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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

California Resources Corp (CRC) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 18.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $4.54B mid-cap · #28 of 60 peers
Summary

California Resources Corp (CRC) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks California Resources Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

California Resources Corp is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $4.54B. It ranks number 28 by market capitalization among the 60 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Gross Margin of 100.0% is the highest of the 17 peers that report one.

For CRC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 18.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, CRC included.

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Price

CRC price chart and AI forecast

CRC
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How CRC ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

California Resources Corp (CRC) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricCRCIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $4.54B $4.02B 28/60
P/B Ratio 1.34x 1.59x 26/39
Dividend Yield 7.31% 2.56% 3/24
EPS $-1.29 – –
Book Value/Share $40.67 – –
Revenue/Share $38.19 – –
FCF/Share $4.60 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCRCIndustry medianRank
ROE -3.6% 16.1% 30/34
ROA -1.7% 8.9% 30/36
ROIC -0.9% 9.9% 29/36
Gross Margin 100.0% 76.3% 1/17
Operating Margin -1.7% 22.6% 33/40
Net Margin -3.8% 19.0% 31/36
EBT Margin -6.4% 16.8% 37/48
Tax Rate 40.7% – –

Financial Health

MetricCRCIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.66x 0.95x 38/54
Quick Ratio 0.56x 0.79x 20/26
D/E Ratio 1.09x 1.01x 23/49
Financial Leverage 2.09x 2.01x 19/43
Interest Coverage 102.2x 7.6x 1/40
Working Capital -$358M -$49M 44/54

Cash Flow

MetricCRCIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $876M $1.02B 30/54
Free Cash Flow $385M $408M 11/18
Capital Spending -$491M -$579M 8/18
OCF Growth YoY 12.7% 12.6% 24/49
FCF Growth YoY -22.9% 11.4% 13/14
FCF/Sales 12.1% 12.8% 10/18
CapEx/Sales 15.4% 22.1% 14/18

Operational Efficiency

MetricCRCIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.45x 0.38x 16/43
Receivables Turnover 9.3x 9.0x 20/43
Inventory Turnover 0.0x 3.6x 9/10
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.5x 0.5x 22/43
Days Sales Outstanding 39 days 41 days 24/43

Income Statement

MetricCRCIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $3.19B $2.18B 23/53
Operating Income -$55M $563M 38/43
Net Income -$121M $538M 35/39
SG&A Expense $385M $270M 4/10
Cost of Goods Sold $0.00M $495M 15/17

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCRCIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $3.97 – –
Shares Outstanding 84M – –
Net Income Growth -118.2% 16.7% 27/29
EPS Growth -116.8% -0.3% 30/35

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$697M9.8% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$56M0.8% of assets
Accounts Receivable$342M4.8% of assets
Inventory$111M1.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$3.70B52.2% of assets
Short-term Debt$666M9.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

CRC quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

California Resources Corp (CRC) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as California Resources Corp (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
CRC California Resources Corp ▼ $4.54B – 1.3x
SHEL Shell Plc ▼ $307.91B – –
TTE Totalenergies Se ▼ $201.55B 6.6x –
PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa ▼ $167.55B – –
CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd ▼ $111.99B 3.0x –
E Eni Spa ▼ $97.06B – –
EOG Eog Resources Inc ▼ $82.88B 12.3x 2.6x
OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ ▼ $62.36B 8.6x 1.5x
CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. ▼ $62.04B 9.3x –
FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. ▶ $57.11B 39.5x 1.5x
DVN Devon Energy Corp/De ▼ $55.80B 10.2x 3.6x
WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd ▼ $44.94B 4.6x –
EC Ecopetrol S.A. ▼ $36.80B – –
EQT Eqt Corp ▼ $33.97B 11.5x 2.3x
EXE Expand Energy Corp ▼ $22.24B 8.1x –
PR Permian Resources Corp ▼ $20.60B 12.7x 1.8x
OVV Ovintiv Inc. ▼ $19.10B 24.2x 1.7x
APA Apa Corp ▼ $17.22B 8.6x 2.5x
AR Antero Resources Corp ▼ $11.88B 9.3x 1.4x
SSL Sasol Ltd ▶ $10.62B 19.8x –
RRC Range Resources Corp ▼ $10.10B 10.8x 2.1x
SM Sm Energy Co ▼ $9.40B 7.8x 1.2x
CHRD Chord Energy Corp ▼ $8.45B 10.3x 1.0x
MTDR Matador Resources Co ▼ $7.12B 9.4x 1.2x
MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp ▼ $6.01B 14.5x 2.8x
MUR Murphy Oil Corp ▼ $5.98B 19.4x 1.1x
CRGY Crescent Energy Co ▶ $5.65B 107.4x 1.1x
CNX Cnx Resources Corp ▼ $5.31B 5.7x 1.1x
PARR Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ▶ $4.18B 5.1x 14.3x
CRK Comstock Resources Inc ▼ $4.11B 13.7x 1.6x
HESM Hess Midstream Lp ▲ $3.94B 10.5x –
BSM Black Stone Minerals, L.P. ▼ $3.40B 13.3x –
TALO Talos Energy Inc. ▼ $2.97B – 2.6x
GPOR Gulfport Energy Corp ▼ $2.94B 6.4x 1.6x
NOG Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. ▼ $2.89B – 1.5x
BKV Bkv Corp ▼ $2.51B 16.2x 1.1x
VET Vermilion Energy Inc. ▼ $2.02B 10.2x –
MNR Mach Natural Resources Lp ▼ $1.85B 12.2x –
KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners, Lp ▼ $1.83B 22.2x –
KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd. ▶ $1.66B – 3.1x
GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. ▶ $1.58B – –
DMLP Dorchester Minerals, L.P. ▼ $1.49B 17.1x –
AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. ▲ $1.23B – 1.1x
TBN Tamboran Resources Corp ▼ $1.10B – 1.4x
REPX Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. ▼ $1.08B 8.8x 1.7x
DEC Diversified Energy Co ▼ $1.05B – 1.1x
INR Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. ▼ $814M 4.7x 2.0x
OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. ▶ $805M 1.9x –
TTI Tetra Technologies Inc ▲ $788M 532.0x 1.9x
TXO Txo Partners, L.P. ▼ $787M – –
VTS Vitesse Energy, Inc. ▼ $768M 22.5x 1.2x
GPRK Geopark Ltd ▼ $761M 1.5x –
GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. ▼ $719M 24.8x 1.3x
EGY Vaalco Energy Inc /De/ ▶ $652M – 1.7x
SOC Sable Offshore Corp. ▼ $637M – 1.6x
WHK Whitehawk Minerals Corp. ▶ $597M – 2.1x
WTI W&T Offshore Inc ▶ $574M – –
SD Sandridge Energy Inc ▼ $529M 6.8x 1.0x
GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. ▼ $386M – 2.9x
REI Ring Energy, Inc. ▼ $357M – 0.5x

Where CRC sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
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News

California Resources Corp (CRC) stock news

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FAQ

California Resources Corp (CRC) stock forecast FAQ

What is the California Resources Corp (CRC) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks California Resources Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are California Resources Corp stock predictions?

For CRC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 18.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are California Resources Corp forecasts updated?

California Resources Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are California Resources Corp's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, CRC included, share the SEC industry code Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas. The largest are: Shell Plc (SHEL), Totalenergies Se (TTE), Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa (PBR), Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ), Eni Spa (E), Eog Resources Inc (EOG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.