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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Exelixis, Inc. (EXEL) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -4.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $15.42B large-cap · #8 of 60 peers
Summary

Exelixis, Inc. (EXEL) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Exelixis, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Exelixis, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $15.42B. It ranks number 8 by market capitalization among the 60 Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For EXEL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -4.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 15.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, EXEL included.

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Price

EXEL price chart and AI forecast

EXEL
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How EXEL ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-07-03

Exelixis, Inc. (EXEL) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricEXELIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $15.42B $2.38B 8/60
P/E Ratio 17.93x 26.88x 12/15
P/B Ratio 8.36x 4.69x 15/49
EPS $3.47 – –
Book Value/Share $7.44 – –
Revenue/Share $9.22 – –
FCF/Share $3.91 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricEXELIndustry medianRank
ROE 52.9% -32.1% 3/47
ROA 39.1% -24.2% 1/50
ROIC 52.0% -31.7% 3/53
Gross Margin 95.5% 75.0% 5/24
Operating Margin 38.0% -46.0% 5/40
Net Margin 33.5% -31.7% 2/37
EBT Margin 38.0% -52.3% 5/42
Tax Rate 19.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricEXELIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 3.46x 5.23x 43/59
Quick Ratio 3.38x 3.33x 13/28
D/E Ratio 0.35x 0.39x 31/53
Financial Leverage 1.35x 1.40x 30/52
Interest Coverage 6.4x -17.0x 10/37
Working Capital $889M $450M 15/59

Cash Flow

MetricEXELIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.17B -$132M 5/57
Free Cash Flow $968M -$117M 5/50
Capital Spending -$206M -$7M 47/50
OCF Growth YoY 72.5% 38.4% 3/16
FCF Growth YoY 248.8% 2.8% 2/15
FCF/Sales 42.4% -8.7% 5/32
CapEx/Sales 9.0% 3.6% 8/32

Operational Efficiency

MetricEXELIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.92x 0.36x 7/36
Receivables Turnover 7.1x 5.8x 8/24
Inventory Turnover 3.6x 2.8x 8/23
Fixed Assets Turnover 24.6x 4.0x 8/37
Days Sales Outstanding 51 days 63 days 17/24
Days Inventory 103 days 133 days 16/23
Payables Period 139 days 63 days 7/26
Cash Conversion Cycle 15 days 82 days 13/18

Income Statement

MetricEXELIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $2.28B $414M 6/37
Operating Income $1.11B -$189M 4/54
Net Income $976M -$170M 5/50
R&D Expense $1.02B $204M 10/56
SG&A Expense $642M $296M 7/22
Cost of Goods Sold $102M $194M 16/26

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricEXELIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 248M – –
Net Income Growth 119.0% 12.4% 3/12
EPS Growth 395.7% 17.6% 1/14

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.25B50.1% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$281M11.3% of assets
Accounts Receivable$322M12.9% of assets
Inventory$29M1.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$650M26.1% of assets
Short-term Debt$323M12.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

EXEL quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)

