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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Cenovus Energy Inc. (CVE) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 34.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $62.04B large-cap · #8 of 60 peers
Summary

Cenovus Energy Inc. (CVE) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Cenovus Energy Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Cenovus Energy Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $62.04B. It ranks number 8 by market capitalization among the 60 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For CVE, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 34.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 25.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, CVE included.

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Price

CVE price chart and AI forecast

CVE
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How CVE ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Cenovus Energy Inc. (CVE) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in CAD and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricCVEIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $62.04B $4.02B 8/60
P/E Ratio 9.27x 10.28x 26/41
EPS $3.55 – –
Revenue/Share $50.01 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCVEIndustry medianRank
ROE 29.0% 16.1% 6/34
ROA 14.5% 8.9% 8/36
Net Margin 7.0% 19.0% 26/36
EBT Margin 8.3% 16.8% 31/48
Tax Rate 15.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricCVEIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.57x 0.95x 14/54
Quick Ratio 1.04x 0.79x 10/26
D/E Ratio 1.01x 1.01x 25/49
Financial Leverage 2.01x 2.01x 21/43
Working Capital $2.61B -$49M 5/54

Cash Flow

MetricCVEIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $15.82B $1.02B 5/54
OCF Growth YoY -10.0% 12.6% 43/49

Operational Efficiency

MetricCVEIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 2.07x 0.38x 3/43
Receivables Turnover 38.3x 9.0x 4/43
Fixed Assets Turnover 2.9x 0.5x 10/43
Days Sales Outstanding 10 days 41 days 40/43

Income Statement

MetricCVEIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $94.18B $2.18B 4/53
Net Income $6.58B $538M 8/39

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCVEIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 1883M – –
Net Income Growth -38.2% 16.7% 24/29
EPS Growth -33.7% -0.3% 25/35

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from CAD)

Total Current Assets$7.21B15.6% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$2.00B4.3% of assets
Accounts Receivable$2.50B5.4% of assets
Inventory$2.44B5.3% of assets
Total Liabilities$23.16B50.1% of assets
Short-term Debt$340M0.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

CVE quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Cenovus Energy Inc. (CVE) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Cenovus Energy Inc. (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. ▼ $62.04B 9.3x –
SHEL Shell Plc ▼ $307.91B – –
TTE Totalenergies Se ▼ $201.55B 6.6x –
PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa ▼ $167.55B – –
CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd ▼ $111.99B 3.0x –
E Eni Spa ▼ $97.06B – –
EOG Eog Resources Inc ▼ $82.88B 12.3x 2.6x
OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ ▼ $62.36B 8.6x 1.5x
FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. ▶ $57.11B 39.5x 1.5x
DVN Devon Energy Corp/De ▼ $55.80B 10.2x 3.6x
WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd ▼ $44.24B 4.5x –
EC Ecopetrol S.A. ▼ $36.80B – –
EQT Eqt Corp ▼ $33.97B 11.5x 2.3x
EXE Expand Energy Corp ▼ $22.24B 8.1x –
PR Permian Resources Corp ▼ $20.60B 12.7x 1.8x
OVV Ovintiv Inc. ▼ $19.10B 24.2x 1.7x
APA Apa Corp ▼ $17.22B 8.6x 2.5x
AR Antero Resources Corp ▼ $11.88B 9.3x 1.4x
SSL Sasol Ltd ▶ $10.62B 19.8x –
RRC Range Resources Corp ▼ $10.10B 10.8x 2.1x
SM Sm Energy Co ▼ $9.40B 7.8x 1.2x
CHRD Chord Energy Corp ▼ $8.45B 10.3x 1.0x
MTDR Matador Resources Co ▼ $7.12B 9.4x 1.2x
MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp ▼ $6.01B 14.5x 2.8x
MUR Murphy Oil Corp ▼ $5.98B 19.4x 1.1x
CRGY Crescent Energy Co ▶ $5.65B 107.4x 1.1x
CNX Cnx Resources Corp ▼ $5.31B 5.7x 1.1x
CRC California Resources Corp ▼ $4.54B – 1.3x
PARR Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ▶ $4.18B 5.1x 14.3x
CRK Comstock Resources Inc ▼ $4.11B 13.7x 1.6x
HESM Hess Midstream Lp ▲ $3.94B 10.5x –
BSM Black Stone Minerals, L.P. ▼ $3.40B 13.3x –
TALO Talos Energy Inc. ▼ $2.97B – 2.6x
GPOR Gulfport Energy Corp ▼ $2.94B 6.4x 1.6x
NOG Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. ▼ $2.89B – 1.5x
BKV Bkv Corp ▼ $2.51B 16.2x 1.1x
VET Vermilion Energy Inc. ▼ $1.93B 9.8x –
MNR Mach Natural Resources Lp ▼ $1.85B 12.2x –
KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners, Lp ▼ $1.83B 22.2x –
KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd. ▶ $1.66B – 3.1x
GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. ▶ $1.58B – –
DMLP Dorchester Minerals, L.P. ▼ $1.49B 17.1x –
AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. ▲ $1.23B – 1.1x
TBN Tamboran Resources Corp ▼ $1.10B – 1.4x
REPX Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. ▼ $1.08B 8.8x 1.7x
DEC Diversified Energy Co ▼ $1.05B – 1.1x
INR Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. ▼ $814M 4.7x 2.0x
OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. ▶ $805M 1.9x –
TTI Tetra Technologies Inc ▲ $788M 532.0x 1.9x
TXO Txo Partners, L.P. ▼ $787M – –
VTS Vitesse Energy, Inc. ▼ $768M 22.5x 1.2x
GPRK Geopark Ltd ▼ $761M 1.5x –
GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. ▼ $719M 24.8x 1.3x
EGY Vaalco Energy Inc /De/ ▶ $652M – 1.7x
SOC Sable Offshore Corp. ▼ $637M – 1.6x
WHK Whitehawk Minerals Corp. ▶ $576M – 2.1x
WTI W&T Offshore Inc ▶ $552M – –
SD Sandridge Energy Inc ▼ $529M 6.8x 1.0x
GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. ▼ $386M – 2.9x
REI Ring Energy, Inc. ▼ $357M – 0.5x

Where CVE sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
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News

Cenovus Energy Inc. (CVE) stock news

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FAQ

Cenovus Energy Inc. (CVE) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Cenovus Energy Inc. (CVE) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Cenovus Energy Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Cenovus Energy Inc. stock predictions?

For CVE, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 34.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 25.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Cenovus Energy Inc. forecasts updated?

Cenovus Energy Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Cenovus Energy Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, CVE included, share the SEC industry code Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas. The largest are: Shell Plc (SHEL), Totalenergies Se (TTE), Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa (PBR), Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ), Eni Spa (E), Eog Resources Inc (EOG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.