Neurocrine Biosciences Inc (NBIX) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Neurocrine Biosciences Inc (NBIX) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Neurocrine Biosciences Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Neurocrine Biosciences Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $13.92B. It ranks number 9 by market capitalization among the 60 Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For NBIX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 9.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -14.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How NBIX ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Neurocrine Biosciences Inc (NBIX) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | NBIX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $13.92B | 9/60 |
| P/E Ratio | 19.82x | 11/15 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.77x | 29/49 |
| EPS | $6.91 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $36.34 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $33.19 | – |
| FCF/Share | $8.56 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | NBIX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 19.1% | 8/47 |
| ROA | 13.2% | 8/50 |
| ROIC | 17.7% | 7/53 |
| Gross Margin | 98.4% | 3/24 |
| Operating Margin | 23.6% | 8/40 |
| Net Margin | 20.9% | 7/37 |
| EBT Margin | 27.9% | 7/42 |
| Tax Rate | 25.0% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | NBIX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.87x | 55/59 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.75x | 24/28 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.45x | 23/53 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.45x | 23/52 |
| Interest Coverage | 56.1x | 2/37 |
| Working Capital | $763M | 18/59 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | NBIX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $898M | 6/57 |
| Free Cash Flow | $870M | 6/50 |
| Capital Spending | -$28M | 39/50 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 58.3% | 4/16 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 64.6% | 4/15 |
| FCF/Sales | 25.8% | 8/32 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.8% | 29/32 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | NBIX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.63x | 11/36 |
| Receivables Turnover | 3.8x | 16/24 |
| Inventory Turnover | 0.5x | 23/23 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 37.3x | 3/37 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 96 days | 9/24 |
| Days Inventory | 694 days | 1/23 |
| Payables Period | 946 days | 4/26 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | -156 days | 17/18 |
Income Statement
| Metric | NBIX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $3.37B | 5/37 |
| Operating Income | $795M | 5/54 |
| Net Income | $706M | 6/50 |
| R&D Expense | $1.13B | 8/56 |
| SG&A Expense | $1.35B | 5/22 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $55M | 21/26 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | NBIX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 102M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 102.6% | 4/12 |
| EPS Growth | 85.8% | 3/14 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $1.64B | 30.6% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $332M | 6.2% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $887M | 16.6% of assets |
| Inventory | $104M | 1.9% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $1.67B | 31.1% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $732M | 13.7% of assets |
NBIX quarterly financials and insider trading
Neurocrine Biosciences Inc (NBIX) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Neurocrine Biosciences Inc (Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| NBIX Neurocrine Biosciences Inc | ▲ | $13.92B |
| AMGN Amgen Inc | ▼ | $233.82B |
| GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. | ▲ | $193.67B |
| MRNA Moderna, Inc. | ▲ | $87.04B |
| ARGX Argenx Se | ▼ | $50.69B |
| RVMD Revolution Medicines, Inc. | ▲ | $40.57B |
| BIIB Biogen Inc. | ▼ | $34.13B |
| BNTX Biontech Se | ▲ | $22.18B |
| EXEL Exelixis, Inc. | ▶ | $15.42B |
| HALO Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc. | ▶ | $13.83B |
| TECH Bio-Techne Corp | ▼ | $11.37B |
| RGEN Repligen Corp | ▶ | $10.39B |
| QGEN Qiagen N.V. | ▶ | $10.02B |
| IBRX Immunitybio, Inc. | ▲ | $9.73B |
| PCVX Vaxcyte, Inc. | ▲ | $9.71B |
| KRYS Krystal Biotech, Inc. | ▶ | $9.37B |
| TWST Twist Bioscience Corp | ▲ | $9.06B |
| KYMR Kymera Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $8.71B |
| IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $6.17B |
| IMVT Immunovant, Inc. | ▲ | $5.52B |
| KOD Kodiak Sciences Inc. | ▲ | $5.39B |
| CGON Cg Oncology, Inc. | ▲ | $5.31B |
| SRRK Scholar Rock Holding Corp | ▲ | $4.95B |
| CRSP Crispr Therapeutics Ag | ▲ | $4.76B |
| ADPT Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp | ▲ | $3.83B |
| RLAY Relay Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $3.79B |
| TARS Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | ▲ | $3.12B |
| DNLI Denali Therapeutics Inc. | ▼ | $2.81B |
| BEAM Beam Therapeutics Inc. | ▲ | $2.42B |
| ADMA Adma Biologics, Inc. | ▼ | $2.39B |
| LIFE Atyr Pharma Inc | ▲ | $2.37B |
| RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | ▲ | $2.23B |
| NVAX Novavax Inc | ▲ | $2.11B |
| VCEL Vericel Corp | ▶ | $2.10B |
| BCRX Biocryst Pharmaceuticals Inc | ▲ | $1.99B |
| ALVO Alvotech | ▲ | $1.78B |
| VIR Vir Biotechnology, Inc. | ▲ | $1.77B |
| MESO Mesoblast Ltd | ▶ | $1.70B |
| MAZE Maze Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $1.53B |
| IMCR Immunocore Holdings Plc | ▶ | $1.51B |
| COAG Hemab Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $1.40B |
| TSHA Taysha Gene Therapies, Inc. | ▲ | $1.22B |
| VOR Vor Biopharma Inc. | ▲ | $1.14B |
| REPL Replimune Group, Inc. | ▲ | $1.11B |
| JATT Zura Bio Ltd | ▶ | $994M |
| MGTX Meiragtx Holdings Plc | ▶ | $950M |
| IMTX Immatics N.V. | ▲ | $902M |
| SLBT Sl Science Holding Ltd | ▶ | $884M |
| ODTX Odyssey Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $844M |
| CGEM Cullinan Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $832M |
| GLUE Monte Rosa Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $831M |
| SANA Sana Biotechnology, Inc. | ▲ | $741M |
| DNA Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $692M |
| FDMT 4d Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $670M |
| PRME Prime Medicine, Inc. | ▲ | $655M |
| AURA Aura Biosciences, Inc. | ▲ | $633M |
| CADL Candel Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $627M |
| SLDB Solid Biosciences Inc. | ▲ | $615M |
| DBVT Dbv Technologies S.A. | ▶ | $536M |
| VALN Valneva Se | ▼ | $505M |
Where NBIX sits on the market map
Neurocrine Biosciences Inc (NBIX) stock news
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Neurocrine Biosciences Inc (NBIX) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Neurocrine Biosciences Inc (NBIX) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Neurocrine Biosciences Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Neurocrine Biosciences Inc stock predictions?
For NBIX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 9.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -14.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Neurocrine Biosciences Inc forecasts updated?
Neurocrine Biosciences Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Neurocrine Biosciences Inc's industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, NBIX included, share the SEC industry code Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances). The largest are: Amgen Inc (AMGN), Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD), Moderna, Inc. (MRNA), Argenx Se (ARGX), Revolution Medicines, Inc. (RVMD), Biogen Inc. (BIIB).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.