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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp (ADPT) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 15.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $3.83B mid-cap · #25 of 60 peers
Summary

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp (ADPT) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.83B. It ranks number 25 by market capitalization among the 60 Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For ADPT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 15.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 13.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ADPT included.

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Price

ADPT price chart and AI forecast

ADPT
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How ADPT ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp (ADPT) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricADPTIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $3.83B $2.38B 25/60
P/B Ratio 26.82x 4.69x 4/49
EPS $-0.47 – –
Book Value/Share $0.90 – –
Revenue/Share $1.93 – –
FCF/Share $-0.15 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricADPTIndustry medianRank
ROE -44.7% -32.1% 32/47
ROA -10.0% -24.2% 18/50
ROIC -6.8% -31.7% 17/53
Gross Margin 75.6% 75.0% 11/24
Operating Margin -12.2% -46.0% 17/40
Net Margin -20.7% -31.7% 18/37
EBT Margin -12.9% -52.3% 18/42

Financial Health

MetricADPTIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 4.79x 5.23x 35/59
Quick Ratio 4.68x 3.33x 9/28
D/E Ratio 3.43x 0.39x 4/53
Financial Leverage 4.48x 1.40x 4/52
Interest Coverage -5.8x -17.0x 16/37
Working Capital $333M $450M 40/59

Cash Flow

MetricADPTIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$21M -$132M 18/57
Free Cash Flow -$24M -$117M 17/50
Capital Spending -$3M -$7M 21/50
FCF/Sales -7.8% -8.7% 16/32
CapEx/Sales 1.0% 3.6% 28/32

Operational Efficiency

MetricADPTIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.48x 0.36x 14/36
Receivables Turnover 6.2x 5.8x 11/24
Inventory Turnover 7.2x 2.8x 3/23
Fixed Assets Turnover 10.5x 4.0x 11/37
Days Sales Outstanding 59 days 63 days 14/24
Days Inventory 51 days 133 days 21/23
Payables Period 25 days 63 days 25/26
Cash Conversion Cycle 84 days 82 days 9/18

Income Statement

MetricADPTIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $308M $414M 22/37
Operating Income -$37M -$189M 16/54
Net Income -$64M -$170M 18/50
R&D Expense $88M $204M 46/56
SG&A Expense $278M $296M 13/22
Cost of Goods Sold $75M $194M 19/26

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricADPTIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 160M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$421M65.6% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$170M26.5% of assets
Accounts Receivable$50M7.7% of assets
Inventory$10M1.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$490M76.5% of assets
Short-term Debt$82M12.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

ADPT quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp (ADPT) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp (Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
ADPT Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp ▲ $3.83B – 26.8x
AMGN Amgen Inc ▼ $233.82B 26.9x 20.0x
GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. ▲ $193.67B – 16.4x
MRNA Moderna, Inc. ▲ $87.04B – 12.9x
ARGX Argenx Se ▼ $50.69B 21.5x –
RVMD Revolution Medicines, Inc. ▲ $38.14B – 14.6x
BIIB Biogen Inc. ▼ $34.13B 25.0x 1.8x
BNTX Biontech Se ▲ $22.18B 2.3x –
EXEL Exelixis, Inc. ▶ $15.42B 17.9x 8.4x
HALO Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc. ▶ $13.83B 28.0x 96.3x
NBIX Neurocrine Biosciences Inc ▲ $13.79B 19.6x 3.7x
TECH Bio-Techne Corp ▼ $11.38B 62.6x 5.4x
QGEN Qiagen N.V. ▶ $10.01B 32.7x 2.7x
RGEN Repligen Corp ▲ $9.90B 254.2x 4.7x
IBRX Immunitybio, Inc. ▲ $9.73B – –
PCVX Vaxcyte, Inc. ▲ $9.47B – 3.4x
KRYS Krystal Biotech, Inc. ▶ $9.37B 39.7x 6.9x
KYMR Kymera Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $8.71B – 5.8x
TWST Twist Bioscience Corp ▲ $8.32B – 18.7x
IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. ▲ $6.17B – 8.4x
IMVT Immunovant, Inc. ▲ $5.52B – 7.5x
KOD Kodiak Sciences Inc. ▲ $5.39B – 88.2x
CGON Cg Oncology, Inc. ▲ $5.31B – 5.2x
SRRK Scholar Rock Holding Corp ▲ $4.86B – 19.2x
CRSP Crispr Therapeutics Ag ▲ $4.76B – 2.7x
RLAY Relay Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $3.57B – 4.0x
TARS Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▲ $2.99B – 8.6x
DNLI Denali Therapeutics Inc. ▼ $2.81B – 3.4x
BEAM Beam Therapeutics Inc. ▲ $2.42B 93.9x 2.3x
ADMA Adma Biologics, Inc. ▼ $2.39B 17.2x 5.9x
LIFE Atyr Pharma Inc ▲ $2.37B – 48.6x
RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▲ $2.07B – 2.3x
VCEL Vericel Corp ▶ $2.05B 108.5x 5.6x
BCRX Biocryst Pharmaceuticals Inc ▲ $1.99B – –
NVAX Novavax Inc ▲ $1.86B – –
ALVO Alvotech ▲ $1.78B – –
MESO Mesoblast Ltd ▶ $1.70B – –
VIR Vir Biotechnology, Inc. ▲ $1.69B – 1.7x
MAZE Maze Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $1.53B – 3.4x
IMCR Immunocore Holdings Plc ▶ $1.51B – 3.6x
COAG Hemab Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. ▶ $1.40B – 3.1x
TSHA Taysha Gene Therapies, Inc. ▲ $1.18B – 3.1x
VOR Vor Biopharma Inc. ▲ $1.07B – –
REPL Replimune Group, Inc. ▲ $1.02B – 9.7x
JATT Zura Bio Ltd ▶ $994M – 5.0x
IMTX Immatics N.V. ▲ $902M – –
MGTX Meiragtx Holdings Plc ▶ $891M 12.1x 4.1x
SLBT Sl Science Holding Ltd ▶ $873M – –
CGEM Cullinan Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $832M – 2.6x
GLUE Monte Rosa Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $831M – 1.7x
ODTX Odyssey Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $825M – 2.0x
DNA Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. ▲ $692M – 1.7x
SANA Sana Biotechnology, Inc. ▲ $680M – 4.4x
FDMT 4d Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $670M – 1.6x
AURA Aura Biosciences, Inc. ▲ $633M – 2.0x
PRME Prime Medicine, Inc. ▲ $629M – 15.8x
CADL Candel Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $627M – 5.0x
SLDB Solid Biosciences Inc. ▲ $593M – 1.6x
DBVT Dbv Technologies S.A. ▶ $536M – 3.2x
VALN Valneva Se ▼ $521M – –

Where ADPT sits on the market map

Life Sciences · Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
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News

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp (ADPT) stock news

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FAQ

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp (ADPT) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp (ADPT) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp stock predictions?

For ADPT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 15.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 13.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp forecasts updated?

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, ADPT included, share the SEC industry code Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances). The largest are: Amgen Inc (AMGN), Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD), Moderna, Inc. (MRNA), Argenx Se (ARGX), Revolution Medicines, Inc. (RVMD), Biogen Inc. (BIIB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.