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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Diversified Energy Co (DEC) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -57.0% Spearman, 102 dates
Market Cap $1.05B small-cap · #45 of 60 peers
Summary

Diversified Energy Co (DEC) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, DEC is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

Diversified Energy Co is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.05B. It ranks number 45 by market capitalization among the 60 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For DEC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -57.0%, measured on 102 forecast dates between 2026-02-26 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 5.0%, measured on 145 forecast dates between 2026-02-26 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

DEC price chart and AI forecast

DEC
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How DEC ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Diversified Energy Co (DEC) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricDECIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.05B $4.02B 45/60
P/B Ratio 1.10x 1.59x 33/39
Book Value/Share $13.43 – –

Financial Health

MetricDECIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.57x 0.95x 46/54
D/E Ratio 5.42x 1.01x 3/49
Financial Leverage 6.43x 2.01x 2/43
Interest Coverage 7.5x 7.6x 22/40
Working Capital -$418M -$46M 46/54

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricDECIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 71M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$552M9.0% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$8M0.1% of assets
Accounts Receivable$408M6.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$5.15B84.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$840M13.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

DEC quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Diversified Energy Co (DEC) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Diversified Energy Co (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
DEC Diversified Energy Co ▶ $1.05B – 1.1x
SHEL Shell Plc ▼ $298.93B – –
TTE Totalenergies Se ▼ $195.26B 6.4x –
PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa ▶ $163.05B – –
CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd ▼ $111.99B 3.0x –
E Eni Spa ▼ $97.06B – –
EOG Eog Resources Inc ▶ $82.88B 12.3x 2.6x
CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. ▶ $62.04B 9.3x –
OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ ▼ $60.65B 8.4x 1.5x
FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. ▲ $57.11B 39.5x 1.5x
DVN Devon Energy Corp/De ▼ $55.80B 10.2x 3.6x
WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd ▼ $44.24B 4.5x –
EC Ecopetrol S.A. ▶ $36.80B – –
EQT Eqt Corp ▼ $33.97B 11.5x 2.3x
EXE Expand Energy Corp ▼ $22.24B 8.1x –
PR Permian Resources Corp ▶ $19.77B 12.2x 1.8x
OVV Ovintiv Inc. ▶ $18.22B 23.0x 1.6x
APA Apa Corp ▼ $17.22B 8.6x 2.5x
AR Antero Resources Corp ▼ $11.88B 9.3x 1.4x
SSL Sasol Ltd ▲ $10.34B 19.3x –
RRC Range Resources Corp ▶ $9.68B 10.3x 2.1x
SM Sm Energy Co ▶ $8.92B 7.4x 1.1x
CHRD Chord Energy Corp ▶ $8.45B 10.3x 1.0x
MTDR Matador Resources Co ▶ $6.65B 8.8x 1.1x
MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp ▶ $5.81B 14.0x 2.7x
MUR Murphy Oil Corp ▶ $5.71B 18.5x 1.1x
CRGY Crescent Energy Co ▲ $5.65B 107.4x 1.1x
CNX Cnx Resources Corp ▶ $5.31B 5.7x 1.1x
CRC California Resources Corp ▶ $4.54B – 1.3x
PARR Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ▲ $4.20B 5.1x 14.4x
CRK Comstock Resources Inc ▶ $4.11B 13.7x 1.6x
HESM Hess Midstream Lp ▲ $3.94B 10.5x –
BSM Black Stone Minerals, L.P. ▼ $3.40B 13.3x –
GPOR Gulfport Energy Corp ▼ $2.94B 6.4x 1.6x
TALO Talos Energy Inc. ▶ $2.84B – 2.4x
NOG Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. ▶ $2.74B – 1.4x
BKV Bkv Corp ▼ $2.51B 16.2x 1.1x
VET Vermilion Energy Inc. ▼ $1.93B 9.8x –
KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners, Lp ▼ $1.83B 22.2x –
MNR Mach Natural Resources Lp ▶ $1.81B 11.9x –
KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd. ▲ $1.60B – 3.0x
GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. ▲ $1.58B – –
DMLP Dorchester Minerals, L.P. ▼ $1.49B 17.1x –
AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. ▲ $1.23B – 1.1x
TBN Tamboran Resources Corp ▶ $1.11B – 1.4x
REPX Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. ▼ $1.04B 8.5x 1.6x
INR Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. ▶ $814M 4.7x 2.0x
TXO Txo Partners, L.P. ▶ $787M – –
TTI Tetra Technologies Inc ▶ $786M 531.0x 1.9x
OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. ▲ $772M 1.8x –
GPRK Geopark Ltd ▶ $761M 1.5x –
VTS Vitesse Energy, Inc. ▶ $733M 21.5x 1.2x
GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. ▶ $719M 24.8x 1.3x
EGY Vaalco Energy Inc /De/ ▲ $652M – 1.7x
SOC Sable Offshore Corp. ▼ $637M – 1.6x
WHK Whitehawk Minerals Corp. ▶ $576M – 2.1x
WTI W&T Offshore Inc ▲ $552M – –
SD Sandridge Energy Inc ▶ $516M 6.7x 1.0x
GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. ▶ $386M – 2.9x
NUAI New Era Energy & Digital, Inc. ▶ $355M – 2.6x

Where DEC sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
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News

Diversified Energy Co (DEC) stock news

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FAQ

Diversified Energy Co (DEC) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Diversified Energy Co (DEC) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, DEC is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Diversified Energy Co stock predictions?

For DEC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -57.0%, measured on 102 forecast dates between 2026-02-26 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 5.0%, measured on 145 forecast dates between 2026-02-26 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Diversified Energy Co forecasts updated?

Diversified Energy Co forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Diversified Energy Co's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, DEC included, share the SEC industry code Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas. The largest are: Shell Plc (SHEL), Totalenergies Se (TTE), Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa (PBR), Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ), Eni Spa (E), Eog Resources Inc (EOG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.