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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -21.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $111.99B large-cap · #4 of 60 peers
Summary

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Canadian Natural Resources Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $111.99B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 60 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For CNQ, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -21.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -1.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.7%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

CNQ price chart and AI forecast

CNQ
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How CNQ ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in CAD and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricCNQIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $111.99B $4.02B 4/60
P/E Ratio 3.00x 10.28x 39/41
EPS $17.92 – –
Revenue/Share $52.57 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCNQIndustry medianRank
ROE 81.4% 16.9% 2/33
ROA 39.3% 9.0% 3/35
Net Margin 23.6% 19.9% 15/35
EBT Margin 29.6% 16.8% 15/48
Tax Rate 20.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricCNQIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.95x 0.95x 28/54
Quick Ratio 0.63x 0.79x 19/25
D/E Ratio 1.07x 1.01x 24/49
Financial Leverage 2.07x 2.01x 20/43
Working Capital -$291M -$46M 42/54

Cash Flow

MetricCNQIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $43.17B $1.02B 3/54
OCF Growth YoY 57.9% 12.7% 8/48

Operational Efficiency

MetricCNQIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.66x 0.38x 5/43
Fixed Assets Turnover 2.0x 0.6x 13/43

Income Statement

MetricCNQIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $109.42B $2.18B 3/53
Net Income $25.87B $551M 4/38

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCNQIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 2082M – –
Net Income Growth 136.9% 16.7% 5/28
EPS Growth 96.1% 0.3% 11/34

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from CAD)

Total Current Assets$5.58B
Cash & Short-term Investments$490M
Inventory$1.91B
Total Liabilities$34.58B
Quarterly Financial Reports

CNQ quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd ▼ $111.99B 3.0x –
SHEL Shell Plc ▼ $298.93B – –
TTE Totalenergies Se ▼ $195.26B 6.4x –
PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa ▶ $163.05B – –
E Eni Spa ▼ $97.06B – –
EOG Eog Resources Inc ▶ $82.88B 12.3x 2.6x
CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. ▶ $62.04B 9.3x –
OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ ▼ $60.65B 8.4x 1.5x
FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. ▲ $57.11B 39.5x 1.5x
DVN Devon Energy Corp/De ▼ $55.80B 10.2x 3.6x
WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd ▼ $44.24B 4.5x –
EC Ecopetrol S.A. ▶ $36.80B – –
EQT Eqt Corp ▼ $33.97B 11.5x 2.3x
EXE Expand Energy Corp ▼ $22.24B 8.1x –
PR Permian Resources Corp ▶ $19.77B 12.2x 1.8x
OVV Ovintiv Inc. ▶ $18.22B 23.0x 1.6x
APA Apa Corp ▼ $17.22B 8.6x 2.5x
AR Antero Resources Corp ▼ $11.88B 9.3x 1.4x
SSL Sasol Ltd ▲ $10.34B 19.3x –
RRC Range Resources Corp ▶ $9.68B 10.3x 2.1x
SM Sm Energy Co ▶ $8.92B 7.4x 1.1x
CHRD Chord Energy Corp ▶ $8.45B 10.3x 1.0x
MTDR Matador Resources Co ▶ $6.65B 8.8x 1.1x
MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp ▶ $5.81B 14.0x 2.7x
MUR Murphy Oil Corp ▶ $5.71B 18.5x 1.1x
CRGY Crescent Energy Co ▲ $5.65B 107.4x 1.1x
CNX Cnx Resources Corp ▶ $5.31B 5.7x 1.1x
CRC California Resources Corp ▶ $4.54B – 1.3x
PARR Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ▲ $4.20B 5.1x 14.4x
CRK Comstock Resources Inc ▶ $4.11B 13.7x 1.6x
HESM Hess Midstream Lp ▲ $3.93B 10.5x –
BSM Black Stone Minerals, L.P. ▼ $3.40B 13.3x –
GPOR Gulfport Energy Corp ▼ $2.94B 6.4x 1.6x
TALO Talos Energy Inc. ▶ $2.84B – 2.4x
NOG Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. ▶ $2.74B – 1.4x
BKV Bkv Corp ▼ $2.51B 16.2x 1.1x
VET Vermilion Energy Inc. ▶ $1.93B 9.8x –
MNR Mach Natural Resources Lp ▶ $1.81B 11.9x –
KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners, Lp ▼ $1.79B 21.7x –
KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd. ▲ $1.60B – 3.0x
GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. ▲ $1.58B – –
DMLP Dorchester Minerals, L.P. ▼ $1.49B 17.1x –
AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. ▲ $1.23B – 1.1x
TBN Tamboran Resources Corp ▶ $1.11B – 1.4x
DEC Diversified Energy Co ▶ $1.05B – 1.1x
REPX Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. ▼ $1.04B 8.5x 1.6x
INR Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. ▶ $791M 4.6x 2.0x
TXO Txo Partners, L.P. ▶ $787M – –
TTI Tetra Technologies Inc ▶ $786M 531.0x 1.9x
OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. ▲ $772M 1.8x –
GPRK Geopark Ltd ▶ $761M 1.5x –
VTS Vitesse Energy, Inc. ▶ $733M 21.5x 1.2x
GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. ▶ $719M 24.8x 1.3x
EGY Vaalco Energy Inc /De/ ▲ $652M – 1.7x
SOC Sable Offshore Corp. ▼ $637M – 1.6x
WHK Whitehawk Minerals Corp. ▶ $576M – 2.1x
WTI W&T Offshore Inc ▲ $552M – –
SD Sandridge Energy Inc ▶ $516M 6.7x 1.0x
GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. ▶ $386M – 2.9x
NUAI New Era Energy & Digital, Inc. ▶ $355M – 2.6x

Where CNQ sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
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News

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FAQ

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Canadian Natural Resources Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Canadian Natural Resources Ltd stock predictions?

For CNQ, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -21.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -1.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Canadian Natural Resources Ltd forecasts updated?

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Canadian Natural Resources Ltd's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, CNQ included, share the SEC industry code Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas. The largest are: Shell Plc (SHEL), Totalenergies Se (TTE), Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa (PBR), Eni Spa (E), Eog Resources Inc (EOG), Cenovus Energy Inc. (CVE).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.