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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Mach Natural Resources Lp (MNR) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 49.0% Spearman, 269 dates
Market Cap $1.85B small-cap · #38 of 60 peers
Summary

Mach Natural Resources Lp (MNR) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, MNR is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

Mach Natural Resources Lp is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.85B. It ranks number 38 by market capitalization among the 60 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For MNR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 49.0%, measured on 269 forecast dates between 2024-04-05 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 29.0%, measured on 312 forecast dates between 2024-04-05 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

MNR price chart and AI forecast

MNR
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How MNR ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Mach Natural Resources Lp (MNR) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMNRIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.85B $4.02B 38/60
P/E Ratio 12.16x 10.28x 17/41
EPS $0.91 – –
Revenue/Share $8.10 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMNRIndustry medianRank
Operating Margin 10.3% 22.6% 26/40
EBT Margin 13.0% 16.8% 27/48

Financial Health

MetricMNRIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.88x 0.95x 30/54
Quick Ratio 0.76x 0.79x 15/26
Interest Coverage 5.3x 7.6x 31/40
Working Capital -$45M -$49M 26/54

Cash Flow

MetricMNRIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $558M $1.02B 34/54
OCF Growth YoY 8.0% 12.6% 28/49

Operational Efficiency

MetricMNRIndustry medianRank
Fixed Assets Turnover 6.9x 0.5x 6/43

Income Statement

MetricMNRIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.35B $2.18B 35/53
Operating Income $195M $563M 27/43

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMNRIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 167M – –
EPS Growth -59.4% -0.3% 26/35

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$317M
Cash & Short-term Investments$41M
Inventory$42M
Total Liabilities$1.14B
Quarterly Financial Reports

MNR quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Mach Natural Resources Lp (MNR) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Mach Natural Resources Lp (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MNR Mach Natural Resources Lp ▶ $1.85B 12.2x –
SHEL Shell Plc ▼ $307.91B – –
TTE Totalenergies Se ▼ $201.55B 6.6x –
PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa ▶ $167.55B – –
CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd ▼ $111.99B 3.0x –
E Eni Spa ▼ $97.06B – –
EOG Eog Resources Inc ▶ $82.88B 12.3x 2.6x
OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ ▼ $62.36B 8.6x 1.5x
CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. ▶ $62.04B 9.3x –
FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. ▲ $57.11B 39.5x 1.5x
DVN Devon Energy Corp/De ▼ $55.80B 10.2x 3.6x
WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd ▼ $44.94B 4.6x –
EC Ecopetrol S.A. ▶ $36.80B – –
EQT Eqt Corp ▼ $33.97B 11.5x 2.3x
EXE Expand Energy Corp ▼ $22.24B 8.1x –
PR Permian Resources Corp ▶ $20.60B 12.7x 1.8x
OVV Ovintiv Inc. ▶ $19.10B 24.2x 1.7x
APA Apa Corp ▼ $17.22B 8.6x 2.5x
AR Antero Resources Corp ▼ $11.88B 9.3x 1.4x
SSL Sasol Ltd ▲ $10.62B 19.8x –
RRC Range Resources Corp ▼ $10.10B 10.8x 2.1x
SM Sm Energy Co ▶ $9.40B 7.8x 1.2x
CHRD Chord Energy Corp ▶ $8.45B 10.3x 1.0x
MTDR Matador Resources Co ▼ $7.12B 9.4x 1.2x
MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp ▶ $6.01B 14.5x 2.8x
MUR Murphy Oil Corp ▶ $5.98B 19.4x 1.1x
CRGY Crescent Energy Co ▲ $5.65B 107.4x 1.1x
CNX Cnx Resources Corp ▶ $5.31B 5.7x 1.1x
CRC California Resources Corp ▶ $4.54B – 1.3x
PARR Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ▲ $4.18B 5.1x 14.3x
CRK Comstock Resources Inc ▶ $4.11B 13.7x 1.6x
HESM Hess Midstream Lp ▲ $3.94B 10.5x –
BSM Black Stone Minerals, L.P. ▼ $3.40B 13.3x –
TALO Talos Energy Inc. ▶ $2.97B – 2.6x
GPOR Gulfport Energy Corp ▼ $2.94B 6.4x 1.6x
NOG Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. ▶ $2.89B – 1.5x
BKV Bkv Corp ▼ $2.51B 16.2x 1.1x
VET Vermilion Energy Inc. ▼ $2.02B 10.2x –
KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners, Lp ▼ $1.83B 22.2x –
KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd. ▲ $1.66B – 3.1x
GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. ▲ $1.58B – –
DMLP Dorchester Minerals, L.P. ▼ $1.49B 17.1x –
AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. ▲ $1.23B – 1.1x
TBN Tamboran Resources Corp ▶ $1.10B – 1.4x
REPX Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. ▶ $1.08B 8.8x 1.7x
DEC Diversified Energy Co ▶ $1.05B – 1.1x
INR Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. ▶ $814M 4.7x 2.0x
OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. ▲ $805M 1.9x –
TXO Txo Partners, L.P. ▶ $788M – –
TTI Tetra Technologies Inc ▶ $788M 532.0x 1.9x
VTS Vitesse Energy, Inc. ