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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Antero Resources Corp (AR) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 2.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $11.88B large-cap · #18 of 60 peers
Summary

Antero Resources Corp (AR) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Antero Resources Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Antero Resources Corp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $11.88B. It ranks number 18 by market capitalization among the 60 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For AR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 2.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

AR price chart and AI forecast

AR
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How AR ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Antero Resources Corp (AR) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricARIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $11.88B $4.02B 18/60
P/E Ratio 9.31x 10.28x 25/41
P/B Ratio 1.43x 1.59x 24/39
EPS $4.15 – –
Book Value/Share $27.05 – –
Revenue/Share $19.94 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricARIndustry medianRank
ROE 13.0% 16.1% 20/34
ROA 7.1% 8.9% 20/36
ROIC 11.2% 9.9% 13/36
Operating Margin 24.7% 22.6% 20/40
Net Margin 17.7% 19.0% 20/36
EBT Margin 23.8% 16.8% 22/48
Tax Rate 23.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricARIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.40x 0.95x 53/54
D/E Ratio 0.83x 1.01x 31/49
Financial Leverage 1.83x 2.01x 31/43
Interest Coverage 5.4x 7.6x 30/40
Working Capital -$1.04B -$49M 50/54

Cash Flow

MetricARIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.98B $1.02B 20/54
OCF Growth YoY 41.9% 12.6% 11/49

Operational Efficiency

MetricARIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.40x 0.38x 19/43
Receivables Turnover 244.6x 9.0x 1/43
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.5x 0.5x 24/43
Days Sales Outstanding 1 days 41 days 43/43

Income Statement

MetricARIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $6.13B $2.18B 17/53
Operating Income $1.51B $563M 11/43
Net Income $1.08B $538M 12/39

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricARIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 307M – –
Net Income Growth 140.2% 16.7% 4/29
EPS Growth 366.3% -0.3% 5/35

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$694M4.6% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$0.00M0.0% of assets
Accounts Receivable$25M0.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$6.92B45.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

AR quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Antero Resources Corp (AR) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Antero Resources Corp (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
AR Antero Resources Corp ▼ $11.88B 9.3x 1.4x
SHEL Shell Plc ▼ $307.91B – –
TTE Totalenergies Se ▼ $201.55B 6.6x –
PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa ▶ $167.55B – –
CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd ▼ $111.99B 3.0x –
E Eni Spa ▼ $97.06B – –
EOG Eog Resources Inc ▶ $82.88B 12.3x 2.6x
OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ ▼ $62.36B 8.6x 1.5x
CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. ▶ $62.04B 9.3x –
FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. ▲ $57.11B 39.5x 1.5x
DVN Devon Energy Corp/De ▼ $55.80B 10.2x 3.6x
WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd ▼ $44.94B 4.6x –
EC Ecopetrol S.A. ▶ $36.80B – –
EQT Eqt Corp ▼ $33.97B 11.5x 2.3x
EXE Expand Energy Corp ▼ $22.24B 8.1x –
PR Permian Resources Corp ▶ $20.60B 12.7x 1.8x
OVV Ovintiv Inc. ▶ $19.10B 24.2x 1.7x
APA Apa Corp ▼ $17.22B 8.6x 2.5x
SSL Sasol Ltd ▲ $10.62B 19.8x –
RRC Range Resources Corp ▼ $10.10B 10.8x 2.1x
SM Sm Energy Co ▶ $9.40B 7.8x 1.2x
CHRD Chord Energy Corp ▶ $8.45B 10.3x 1.0x
MTDR Matador Resources Co ▼ $7.12B 9.4x 1.2x
MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp ▶ $6.01B 14.5x 2.8x
MUR Murphy Oil Corp ▶ $5.98B 19.4x 1.1x
CRGY Crescent Energy Co ▲ $5.65B 107.4x 1.1x
CNX Cnx Resources Corp ▶ $5.31B 5.7x 1.1x
CRC California Resources Corp ▶ $4.54B – 1.3x
PARR Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ▲ $4.18B 5.1x 14.3x
CRK Comstock Resources Inc ▶ $4.11B 13.7x 1.6x
HESM Hess Midstream Lp ▲ $3.94B 10.5x –
BSM Black Stone Minerals, L.P. ▼ $3.40B 13.3x –
TALO Talos Energy Inc. ▶ $2.97B – 2.6x
GPOR Gulfport Energy Corp ▼ $2.94B 6.4x 1.6x
NOG Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. ▶ $2.89B – 1.5x
BKV Bkv Corp ▼ $2.51B 16.2x 1.1x
VET Vermilion Energy Inc. ▼ $2.02B 10.2x –
MNR Mach Natural Resources Lp ▶ $1.85B 12.2x –
KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners, Lp ▼ $1.83B 22.2x –
KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd. ▲ $1.66B – 3.1x
GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. ▲ $1.58B – –
DMLP Dorchester Minerals, L.P. ▼ $1.49B 17.1x –
AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. ▲ $1.23B – 1.1x
TBN Tamboran Resources Corp ▶ $1.10B – 1.4x
REPX Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. ▶ $1.08B 8.8x 1.7x
DEC Diversified Energy Co ▶ $1.05B – 1.1x
INR Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. ▶ $814M 4.7x 2.0x
OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. ▲ $805M 1.9x –
TXO Txo Partners, L.P. ▶ $788M – –
TTI Tetra Technologies Inc ▶ $788M 532.0x 1.9x
VTS Vitesse Energy, Inc. ▶ $768M 22.5x 1.2x
GPRK Geopark Ltd ▶ $761M 1.5x –
GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. ▶ $719M 24.8x 1.3x
EGY Vaalco Energy Inc /De/ ▲ $652M – 1.7x
SOC Sable Offshore Corp. ▼ $637M – 1.6x
WHK Whitehawk Minerals Corp. ▼ $597M – 2.1x
WTI W&T Offshore Inc ▲ $574M – –
SD Sandridge Energy Inc ▼ $529M 6.8x 1.0x
GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. ▶ $386M – 2.9x
REI Ring Energy, Inc. ▶ $357M – 0.5x

Where AR sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
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FAQ

Antero Resources Corp (AR) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Antero Resources Corp (AR) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Antero Resources Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Antero Resources Corp stock predictions?

For AR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 2.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Antero Resources Corp forecasts updated?

Antero Resources Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Antero Resources Corp's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, AR included, share the SEC industry code Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas. The largest are: Shell Plc (SHEL), Totalenergies Se (TTE), Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa (PBR), Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ), Eni Spa (E), Eog Resources Inc (EOG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.