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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 16.0% Spearman, 270 dates
Market Cap $1.58B small-cap · #41 of 60 peers
Summary

Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Greenfire Resources Ltd. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Greenfire Resources Ltd. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.58B. It ranks number 41 by market capitalization among the 60 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its D/E Ratio of 0.10x is the lowest of the 49 peers that report one.

For GFR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 16.0%, measured on 270 forecast dates between 2024-03-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 313 forecast dates between 2024-03-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, GFR included.

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Price

GFR price chart and AI forecast

GFR
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How GFR ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in CAD and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricGFRIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.58B $4.02B 41/60

Financial Health

MetricGFRIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.56x 0.95x 15/54
Quick Ratio 1.34x 0.79x 6/26
D/E Ratio 0.10x 1.01x 49/49
Financial Leverage 1.10x 2.01x 43/43
Working Capital $39M -$49M 19/54

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricGFRIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 240M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from CAD)

Total Current Assets$109M
Cash & Short-term Investments$31M
Accounts Receivable$48M
Inventory$15M
Total Liabilities$86M
Short-term Debt$5M
Quarterly Financial Reports

GFR quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Greenfire Resources Ltd. (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. ▲ $1.58B – –
SHEL Shell Plc ▼ $298.93B – –
TTE Totalenergies Se ▼ $195.26B 6.4x –
PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa ▶ $167.55B – –
CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd ▼ $111.99B 3.0x –
E Eni Spa ▼ $97.06B – –
EOG Eog Resources Inc ▶ $82.88B 12.3x 2.6x
CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. ▶ $62.04B 9.3x –
OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ ▼ $60.65B 8.4x 1.5x
FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. ▲ $57.11B 39.5x 1.5x
DVN Devon Energy Corp/De ▼ $55.80B 10.2x 3.6x
WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd ▼ $44.24B 4.5x –
EC Ecopetrol S.A. ▶ $36.80B – –
EQT Eqt Corp ▼ $33.97B 11.5x 2.3x
EXE Expand Energy Corp ▼ $22.24B 8.1x –
PR Permian Resources Corp ▶ $19.77B 12.2x 1.8x
OVV Ovintiv Inc. ▶ $18.22B 23.0x 1.6x
APA Apa Corp ▼ $17.22B 8.6x 2.5x
AR Antero Resources Corp ▼ $11.88B 9.3x 1.4x
SSL Sasol Ltd ▲ $10.34B 19.3x –
RRC Range Resources Corp ▶ $9.68B 10.3x 2.1x
SM Sm Energy Co ▶ $8.92B 7.4x 1.1x
CHRD Chord Energy Corp ▶ $8.45B 10.3x 1.0x
MTDR Matador Resources Co ▼ $7.12B 9.4x 1.2x
MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp ▶ $6.01B 14.5x 2.8x
MUR Murphy Oil Corp ▶ $5.98B 19.4x 1.1x
CRGY Crescent Energy Co ▲ $5.65B 107.4x 1.1x
CNX Cnx Resources Corp ▶ $5.31B 5.7x 1.1x
CRC California Resources Corp ▶ $4.54B – 1.3x
PARR Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ▲ $4.20B 5.1x 14.4x
CRK Comstock Resources Inc ▶ $4.11B 13.7x 1.6x
HESM Hess Midstream Lp ▲ $3.94B 10.5x –
BSM Black Stone Minerals, L.P. ▼ $3.40B 13.3x –
GPOR Gulfport Energy Corp ▼ $2.94B 6.4x 1.6x
NOG Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. ▶ $2.89B – 1.5x
TALO Talos Energy Inc. ▶ $2.84B – 2.4x
BKV Bkv Corp ▼ $2.51B 16.2x 1.1x
VET Vermilion Energy Inc. ▼ $1.93B 9.8x –
MNR Mach Natural Resources Lp ▶ $1.85B 12.2x –
KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners, Lp ▼ $1.83B 22.2x –
KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd. ▲ $1.66B – 3.1x
DMLP Dorchester Minerals, L.P. ▼ $1.49B 17.1x –
AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. ▲ $1.23B – 1.1x
TBN Tamboran Resources Corp ▶ $1.11B – 1.4x
DEC Diversified Energy Co ▶ $1.05B – 1.1x
REPX Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. ▼ $1.04B 8.5x 1.6x
INR Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. ▶ $814M 4.7x 2.0x
OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. ▲ $805M 1.9x –
TXO Txo Partners, L.P. ▶ $787M – –
TTI Tetra Technologies Inc ▶ $786M 531.0x 1.9x
GPRK Geopark Ltd ▶ $761M 1.5x –
VTS Vitesse Energy, Inc. ▶ $733M 21.5x 1.2x
GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. ▶ $719M 24.8x 1.3x
EGY Vaalco Energy Inc /De/ ▲ $652M – 1.7x
SOC Sable Offshore Corp. ▼ $637M – 1.6x
WHK Whitehawk Minerals Corp. ▶ $576M – 2.1x
WTI W&T Offshore Inc ▲ $552M – –
SD Sandridge Energy Inc ▶ $516M 6.7x 1.0x
GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. ▶ $386M – 2.9x
REI Ring Energy, Inc. ▶ $341M – 0.5x

Where GFR sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
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News

Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) stock news

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FAQ

Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Greenfire Resources Ltd. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Greenfire Resources Ltd. stock predictions?

For GFR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 16.0%, measured on 270 forecast dates between 2024-03-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 313 forecast dates between 2024-03-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Greenfire Resources Ltd. forecasts updated?

Greenfire Resources Ltd. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Greenfire Resources Ltd.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, GFR included, share the SEC industry code Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas. The largest are: Shell Plc (SHEL), Totalenergies Se (TTE), Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa (PBR), Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ), Eni Spa (E), Eog Resources Inc (EOG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.