Exelixis, Inc. (EXEL) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Exelixis, Inc. (Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
EXEL Exelixis, Inc. ▼ $15.42B 17.9x 8.4x
AMGN Amgen Inc ▼ $233.82B 26.9x 20.0x
GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. ▶ $193.67B – 16.4x
MRNA Moderna, Inc. ▲ $87.04B – 12.9x
ARGX Argenx Se ▼ $50.69B 21.5x –
RVMD Revolution Medicines, Inc. ▲ $38.14B – 14.6x
BIIB Biogen Inc. ▼ $34.13B 25.0x 1.8x
BNTX Biontech Se ▲ $22.18B 2.3x –
HALO Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc. ▶ $13.83B 28.0x 96.3x
NBIX Neurocrine Biosciences Inc ▲ $13.79B 19.6x 3.7x
TECH Bio-Techne Corp ▼ $11.38B 62.6x 5.4x
QGEN Qiagen N.V. ▶ $10.01B 32.7x 2.7x
RGEN Repligen Corp ▲ $9.90B 254.2x 4.7x
IBRX Immunitybio, Inc. ▲ $9.73B – –
PCVX Vaxcyte, Inc. ▲ $9.47B – 3.4x
KRYS Krystal Biotech, Inc. ▶ $9.37B 39.7x 6.9x
KYMR Kymera Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $8.71B – 5.8x
TWST Twist Bioscience Corp ▲ $8.32B – 18.7x
IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. ▲ $6.17B – 8.4x
IMVT Immunovant, Inc. ▲ $5.52B – 7.5x
KOD Kodiak Sciences Inc. ▲ $5.39B – 88.2x
CGON Cg Oncology, Inc. ▲ $5.31B – 5.2x
SRRK Scholar Rock Holding Corp ▲ $4.86B – 19.2x
CRSP Crispr Therapeutics Ag ▲ $4.76B – 2.7x
ADPT Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp ▲ $3.83B – 26.8x
RLAY Relay Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $3.57B – 4.0x
TARS Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▲ $2.99B – 8.6x
DNLI Denali Therapeutics Inc. ▶ $2.81B – 3.4x
BEAM Beam Therapeutics Inc. ▲ $2.42B 93.9x 2.3x
ADMA Adma Biologics, Inc. ▼ $2.39B 17.2x 5.9x
LIFE Atyr Pharma Inc ▲ $2.37B – 48.6x
RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▲ $2.07B – 2.3x
VCEL Vericel Corp ▶ $2.05B 108.5x 5.6x
BCRX Biocryst Pharmaceuticals Inc ▲ $1.99B – –
NVAX Novavax Inc ▲ $1.86B – –
ALVO Alvotech ▲ $1.78B – –
MESO Mesoblast Ltd ▶ $1.70B – –
VIR Vir Biotechnology, Inc. ▲ $1.69B – 1.7x
MAZE Maze Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $1.53B – 3.4x
IMCR Immunocore Holdings Plc ▼ $1.51B – 3.6x
COAG Hemab Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. ▶ $1.40B – 3.1x
TSHA Taysha Gene Therapies, Inc. ▲ $1.18B – 3.1x
VOR Vor Biopharma Inc. ▲ $1.07B – –
REPL Replimune Group, Inc. ▲ $1.02B – 9.7x
JATT Zura Bio Ltd ▶ $994M – 5.0x
IMTX Immatics N.V. ▲ $902M – –
MGTX Meiragtx Holdings Plc ▶ $891M 12.1x 4.1x
SLBT Sl Science Holding Ltd ▶ $873M – –
CGEM Cullinan Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $832M – 2.6x
GLUE Monte Rosa Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $831M – 1.7x
ODTX Odyssey Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $825M – 2.0x
DNA Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. ▲ $692M – 1.7x
SANA Sana Biotechnology, Inc. ▲ $680M – 4.4x
FDMT 4d Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $670M – 1.6x
AURA Aura Biosciences, Inc. ▲ $633M – 2.0x
PRME Prime Medicine, Inc. ▲ $629M – 15.8x
CADL Candel Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $627M – 5.0x
SLDB Solid Biosciences Inc. ▲ $593M – 1.6x
DBVT Dbv Technologies S.A. ▶ $536M – 3.2x
VALN Valneva Se ▼ $521M – –

Where EXEL sits on the market map

Life Sciences · Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
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News

Exelixis, Inc. (EXEL) stock news

source: Seeking Alpha

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Exelixis Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results Conference Call. My name is [ Towanda ], and I'll be your operator for today. As a ...

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FAQ

Exelixis, Inc. (EXEL) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Exelixis, Inc. (EXEL) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Exelixis, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Exelixis, Inc. stock predictions?

For EXEL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -4.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 15.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Exelixis, Inc. forecasts updated?

Exelixis, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Exelixis, Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, EXEL included, share the SEC industry code Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances). The largest are: Amgen Inc (AMGN), Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD), Moderna, Inc. (MRNA), Argenx Se (ARGX), Revolution Medicines, Inc. (RVMD), Biogen Inc. (BIIB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.