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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 30.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $3.41B mid-cap · #31 of 60 peers
Summary

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.41B. It ranks number 31 by market capitalization among the 60 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 11.67x is the highest of the 39 peers that report one.

For PARR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 13.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, PARR included.

Price

PARR price chart and AI forecast

PARR
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How PARR ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricPARRIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $3.41B $3.63B 31/60
P/E Ratio 3.48x 8.29x 38/41
P/B Ratio 11.67x 1.35x 1/39
EPS $19.54 – –
Book Value/Share $5.83 – –
Revenue/Share $192.78 – –
FCF/Share $20.50 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricPARRIndustry medianRank
Gross Margin 22.2% 75.8% 18/19
Operating Margin 21.9% 25.5% 24/40
EBT Margin 21.1% 18.1% 24/49
Tax Rate 23.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricPARRIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.65x 0.86x 8/54
Quick Ratio 0.82x 0.87x 15/26
D/E Ratio 1.54x 1.11x 13/49
Interest Coverage 21.2x 5.5x 7/39
Working Capital $1.22B -$68M 6/54

Cash Flow

MetricPARRIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.17B $1.05B 25/55
Free Cash Flow $1.03B $482M 7/19
Capital Spending -$148M -$595M 4/19
OCF Growth YoY 249.5% 23.7% 1/49
FCF Growth YoY 514.6% 14.1% 1/14
FCF/Sales 10.6% 13.5% 12/19
CapEx/Sales 1.5% 21.8% 19/19

Operational Efficiency

MetricPARRIndustry medianRank
Receivables Turnover 15.8x 7.6x 10/43
Inventory Turnover 4.8x 4.3x 5/10
Fixed Assets Turnover 7.9x 0.6x 6/43
Days Sales Outstanding 23 days 48 days 34/43
Days Inventory 76 days 74 days 4/8
Payables Period 42 days 261 days 12/14
Cash Conversion Cycle 57 days 16 days 2/6

Income Statement

MetricPARRIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $9.66B $2.60B 13/53
Operating Income $1.27B $616M 16/43
Cost of Goods Sold $7.52B $486M 2/18

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricPARRIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 50M – –
EPS Growth 340.1% 22.4% 4/34

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$3.09B
Cash & Short-term Investments$731M98.7% of assets
Accounts Receivable$611M82.5% of assets
Inventory$1.55B
Total Liabilities$449M60.6% of assets
Short-term Debt$1.02B
Quarterly Financial Reports

PARR quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
PARR Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. $3.41B 3.5x 11.7x
SHEL Shell Plc $286.06B – –
TTE Totalenergies Se $193.78B 6.4x –
PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa $119.41B – –
CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd $101.06B 2.7x –
E Eni Spa $91.48B – –
EOG Eog Resources Inc $77.17B 9.5x 2.4x
OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ $56.36B 7.8x 1.4x
CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. $51.70B 7.7x –
FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. $50.29B 24.2x 1.3x
DVN Devon Energy Corp/De $46.43B 7.9x 3.0x
WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd $40.76B 4.2x –
EC Ecopetrol S.A. $31.97B – –
EQT Eqt Corp $30.90B 10.7x 2.1x
EXE Expand Energy Corp $20.15B 7.3x –
PR Permian Resources Corp $17.87B 12.6x 1.6x
OVV Ovintiv Inc. $16.78B 9.8x 1.5x
APA Apa Corp $15.64B 6.3x 2.2x
RRC Range Resources Corp $11.39B 11.7x 2.3x
AR Antero Resources Corp $11.08B 7.1x 1.3x
SSL Sasol Ltd $9.64B 18.0x –
CHRD Chord Energy Corp $7.47B 8.5x 0.9x
SM Sm Energy Co $7.12B 7.3x 0.9x
MTDR Matador Resources Co $6.24B 8.3x 1.0x
MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp $5.61B 10.6x 1.3x
MUR Murphy Oil Corp $5.21B 10.4x 1.0x
CNX Cnx Resources Corp $4.99B 5.6x 1.0x
CRGY Crescent Energy Co $4.74B 79.1x 0.9x
CRK Comstock Resources Inc $3.94B 12.1x 1.5x
CRC California Resources Corp $3.93B – 1.3x
HESM Hess Midstream Lp $3.85B 10.2x –
BSM Black Stone Minerals, L.P. $3.17B 14.6x –
GPOR Gulfport Energy Corp $2.74B 5.7x 1.5x
TALO Talos Energy Inc. $2.48B – 2.1x
NOG Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. $2.43B – 1.3x
BKV Bkv Corp $1.92B 8.7x 0.9x
KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners, Lp $1.70B 22.0x –
VET Vermilion Energy Inc. $1.60B 8.1x –
MNR Mach Natural Resources Lp $1.50B 6.3x –
DMLP Dorchester Minerals, L.P. $1.35B 13.0x –
GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. $1.35B – –
KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd. $1.26B – 2.4x
TBN Tamboran Resources Corp $1.01B – 1.3x
GPRK Geopark Ltd $1.01B 1.2x –
REPX Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. $913M 10.6x 1.5x
DEC Diversified Energy Co $899M 4.4x 1.2x
TTI Tetra Technologies Inc $888M 150.0x 2.1x
INR Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. $811M 4.5x 2.0x
TXO Txo Partners, L.P. $703M – –
GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. $698M – 1.3x
AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. $676M – 0.6x
OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. $651M 1.6x –
VTS Vitesse Energy, Inc. $632M – 1.1x
WHK Whitehawk Minerals Corp. $584M – 2.1x
EGY Vaalco Energy Inc /De/ $566M – 1.5x
WTI W&T Offshore Inc $483M – –
SD Sandridge Energy Inc $463M 4.2x 0.8x
SOC Sable Offshore Corp. $370M – 0.9x
GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. $333M – 3.7x
PNRG Primeenergy Resources Corp $294M 18.1x 1.4x

Where PARR sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
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News

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) stock news

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FAQ

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?

For PARR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 13.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, PARR included, share the SEC industry code Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas. The largest are: Shell Plc (SHEL), Totalenergies Se (TTE), Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa (PBR), Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ), Eni Spa (E), Eog Resources Inc (EOG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.