Hedge Funds Are Betting On Geopark Ltd (GPRK)
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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Geopark Ltd (GPRK) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
Alpha
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Middle 30%
of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
-32.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$761M
small-cap · #52 of 60 peers
Summary
Geopark Ltd (GPRK) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, GPRK is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
Geopark Ltd is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $761M. It ranks number 52 by market capitalization among the 60 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 1.54x is the lowest of the 41 peers that report one. Its ROE of 181.6% is the highest of the 34 peers that report one.
For GPRK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -32.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -28.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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GPRK price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How GPRK ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2025-12-31
Geopark Ltd (GPRK) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | GPRK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $761M | 52/60 |
| P/E Ratio | 1.54x | 41/41 |
| EPS | $7.63 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $46.18 | – |
| FCF/Share | $6.25 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | GPRK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 181.6% | 1/34 |
| ROA | 42.9% | 1/36 |
| ROIC | 110.3% | 1/36 |
| Operating Margin | 33.4% | 13/40 |
| Net Margin | 14.9% | 21/36 |
| EBT Margin | 26.3% | 18/48 |
| Tax Rate | 43.2% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | GPRK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.60x | 11/54 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.51x | 4/26 |
| D/E Ratio | 3.23x | 5/49 |
| Financial Leverage | 4.23x | 5/43 |
| Working Capital | $82M | 16/54 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | GPRK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1000M | 29/54 |
| Free Cash Flow | $404M | 10/18 |
| Capital Spending | -$595M | 10/18 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 0.0% | 9/14 |
| FCF/Sales | 13.5% | 9/18 |
| CapEx/Sales | 19.9% | 12/18 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | GPRK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 2.87x | 2/43 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 3.9x | 9/43 |
Income Statement
| Metric | GPRK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $2.99B | 25/53 |
| Operating Income | $996M | 17/43 |
| Net Income | $446M | 22/39 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | GPRK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 65M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $220M | |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $100M | |
| Inventory | $12M | |
| Total Liabilities | $795M | |
| Short-term Debt | $26M |
Quarterly Financial Reports
GPRK quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Geopark Ltd (GPRK) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Geopark Ltd (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| GPRK Geopark Ltd | ▶ | $761M |
| SHEL Shell Plc | ▼ | $307.91B |
| TTE Totalenergies Se | ▼ | $201.55B |
| PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa | ▶ | $167.55B |
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd | ▼ | $111.99B |
| E Eni Spa | ▼ | $97.06B |
| EOG Eog Resources Inc | ▶ | $82.88B |
| OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ | ▼ | $62.36B |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | ▶ | $62.04B |
| FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. | ▲ | $57.11B |
| DVN Devon Energy Corp/De | ▼ | $55.80B |
| WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd | ▼ | $44.94B |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | ▶ | $36.80B |
| EQT Eqt Corp | ▼ | $33.97B |
| EXE Expand Energy Corp | ▼ | $22.24B |
| PR Permian Resources Corp | ▶ | $20.60B |
| OVV Ovintiv Inc. | ▶ | $19.10B |
| APA Apa Corp | ▼ | $17.22B |
| AR Antero Resources Corp | ▼ | $11.88B |
| SSL Sasol Ltd | ▲ | $10.62B |
| RRC Range Resources Corp | ▼ | $10.10B |
| SM Sm Energy Co | ▶ | $9.40B |
| CHRD Chord Energy Corp | ▶ | $8.45B |
| MTDR Matador Resources Co | ▼ | $7.12B |
| MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp | ▶ | $6.01B |
| MUR Murphy Oil Corp | ▶ | $5.98B |
| CRGY Crescent Energy Co | ▲ | $5.65B |
| CNX Cnx Resources Corp | ▶ | $5.31B |
| CRC California Resources Corp | ▶ | $4.54B |
| PARR Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $4.18B |
| CRK Comstock Resources Inc | ▶ | $4.11B |
| HESM Hess Midstream Lp | ▲ | $3.94B |
| BSM Black Stone Minerals, L.P. | ▼ | $3.40B |
| TALO Talos Energy Inc. | ▶ | $2.97B |
| GPOR Gulfport Energy Corp | ▼ | $2.94B |
| NOG Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. | ▶ | $2.89B |
| BKV Bkv Corp | ▼ | $2.51B |
| VET Vermilion Energy Inc. | ▼ | $2.02B |
| MNR Mach Natural Resources Lp | ▶ | $1.85B |
| KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners, Lp | ▼ | $1.83B |
| KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd. | ▲ | $1.66B |
| GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. | ▲ | $1.58B |
| DMLP Dorchester Minerals, L.P. | ▼ | $1.49B |
| AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. | ▲ | $1.23B |
| TBN Tamboran Resources Corp | ▶ | $1.10B |
| REPX Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. | ▶ | $1.08B |
| DEC Diversified Energy Co | ▶ | $1.05B |
| INR Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. | ▶ | $814M |
| OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. | ▲ | $805M |
| TXO Txo Partners, L.P. | ▶ | $788M |
| TTI Tetra Technologies Inc | ▶ | $788M |
| VTS Vitesse Energy, Inc. | ▶ | $768M |
| GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. | ▶ | $719M |
| EGY Vaalco Energy Inc /De/ | ▲ | $652M |
| SOC Sable Offshore Corp. | ▼ | $637M |
| WHK Whitehawk Minerals Corp. | ▼ | $597M |
| WTI W&T Offshore Inc | ▲ | $574M |
| SD Sandridge Energy Inc | ▼ | $529M |
| GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. | ▶ | $386M |
| REI Ring Energy, Inc. | ▶ | $357M |
Where GPRK sits on the market map
Energy & Transportation · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
News
Geopark Ltd (GPRK) stock news
Colombian billionaire Jaime Gilinski moves to take control of GeoPark in $500 million Venezuela oil deal
Billionaire Jaime Gilinski is exchanging rights to a Venezuelan oil field for GeoPark shares valued at around $514 million, ...
GeoPark Ltd (GPRK) Q1 2023 Earnings Call Transcript
Good morning, and welcome to the GeoPark Limited conference call following the results announcement for the first quarter ended March 31, 2023. [Operator Instructions]. If you do not have the copy of ...
FAQ
Geopark Ltd (GPRK) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Geopark Ltd (GPRK) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, GPRK is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Geopark Ltd stock predictions?
For GPRK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -32.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -28.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Geopark Ltd forecasts updated?
Geopark Ltd forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Geopark Ltd's industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, GPRK included, share the SEC industry code Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas. The largest are: Shell Plc (SHEL), Totalenergies Se (TTE), Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa (PBR), Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ), Eni Spa (E), Eog Resources Inc (EOG).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.