Why Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras ADR crashed today
Brazil's President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva pulled off an upset victory last night.
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Our AI scores Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $119.41B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 60 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For PBR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -25.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, PBR included.
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas peers listed below that report each metric.
| Metric | PBR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $119.41B | 3/60 |
| Revenue/Share | $29.79 | – |
| Metric | PBR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 64.0% | 3/36 |
| Gross Margin | 51.2% | 14/19 |
| Net Margin | 24.4% | 12/40 |
| Metric | PBR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 1.94x | 7/49 |
| Interest Coverage | 10.9x | 14/39 |
| Metric | PBR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $191.96B | 2/53 |
| Net Income | $46.84B | 1/43 |
| Metric | PBR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 6444M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 16.7% | 19/31 |
| Total Liabilities | $141.67B |
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa | $119.41B | |
| SHEL Shell Plc | $286.06B | |
| TTE Totalenergies Se | $193.78B | |
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd | $101.06B | |
| E Eni Spa | $91.07B | |
| EOG Eog Resources Inc | $77.17B | |
| OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ | $56.36B | |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | $51.70B | |
| FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. | $50.11B | |
| DVN Devon Energy Corp/De | $46.43B | |
| WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd | $40.76B | |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | $31.97B | |
| EQT Eqt Corp | $30.90B | |
| EXE Expand Energy Corp | $20.15B | |
| PR Permian Resources Corp | $17.87B | |
| OVV Ovintiv Inc. | $16.78B | |
| APA Apa Corp | $15.64B | |
| RRC Range Resources Corp | $11.39B | |
| AR Antero Resources Corp | $11.08B | |
| SSL Sasol Ltd | $9.64B | |
| CHRD Chord Energy Corp | $7.47B | |
| SM Sm Energy Co | $7.12B | |
| MTDR Matador Resources Co | $6.24B | |
| MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp | $5.61B | |
| MUR Murphy Oil Corp | $5.21B | |
| CNX Cnx Resources Corp | $4.99B | |
| CRGY Crescent Energy Co | $4.74B | |
| CRK Comstock Resources Inc | $3.94B | |
| CRC California Resources Corp | $3.93B | |
| HESM Hess Midstream Lp | $3.85B | |
| PARR Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. | $3.41B | |
| BSM Black Stone Minerals, L.P. | $3.17B | |
| GPOR Gulfport Energy Corp | $2.65B | |
| TALO Talos Energy Inc. | $2.48B | |
| NOG Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. | $2.43B | |
| BKV Bkv Corp | $1.92B | |
| KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners, Lp | $1.70B | |
| VET Vermilion Energy Inc. | $1.60B | |
| MNR Mach Natural Resources Lp | $1.50B | |
| DMLP Dorchester Minerals, L.P. | $1.35B | |
| GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. | $1.35B | |
| KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd. | $1.26B | |
| TBN Tamboran Resources Corp | $1.01B | |
| GPRK Geopark Ltd | $1.01B | |
| REPX Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. | $913M | |
| DEC Diversified Energy Co | $899M | |
| TTI Tetra Technologies Inc | $888M | |
| INR Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. | $811M | |
| TXO Txo Partners, L.P. | $703M | |
| GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. | $698M | |
| AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. | $676M | |
| OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. | $651M | |
| VTS Vitesse Energy, Inc. | $632M | |
| WHK Whitehawk Minerals Corp. | $584M | |
| EGY Vaalco Energy Inc /De/ | $566M | |
| WTI W&T Offshore Inc | $483M | |
| SD Sandridge Energy Inc | $463M | |
| SOC Sable Offshore Corp. | $370M | |
| GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. | $333M | |
| PNRG Primeenergy Resources Corp | $294M |
Brazil's President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva pulled off an upset victory last night.
The average one-year price target for Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras - Depositary Receipt (NYSE:PBR.A) (BMV:PBRA N) has been revised to $24.71 / share. This is an increase of 10.30% from the ...
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Our AI scores Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
For PBR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -25.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
60 issuers in our coverage, PBR included, share the SEC industry code Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas. The largest are: Shell Plc (SHEL), Totalenergies Se (TTE), Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ), Eni Spa (E), Eog Resources Inc (EOG), Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ (OXY).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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