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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-19

Empire Petroleum Corp (EP) Stock Forecast Oct. 19, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 19, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 4002 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 0.0% Spearman, 358 dates
Market Cap $134M small-cap · #60 of 60 peers
Summary

Empire Petroleum Corp (EP) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Empire Petroleum Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Empire Petroleum Corp is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $134M. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 18.30x is the highest of the 39 peers that report one. Its ROE of -974.5% is the lowest of the 34 peers that report one.

For EP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 0.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-01 and 2026-07-21 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 1.0%, measured on 401 forecast dates between 2022-08-01 and 2026-09-18. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.9%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-19 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, EP included.

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Price

EP price chart and AI forecast

EP
Cross-section · 2026-10-19

How EP ranks among 4002 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Empire Petroleum Corp (EP) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricEPIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $134M $4.03B 60/60
P/B Ratio 18.30x 1.61x 1/39
EPS $-2.02 – –
Book Value/Share $0.18 – –
Revenue/Share $0.75 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricEPIndustry medianRank
ROE -974.5% 16.1% 34/34
ROA -87.9% 8.9% 36/36
ROIC -131.9% 9.9% 36/36
Operating Margin -224.1% 22.6% 39/40
Net Margin -229.6% 19.0% 35/36
EBT Margin -229.6% 16.8% 47/48

Financial Health

MetricEPIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.42x 0.95x 52/54
Quick Ratio 0.37x 0.79x 25/26
D/E Ratio 10.08x 1.07x 2/49
Financial Leverage 11.08x 2.01x 2/43
Interest Coverage -4.8x 7.6x 39/40
Working Capital -$16M -$46M 25/54

Cash Flow

MetricEPIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$6M $1.02B 52/54
OCF Growth YoY -343.3% 12.6% 49/49

Operational Efficiency

MetricEPIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.38x 0.38x 22/43
Receivables Turnover 4.7x 9.0x 42/43
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.5x 0.5x 29/43
Days Sales Outstanding 78 days 41 days 2/43

Income Statement

MetricEPIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $31M $2.18B 52/53
Operating Income -$70M $563M 39/43
Net Income -$71M $538M 34/39

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricEPIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 42M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$12M14.8% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$3M3.8% of assets
Accounts Receivable$7M8.2% of assets
Inventory$1M1.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$74M91.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

EP quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Empire Petroleum Corp (EP) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Empire Petroleum Corp (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
EP Empire Petroleum Corp ▲ $134M – 18.3x
SHEL Shell Plc ▼ $307.91B – –
TTE Totalenergies Se ▼ $201.55B 6.6x –
PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa ▶ $167.55B – –
CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd ▼ $111.99B 3.0x –
E Eni Spa ▼ $97.06B – –
EOG Eog Resources Inc ▶ $82.88B 12.3x 2.6x
OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ ▼ $62.36B 8.6x 1.5x
CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. ▶ $62.04B 9.3x –
FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. ▲ $57.11B 39.5x 1.5x
DVN Devon Energy Corp/De ▼ $55.80B 10.2x 3.6x
WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd ▼ $44.94B 4.6x –
EC Ecopetrol S.A. ▶ $36.80B – –
EQT Eqt Corp ▼ $33.97B 11.5x 2.3x
EXE Expand Energy Corp ▼ $22.24B 8.1x –
PR Permian Resources Corp ▶ $20.60B 12.7x 1.8x
OVV Ovintiv Inc. ▼ $19.10B 24.2x 1.7x
APA Apa Corp ▶ $17.22B 8.6x 2.5x
AR Antero Resources Corp ▼ $11.88B 9.3x 1.4x
SSL Sasol Ltd ▲ $10.62B 19.8x –
RRC Range Resources Corp ▼ $10.10B 10.8x 2.1x
SM Sm Energy Co ▶ $9.40B 7.8x 1.2x
CHRD Chord Energy Corp ▶ $8.45B 10.3x 1.0x
MTDR Matador Resources Co ▼ $7.12B 9.4x 1.2x
MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp ▶ $6.01B 14.5x 2.8x
MUR Murphy Oil Corp ▶ $5.98B 19.4x 1.1x
CRGY Crescent Energy Co ▲ $5.65B 107.4x 1.1x
CNX Cnx Resources Corp ▶ $5.31B 5.7x 1.1x
CRC California Resources Corp ▶ $4.54B – 1.3x
PARR Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ▲ $4.18B 5.1x 14.3x
CRK Comstock Resources Inc ▶ $4.11B 13.7x 1.6x
HESM Hess Midstream Lp ▲ $3.94B 10.5x –
BSM Black Stone Minerals, L.P. ▼ $3.40B 13.3x –
TALO Talos Energy Inc. ▶ $2.97B – 2.6x
GPOR Gulfport Energy Corp ▼ $2.94B 6.4x 1.6x
NOG Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. ▶ $2.89B – 1.5x
BKV Bkv Corp ▶ $2.51B 16.2x 1.1x
VET Vermilion Energy Inc. ▼ $2.02B 10.2x –
MNR Mach Natural Resources Lp ▶ $1.85B 12.2x –
KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners, Lp ▼ $1.83B 22.2x –
KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd. ▲ $1.66B – 3.1x
GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. ▲ $1.58B – –
DMLP Dorchester Minerals, L.P. ▼ $1.49B 17.1x –
AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. ▲ $1.23B – 1.1x
TBN Tamboran Resources Corp ▶ $1.10B – 1.4x
REPX Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. ▼ $1.08B 8.8x 1.7x
DEC Diversified Energy Co ▶ $1.05B – 1.1x
INR Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. ▶ $814M 4.7x 2.0x
OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. ▲ $805M 1.9x –
TXO Txo Partners, L.P. ▶ $788M – –
TTI Tetra Technologies Inc ▶ $788M 532.0x 1.9x
VTS Vitesse Energy, Inc. ▶ $768M 22.5x 1.2x
GPRK Geopark Ltd ▶ $761M 1.5x –
GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. ▶ $719M 24.8x 1.3x
EGY Vaalco Energy Inc /De/ ▲ $652M – 1.7x
SOC Sable Offshore Corp. ▼ $637M – 1.6x
WHK Whitehawk Minerals Corp. ▶ $597M – 2.1x
WTI W&T Offshore Inc ▲ $574M – –
SD Sandridge Energy Inc ▼ $529M 6.8x 1.0x
GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. ▶ $386M – 2.9x

Where EP sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
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News

Empire Petroleum Corp (EP) stock news

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FAQ

Empire Petroleum Corp (EP) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Empire Petroleum Corp (EP) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Empire Petroleum Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Empire Petroleum Corp stock predictions?

For EP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 0.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-01 and 2026-07-21 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 1.0%, measured on 401 forecast dates between 2022-08-01 and 2026-09-18. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Empire Petroleum Corp forecasts updated?

Empire Petroleum Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 19, 2026.

Which companies are Empire Petroleum Corp's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, EP included, share the SEC industry code Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas. The largest are: Shell Plc (SHEL), Totalenergies Se (TTE), Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa (PBR), Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ), Eni Spa (E), Eog Resources Inc (EOG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.