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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Valneva Se (VALN) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -3.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $482M small-cap · #60 of 60 peers
Summary

Valneva Se (VALN) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Valneva Se every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Valneva Se is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $482M. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For VALN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -3.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -23.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, VALN included.

Price

VALN price chart and AI forecast

VALN
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How VALN ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Valneva Se (VALN) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in EUR and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricVALNIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $482M $2.69B 60/60
EPS $-1.43 – –
Revenue/Share $5.94 – –
FCF/Share $-1.48 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricVALNIndustry medianRank
ROIC -52.0% -28.6% 42/53
Gross Margin 44.6% 72.4% 22/24
Operating Margin -35.4% -35.4% 21/41
EBT Margin -45.6% -45.6% 22/43
Tax Rate -2.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricVALNIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.38x 5.47x 50/60
Quick Ratio 1.85x 3.39x 24/30
D/E Ratio 2.76x 0.39x 7/52
Financial Leverage 3.76x 1.40x 7/51
Working Capital $152M $435M 51/59

Cash Flow

MetricVALNIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$114M -$141M 27/57
Free Cash Flow -$127M -$117M 26/50
Capital Spending -$13M -$6M 35/50
FCF/Sales -25.0% -4.2% 19/33
CapEx/Sales 2.6% 3.0% 19/33

Operational Efficiency

MetricVALNIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.12x 0.35x 4/38
Receivables Turnover 16.1x 4.9x 2/24
Inventory Turnover 5.0x 2.7x 5/23
Fixed Assets Turnover 3.8x 4.0x 22/39
Days Sales Outstanding 23 days 75 days 23/24
Days Inventory 74 days 134 days 19/23
Payables Period 36 days 69 days 21/26
Cash Conversion Cycle 60 days 93 days 12/18

Income Statement

MetricVALNIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $508M $399M 15/39
Operating Income -$180M -$168M 28/54
R&D Expense $218M $204M 25/56
Cost of Goods Sold $281M $163M 12/27

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricVALNIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 86M – –
EPS Growth -270.3% 11.5% 14/15

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from EUR)

Total Current Assets$261M
Cash & Short-term Investments$129M
Accounts Receivable$33M
Inventory$59M
Total Liabilities$344M
Short-term Debt$81M
Quarterly Financial Reports

VALN quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)

Valneva Se (VALN) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Valneva Se (Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
VALN Valneva Se $482M – –
AMGN Amgen Inc $248.92B 26.7x 17.3x
GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. $207.00B – 15.9x
MRNA Moderna, Inc. $101.48B – 14.8x
ARGX Argenx Se $57.38B 24.3x –
RVMD Revolution Medicines, Inc. $38.08B – 15.9x
BIIB Biogen Inc. $36.71B 107.1x 1.9x
BNTX Biontech Se $22.13B 2.3x –
EXEL Exelixis, Inc. $16.98B 25.0x 9.3x
NBIX Neurocrine Biosciences Inc $16.73B 24.1x 4.3x
HALO Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc. $13.96B 24.9x –
TECH Bio-Techne Corp $11.43B 66.2x 5.3x
KYMR Kymera Therapeutics, Inc. $11.25B – 7.0x
RGEN Repligen Corp $11.09B – 5.3x
QGEN Qiagen N.V. $10.92B 35.7x 2.9x
PCVX Vaxcyte, Inc. $9.51B – 3.8x
IBRX Immunitybio, Inc. $9.15B – –
KRYS Krystal Biotech, Inc. $8.92B 40.9x 6.2x
TWST Twist Bioscience Corp $7.57B – 17.0x
CGON Cg Oncology, Inc. $6.74B – 6.8x
IMVT Immunovant, Inc. $6.31B – 8.6x
KOD Kodiak Sciences Inc. $6.24B – 102.2x
SRRK Scholar Rock Holding Corp $5.54B – 21.8x
CRSP Crispr Therapeutics Ag $4.84B – 2.9x
ADPT Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp $4.47B – 25.3x
RLAY Relay Therapeutics, Inc. $4.08B – 5.0x
IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. $3.51B – 4.3x
TARS Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $3.33B – 32.0x
DNLI Denali Therapeutics Inc. $3.21B – 3.5x
ADMA Adma Biologics, Inc. $2.85B 19.0x 6.5x
BEAM Beam Therapeutics Inc. $2.73B 377.3x 2.9x
VCEL Vericel Corp $2.65B 105.7x 6.9x
COAG Hemab Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. $2.29B – 5.0x
RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $2.18B – 2.4x
LIFE Atyr Pharma Inc $2.14B – 62.9x
REPL Replimune Group, Inc. $2.05B – 10.0x
BCRX Biocryst Pharmaceuticals Inc $1.97B – –
MAZE Maze Therapeutics, Inc. $1.90B – 4.2x
VIR Vir Biotechnology, Inc. $1.86B – 2.1x
MESO Mesoblast Ltd $1.83B – –
NVAX Novavax Inc $1.78B 119.8x –
ALVO Alvotech $1.73B – –
IMCR Immunocore Holdings Plc $1.60B – 3.8x
TSHA Taysha Gene Therapies, Inc. $1.41B – 3.6x
VOR Vor Biopharma Inc. $1.15B – –
ODTX Odyssey Therapeutics, Inc. $924M – 2.5x
GLUE Monte Rosa Therapeutics, Inc. $902M – 1.8x
PRME Prime Medicine, Inc. $843M – 21.2x
IMTX Immatics N.V. $829M – –
MGTX Meiragtx Holdings Plc $817M 11.1x 3.8x
DNA Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. $760M – 1.8x
CGEM Cullinan Therapeutics, Inc. $728M – 2.3x
SANA Sana Biotechnology, Inc. $709M – 3.9x
SLDB Solid Biosciences Inc. $707M – 2.1x
AURA Aura Biosciences, Inc. $680M – 2.2x
FDMT 4d Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. $676M – 1.7x
CADL Candel Therapeutics, Inc. $670M – 5.3x
DBVT Dbv Technologies S.A. $616M – 3.7x
SRZN Surrozen, Inc./De $542M – –
ENTX Entera Bio Ltd. $518M 9.1x 71.3x

Where VALN sits on the market map

Life Sciences · Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
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News

Valneva Se (VALN) stock news

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FAQ

Valneva Se (VALN) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Valneva Se (VALN) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Valneva Se every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Valneva Se stock predictions?

For VALN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -3.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -23.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Valneva Se forecasts updated?

Valneva Se forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Valneva Se's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, VALN included, share the SEC industry code Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances). The largest are: Amgen Inc (AMGN), Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD), Moderna, Inc. (MRNA), Argenx Se (ARGX), Revolution Medicines, Inc. (RVMD), Biogen Inc. (BIIB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.