Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.23B. It ranks number 43 by market capitalization among the 60 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For AESI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 10.0%, measured on 264 forecast dates between 2024-05-10 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 307 forecast dates between 2024-05-10 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.7%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How AESI ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | AESI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.23B | 43/60 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.11x | 32/39 |
| EPS | $-0.57 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $8.90 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $8.54 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-1.47 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | AESI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | -3.9% | 31/36 |
| Gross Margin | 23.4% | 16/17 |
| Operating Margin | -8.3% | 34/40 |
| EBT Margin | -14.8% | 41/48 |
| Tax Rate | 25.0% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | AESI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.82x | 10/54 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.78x | 1/25 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.30x | 18/49 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.30x | 15/43 |
| Interest Coverage | 1.4x | 36/40 |
| Working Capital | $216M | 10/54 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | AESI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $55M | 51/54 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$184M | 16/18 |
| Capital Spending | -$239M | 5/18 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -77.0% | 48/48 |
| FCF/Sales | -17.2% | 16/18 |
| CapEx/Sales | 22.4% | 9/18 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | AESI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.42x | 18/43 |
| Receivables Turnover | 4.9x | 40/43 |
| Inventory Turnover | 65.4x | 1/10 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 0.7x | 17/43 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 74 days | 4/43 |
| Days Inventory | 6 days | 8/8 |
| Payables Period | 38 days | 10/13 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 42 days | 3/6 |
Income Statement
| Metric | AESI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.07B | 37/53 |
| Operating Income | -$88M | 40/43 |
| SG&A Expense | $145M | 7/10 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $818M | 7/17 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | AESI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 125M | – |
| EPS Growth | -250.0% | 33/34 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $479M | 18.7% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $168M | 6.6% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $218M | 8.5% of assets |
| Inventory | $13M | 0.5% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $1.44B | 56.4% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $178M | 7.0% of assets |
AESI quarterly financials and insider trading
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. | ▲ | $1.23B |
| SHEL Shell Plc | ▼ | $298.93B |
| TTE Totalenergies Se | ▼ | $195.26B |
| PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa | ▶ | $163.05B |
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd | ▼ | $111.99B |
| E Eni Spa | ▼ | $97.06B |
| EOG Eog Resources Inc | ▶ | $82.88B |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | ▶ | $62.04B |
| OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ | ▼ | $60.65B |
| FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. | ▲ | $57.11B |
| DVN Devon Energy Corp/De | ▼ | $55.80B |
| WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd | ▼ | $44.24B |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | ▶ | $36.80B |
| EQT Eqt Corp | ▼ | $33.97B |
| EXE Expand Energy Corp | ▼ | $22.24B |
| PR Permian Resources Corp | ▶ | $19.77B |
| OVV Ovintiv Inc. | ▶ | $18.22B |
| APA Apa Corp | ▼ | $17.22B |
| AR Antero Resources Corp | ▼ | $11.88B |
| SSL Sasol Ltd | ▲ | $10.34B |
| RRC Range Resources Corp | ▶ | $9.68B |
| SM Sm Energy Co | ▶ | $8.92B |
| CHRD Chord Energy Corp | ▶ | $8.45B |
| MTDR Matador Resources Co | ▶ | $6.65B |
| MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp | ▶ | $5.81B |
| MUR Murphy Oil Corp | ▶ | $5.71B |
| CRGY Crescent Energy Co | ▲ | $5.65B |
| CNX Cnx Resources Corp | ▶ | $5.31B |
| CRC California Resources Corp | ▶ | $4.54B |
| PARR Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $4.20B |
| CRK Comstock Resources Inc | ▶ | $4.11B |
| HESM Hess Midstream Lp | ▲ | $3.93B |
| BSM Black Stone Minerals, L.P. | ▼ | $3.40B |
| GPOR Gulfport Energy Corp | ▼ | $2.94B |
| TALO Talos Energy Inc. | ▶ | $2.84B |
| NOG Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. | ▶ | $2.74B |
| BKV Bkv Corp | ▼ | $2.51B |
| VET Vermilion Energy Inc. | ▶ | $1.93B |
| MNR Mach Natural Resources Lp | ▶ | $1.81B |
| KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners, Lp | ▼ | $1.79B |
| KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd. | ▲ | $1.60B |
| GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. | ▲ | $1.58B |
| DMLP Dorchester Minerals, L.P. | ▼ | $1.49B |
| TBN Tamboran Resources Corp | ▶ | $1.11B |
| DEC Diversified Energy Co | ▶ | $1.05B |
| REPX Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. | ▼ | $1.04B |
| INR Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. | ▶ | $791M |
| TXO Txo Partners, L.P. | ▶ | $787M |
| TTI Tetra Technologies Inc | ▶ | $786M |
| OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. | ▲ | $772M |
| GPRK Geopark Ltd | ▶ | $761M |
| VTS Vitesse Energy, Inc. | ▶ | $733M |
| GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. | ▶ | $719M |
| EGY Vaalco Energy Inc /De/ | ▲ | $652M |
| SOC Sable Offshore Corp. | ▼ | $637M |
| WHK Whitehawk Minerals Corp. | ▶ | $576M |
| WTI W&T Offshore Inc | ▲ | $552M |
| SD Sandridge Energy Inc | ▶ | $516M |
| GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. | ▶ | $386M |
| NUAI New Era Energy & Digital, Inc. | ▶ | $355M |
Where AESI sits on the market map
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) stock news
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Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. stock predictions?
For AESI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 10.0%, measured on 264 forecast dates between 2024-05-10 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 307 forecast dates between 2024-05-10 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. forecasts updated?
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.'s industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, AESI included, share the SEC industry code Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas. The largest are: Shell Plc (SHEL), Totalenergies Se (TTE), Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa (PBR), Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ), Eni Spa (E), Eog Resources Inc (EOG).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.