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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 30.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $5.61B mid-cap · #24 of 60 peers
Summary

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $5.61B. It ranks number 24 by market capitalization among the 60 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For MGY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 25.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MGY included.

Price

MGY price chart and AI forecast

MGY
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How MGY ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMGYIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $5.61B $3.63B 24/60
P/E Ratio 10.61x 8.29x 13/41
P/B Ratio 1.32x 1.35x 22/39
Dividend Yield 2.35% 2.95% 20/25
EPS $2.23 – –
Book Value/Share $17.95 – –
Revenue/Share $7.04 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMGYIndustry medianRank
ROE 10.1% 16.0% 26/36
ROA 5.8% 6.6% 21/38
ROIC 9.3% 9.4% 19/35
Operating Margin 36.9% 25.5% 11/40
Net Margin 25.8% 16.9% 9/40
EBT Margin 32.8% 18.1% 10/49
Tax Rate 20.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricMGYIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.51x 0.86x 46/54
D/E Ratio 0.73x 1.11x 35/49
Financial Leverage 1.73x 2.09x 33/42
Interest Coverage 6.7x 5.5x 16/39
Working Capital -$365M -$68M 41/54

Cash Flow

MetricMGYIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.16B $1.05B 26/55
OCF Growth YoY 29.8% 23.7% 19/49

Operational Efficiency

MetricMGYIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.23x 0.40x 39/42
Receivables Turnover 5.2x 7.6x 38/43
Days Sales Outstanding 71 days 48 days 6/43

Income Statement

MetricMGYIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.67B $2.60B 33/53
Operating Income $616M $616M 22/43
Net Income $431M $468M 24/43

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMGYIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.56 – –
Payout Ratio 25.1% 23.8% 8/18
Shares Outstanding 237M – –
Net Income Growth 25.9% 32.0% 18/31
EPS Growth 24.0% 22.4% 17/34

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$381M5.2% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$17M0.2% of assets
Accounts Receivable$323M4.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$3.12B42.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$410M5.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MGY quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp $5.61B 10.6x 1.3x
SHEL Shell Plc $286.06B – –
TTE Totalenergies Se $193.78B 6.4x –
PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa $119.41B – –
CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd $101.06B 2.7x –
E Eni Spa $91.07B – –
EOG Eog Resources Inc $77.17B 9.5x 2.4x
OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ $56.36B 7.8x 1.4x
CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. $51.70B 7.7x –
FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. $50.11B 24.1x 1.3x
DVN Devon Energy Corp/De $46.43B 7.9x 3.0x
WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd $40.76B 4.2x –
EC Ecopetrol S.A. $31.97B – –
EQT Eqt Corp $30.90B 10.7x 2.1x
EXE Expand Energy Corp $20.15B 7.3x –
PR Permian Resources Corp $17.87B 12.6x 1.6x
OVV Ovintiv Inc. $16.78B 9.8x 1.5x
APA Apa Corp $15.64B 6.3x 2.2x
RRC Range Resources Corp $11.39B 11.7x 2.3x
AR Antero Resources Corp $11.08B 7.1x 1.3x
SSL Sasol Ltd $9.64B 18.0x –
CHRD Chord Energy Corp $7.47B 8.5x 0.9x
SM Sm Energy Co $7.12B 7.3x 0.9x
MTDR Matador Resources Co $6.24B 8.3x 1.0x
MUR Murphy Oil Corp $5.21B 10.4x 1.0x
CNX Cnx Resources Corp $4.99B 5.6x 1.0x
CRGY Crescent Energy Co $4.74B 79.1x 0.9x
CRK Comstock Resources Inc $3.94B 12.1x 1.5x
CRC California Resources Corp $3.93B – 1.3x
HESM Hess Midstream Lp $3.85B 10.2x –
PARR Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. $3.41B 3.5x 11.7x
BSM Black Stone Minerals, L.P. $3.17B 14.6x –
GPOR Gulfport Energy Corp $2.65B 5.5x 1.4x
TALO Talos Energy Inc. $2.48B – 2.1x
NOG Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. $2.43B – 1.3x
BKV Bkv Corp $1.92B 8.7x 0.9x
KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners, Lp $1.70B 22.0x –
VET Vermilion Energy Inc. $1.60B 8.1x –
MNR Mach Natural Resources Lp $1.50B 6.3x –
DMLP Dorchester Minerals, L.P. $1.35B 13.0x –
GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. $1.35B – –
KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd. $1.26B – 2.4x
TBN Tamboran Resources Corp $1.01B – 1.3x
GPRK Geopark Ltd $1.01B 1.2x –
REPX Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. $913M 10.6x 1.5x
DEC Diversified Energy Co $899M 4.4x 1.2x
TTI Tetra Technologies Inc $888M 150.0x 2.1x
INR Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. $811M 4.5x 2.0x
TXO Txo Partners, L.P. $703M – –
GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. $698M – 1.3x
AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. $676M – 0.6x
OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. $651M 1.6x –
VTS Vitesse Energy, Inc. $632M – 1.1x
WHK Whitehawk Minerals Corp. $584M – 2.1x
EGY Vaalco Energy Inc /De/ $566M – 1.5x
WTI W&T Offshore Inc $483M – –
SD Sandridge Energy Inc $463M 4.2x 0.8x
SOC Sable Offshore Corp. $370M – 0.9x
GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. $333M – 3.7x
PNRG Primeenergy Resources Corp $294M 18.1x 1.4x

Where MGY sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
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News

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) stock news

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FAQ

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp stock predictions?

For MGY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 25.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp forecasts updated?

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, MGY included, share the SEC industry code Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas. The largest are: Shell Plc (SHEL), Totalenergies Se (TTE), Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa (PBR), Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ), Eni Spa (E), Eog Resources Inc (EOG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.