37/50 |
| ROIC | -41.0% | 36/53 |
| Tax Rate | 0.0% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | RVMD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 11.38x | 14/59 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.66x | 16/53 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.66x | 16/52 |
| Interest Coverage | -3116.4x | 33/37 |
| Working Capital | $3.67B | 5/59 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | RVMD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$1.22B | 57/57 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$1.23B | 49/50 |
| Capital Spending | -$9M | 29/50 |
Income Statement
| Metric | RVMD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Income | -$1.63B | 52/54 |
| Net Income | -$1.77B | 48/50 |
| R&D Expense | $1.30B | 7/56 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | RVMD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 214M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $4.03B | 93.2% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $815M | 18.9% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $1.72B | 39.7% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $266M | 6.1% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
RVMD quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
Revolution Medicines, Inc. (RVMD) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Revolution Medicines, Inc. (Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| RVMD Revolution Medicines, Inc. | ▲ | $38.14B |
| AMGN Amgen Inc | ▼ | $233.82B |
| GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. | ▲ | $193.67B |
| MRNA Moderna, Inc. | ▲ | $87.04B |
| ARGX Argenx Se | ▼ | $50.69B |
| BIIB Biogen Inc. | ▼ | $34.13B |
| BNTX Biontech Se | ▲ | $22.18B |
| EXEL Exelixis, Inc. | ▶ | $15.42B |
| HALO Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc. | ▶ | $13.83B |
| NBIX Neurocrine Biosciences Inc | ▲ | $13.79B |
| TECH Bio-Techne Corp | ▼ | $11.37B |
| QGEN Qiagen N.V. | ▶ | $10.01B |
| RGEN Repligen Corp | ▲ | $9.90B |
| IBRX Immunitybio, Inc. | ▲ | $9.73B |
| PCVX Vaxcyte, Inc. | ▲ | $9.47B |
| KRYS Krystal Biotech, Inc. | ▶ | $9.37B |
| TWST Twist Bioscience Corp | ▲ | $9.06B |
| KYMR Kymera Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $8.71B |
| IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $6.17B |
| IMVT Immunovant, Inc. | ▲ | $5.52B |
| KOD Kodiak Sciences Inc. | ▲ | $5.39B |
| CGON Cg Oncology, Inc. | ▲ | $5.31B |
| SRRK Scholar Rock Holding Corp | ▲ | $4.95B |
| CRSP Crispr Therapeutics Ag | ▲ | $4.76B |
| ADPT Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp | ▲ | $3.83B |
| RLAY Relay Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $3.57B |
| TARS Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | ▲ | $2.99B |
| DNLI Denali Therapeutics Inc. | ▼ | $2.81B |
| BEAM Beam Therapeutics Inc. | ▲ | $2.42B |
| ADMA Adma Biologics, Inc. | ▼ | $2.39B |
| LIFE Atyr Pharma Inc | ▲ | $2.37B |
| VCEL Vericel Corp | ▶ | $2.10B |
| RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | ▲ | $2.07B |
| BCRX Biocryst Pharmaceuticals Inc | ▲ | $1.99B |
| NVAX Novavax Inc | ▲ | $1.86B |
| ALVO Alvotech | ▲ | $1.78B |
| VIR Vir Biotechnology, Inc. | ▲ | $1.77B |
| MESO Mesoblast Ltd | ▶ | $1.70B |
| MAZE Maze Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $1.53B |
| IMCR Immunocore Holdings Plc | ▶ | $1.51B |
| COAG Hemab Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $1.40B |
| TSHA Taysha Gene Therapies, Inc. | ▲ | $1.22B |
| VOR Vor Biopharma Inc. | ▲ | $1.07B |
| REPL Replimune Group, Inc. | ▲ | $1.02B |
| JATT Zura Bio Ltd | ▶ | $994M |
| IMTX Immatics N.V. | ▲ | $902M |
| MGTX Meiragtx Holdings Plc | ▶ | $891M |
| SLBT Sl Science Holding Ltd | ▶ | $884M |
| CGEM Cullinan Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $832M |
| GLUE Monte Rosa Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $831M |
| ODTX Odyssey Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $825M |
| DNA Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $692M |
| SANA Sana Biotechnology, Inc. | ▲ | $680M |
| FDMT 4d Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $670M |
| AURA Aura Biosciences, Inc. | ▲ | $633M |
| PRME Prime Medicine, Inc. | ▲ | $629M |
| CADL Candel Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $627M |
| SLDB Solid Biosciences Inc. | ▲ | $593M |
| DBVT Dbv Technologies S.A. | ▶ | $536M |
| VALN Valneva Se | ▼ | $505M |
Where RVMD sits on the market map
Life Sciences · Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
News
Revolution Medicines, Inc. (RVMD) stock news
Revolution Medicines, Inc. Announces RASONQUE Receives Positive CHMP Opinion Recommending Marketing Authorization In European Union For Metastatic Pancreatic Cancer
Revolution Medicines, Inc. announced that the European Medicines Agency?s (EMA) Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) has adopted a positive opinion of RASONQUE (daraxonrasib) ...
Revolution Medicines (RVMD) Gets its First Approved Drug, and the Market Shrugs
Reuters reported that the FDA approved Revolution Medicines, Inc. (NASDAQ:RVMD) Rasonque (daraxonrasib) on August 26 for adults with metastatic pancreatic cancer who have already received prior ...
FAQ
Revolution Medicines, Inc. (RVMD) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Revolution Medicines, Inc. (RVMD) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Revolution Medicines, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Revolution Medicines, Inc. stock predictions?
For RVMD, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 32.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 9.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Revolution Medicines, Inc. forecasts updated?
Revolution Medicines, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Revolution Medicines, Inc.'s industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, RVMD included, share the SEC industry code Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances). The largest are: Amgen Inc (AMGN), Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD), Moderna, Inc. (MRNA), Argenx Se (ARGX), Biogen Inc. (BIIB), Biontech Se (BNTX).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.