Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, OVV is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
Ovintiv Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $18.22B. It ranks number 16 by market capitalization among the 60 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Gross Margin of 100.0% is the highest of the 17 peers that report one.
For OVV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 39.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.7%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, OVV included.
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How OVV ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | OVV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $18.22B | 16/60 |
| P/E Ratio | 23.04x | 5/41 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.58x | 21/39 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.77% | 20/24 |
| EPS | $2.87 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $41.74 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $35.42 | – |
| FCF/Share | $8.22 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | OVV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 8.0% | 24/33 |
| ROA | 4.8% | 25/35 |
| ROIC | 5.6% | 24/36 |
| Gross Margin | 100.0% | 1/17 |
| Operating Margin | 9.7% | 27/40 |
| Net Margin | 9.4% | 24/35 |
| EBT Margin | 2.8% | 35/48 |
| Tax Rate | -233.3% | – |
The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.
Financial Health
| Metric | OVV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.01x | 25/54 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.68x | 38/49 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.68x | 34/43 |
| Interest Coverage | 9.9x | 19/40 |
| Working Capital | $17M | 22/54 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | OVV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $4.45B | 14/54 |
| Free Cash Flow | $2.27B | 5/18 |
| Capital Spending | -$2.19B | 13/18 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 13.4% | 23/48 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 33.3% | 5/14 |
| FCF/Sales | 23.2% | 6/18 |
| CapEx/Sales | 22.4% | 8/18 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | OVV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.51x | 11/43 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 0.7x | 16/43 |
Income Statement
| Metric | OVV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $9.76B | 12/53 |
| Operating Income | $949M | 18/43 |
| Net Income | $920M | 15/38 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $0.00M | 15/17 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | OVV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $1.17 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 40.8% | 5/19 |
| Shares Outstanding | 276M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 54.6% | 9/28 |
| EPS Growth | -0.3% | 18/34 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $2.25B | 11.6% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $700M | 3.6% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $7.78B | 40.3% of assets |
OVV quarterly financials and insider trading
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ovintiv Inc. (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| OVV Ovintiv Inc. | ▶ | $18.22B |
| SHEL Shell Plc | ▼ | $298.93B |
| TTE Totalenergies Se | ▼ | $195.26B |
| PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa | ▶ | $163.05B |
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd | ▼ | $111.99B |
| E Eni Spa | ▼ | $97.06B |
| EOG Eog Resources Inc | ▶ | $82.88B |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | ▶ | $62.04B |
| OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ | ▼ | $60.65B |
| FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. | ▲ | $57.11B |
| DVN Devon Energy Corp/De | ▼ | $55.80B |
| WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd | ▼ | $44.24B |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | ▶ | $36.80B |
| EQT Eqt Corp | ▼ | $33.97B |
| EXE Expand Energy Corp | ▼ | $22.24B |
| PR Permian Resources Corp | ▶ | $19.77B |
| APA Apa Corp | ▼ | $17.22B |
| AR Antero Resources Corp | ▼ | $11.88B |
| SSL Sasol Ltd | ▲ | $10.34B |
| RRC Range Resources Corp | ▶ | $9.68B |
| SM Sm Energy Co | ▶ | $8.92B |
| CHRD Chord Energy Corp | ▶ | $8.45B |
| MTDR Matador Resources Co | ▶ | $6.65B |
| MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp | ▶ | $5.81B |
| MUR Murphy Oil Corp | ▶ | $5.71B |
| CRGY Crescent Energy Co | ▲ | $5.65B |
| CNX Cnx Resources Corp | ▶ | $5.31B |
| CRC California Resources Corp | ▶ | $4.54B |
| PARR Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $4.20B |
| CRK Comstock Resources Inc | ▶ | $4.11B |
| HESM Hess Midstream Lp | ▲ | $3.93B |
| BSM Black Stone Minerals, L.P. | ▼ | $3.40B |
| GPOR Gulfport Energy Corp | ▼ | $2.94B |
| TALO Talos Energy Inc. | ▶ | $2.84B |
| NOG Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. | ▶ | $2.74B |
| BKV Bkv Corp | ▼ | $2.51B |
| VET Vermilion Energy Inc. | ▶ | $1.93B |
| MNR Mach Natural Resources Lp | ▶ | $1.81B |
| KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners, Lp | ▼ | $1.79B |
| KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd. | ▲ | $1.60B |
| GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. | ▲ | $1.58B |
| DMLP Dorchester Minerals, L.P. | ▼ | $1.49B |
| AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. | ▲ | $1.23B |
| TBN Tamboran Resources Corp | ▶ | $1.11B |
| DEC Diversified Energy Co | ▶ | $1.05B |
| REPX Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. | ▼ | $1.04B |
| INR Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. | ▶ | $791M |
| TXO Txo Partners, L.P. | ▶ | $787M |
| TTI Tetra Technologies Inc | ▶ | $786M |
| OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. | ▲ | $772M |
| GPRK Geopark Ltd | ▶ | $761M |
| VTS Vitesse Energy, Inc. | ▶ | $733M |
| GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. | ▶ | $719M |
| EGY Vaalco Energy Inc /De/ | ▲ | $652M |
| SOC Sable Offshore Corp. | ▼ | $637M |
| WHK Whitehawk Minerals Corp. | ▶ | $576M |
| WTI W&T Offshore Inc | ▲ | $552M |
| SD Sandridge Energy Inc | ▶ | $516M |
| GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. | ▶ | $386M |
| NUAI New Era Energy & Digital, Inc. | ▶ | $355M |
Where OVV sits on the market map
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) stock news
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Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, OVV is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Ovintiv Inc. stock predictions?
For OVV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 39.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Ovintiv Inc. forecasts updated?
Ovintiv Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Ovintiv Inc.'s industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, OVV included, share the SEC industry code Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas. The largest are: Shell Plc (SHEL), Totalenergies Se (TTE), Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa (PBR), Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ), Eni Spa (E), Eog Resources Inc (EOG).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.