Provident Financial Services Inc (PFS) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Provident Financial Services Inc (PFS) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Provident Financial Services Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Provident Financial Services Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.90B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 34 Savings Institution, Federally Chartered issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For PFS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 34.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How PFS ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Provident Financial Services Inc (PFS) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Savings Institution, Federally Chartered peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | PFS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $2.90B | 5/34 |
| P/E Ratio | 9.75x | 24/26 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.00x | 17/33 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.29% | 4/19 |
| EPS | $2.28 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $22.29 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $6.86 | – |
| FCF/Share | $2.69 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | PFS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 10.8% | 4/31 |
| ROA | 1.2% | 6/31 |
| Net Margin | 35.0% | 4/31 |
| EBT Margin | 48.1% | 2/33 |
| Tax Rate | 27.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | PFS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 7.83x | 22/34 |
| Financial Leverage | 8.83x | 21/33 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | PFS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $370M | 4/34 |
| Free Cash Flow | $350M | 2/27 |
| Capital Spending | -$20M | 25/27 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -36.5% | 27/30 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -39.5% | 18/22 |
| FCF/Sales | 39.2% | 9/26 |
| CapEx/Sales | 2.2% | 12/26 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | PFS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.03x | 16/31 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 8.0x | 4/28 |
Income Statement
| Metric | PFS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $894M | 2/31 |
| Net Income | $313M | 3/31 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | PFS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.95 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 41.7% | 7/16 |
| Shares Outstanding | 130M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 35.4% | 7/24 |
| EPS Growth | 33.3% | 10/26 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $228M | 0.9% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $22.76B | 88.7% of assets |
PFS quarterly financials and insider trading
Provident Financial Services Inc (PFS) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Provident Financial Services Inc (Savings Institution, Federally Chartered): 34 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| PFS Provident Financial Services Inc | ▼ | $2.90B |
| HSBC Hsbc Holdings Plc | ▼ | $334.76B |
| AX Axos Financial, Inc. | ▼ | $5.00B |
| EBC Eastern Bankshares, Inc. | ▼ | $4.87B |
| TFSL Tfs Financial Corp | ▶ | $4.58B |
| CFFN Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. | ▲ | $1.03B |
| HTB Hometrust Bancshares, Inc. | ▶ | $786M |
| KRNY Kearny Financial Corp. | ▼ | $582M |
| NRIM Northrim Bancorp Inc | ▲ | $524M |
| PDLB Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | ▲ | $487M |
| FMAO Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc | ▲ | $486M |
| WSBF Waterstone Financial, Inc. | ▲ | $358M |
| FNRN First Northern Community Bancorp | ▲ | $275M |
| WNEB Western New England Bancorp, Inc. | ▲ | $272M |
| BCBP Bcb Bancorp Inc | ▲ | $250M |
| CZWI Citizens Community Bancorp Inc. | ▲ | $205M |
| FCAP First Capital Inc | ▶ | $205M |
| BVFL Bv Financial, Inc. | ▲ | $184M |
| FNWD Finward Bancorp | ▼ | $182M |
| FGBI First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. | ▲ | $136M |
| MGYR Magyar Bancorp, Inc. | ▶ | $128M |
| RVSB Riverview Bancorp Inc | ▶ | $120M |
| PROV Provident Financial Holdings Inc | ▶ | $113M |
| SFBC Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. | ▲ | $111M |
| BYFC Broadway Financial Corp \De\ | ▶ | $106M |
| FDSB Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. | ▲ | $88M |
| CPBI Central Plains Bancshares, Inc. | ▲ | $83M |
| NSTS Nsts Bancorp, Inc. | ▼ | $75M |
| HFBL Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. Of Louisiana | ▲ | $73M |
| CLST Catalyst Bancorp, Inc. | ▶ | $69M |
| KFFB Kentucky First Federal Bancorp | ▲ | $44M |
| MGNO Magnolia Bancorp, Inc. | ▼ | $12M |
| CARV Carver Bancorp Inc | ▲ | $9M |
| MFBI Monroe Federal Bancorp, Inc. | ▼ | $7M |
Where PFS sits on the market map
Provident Financial Services Inc (PFS) stock news
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Provident Financial Services Inc (PFS) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Provident Financial Services Inc (PFS) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Provident Financial Services Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Provident Financial Services Inc stock predictions?
For PFS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 34.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Provident Financial Services Inc forecasts updated?
Provident Financial Services Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Provident Financial Services Inc's industry peers?
34 issuers in our coverage, PFS included, share the SEC industry code Savings Institution, Federally Chartered. The largest are: Hsbc Holdings Plc (HSBC), Axos Financial, Inc. (AX), Eastern Bankshares, Inc. (EBC), Tfs Financial Corp (TFSL), Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN), Hometrust Bancshares, Inc. (HTB).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.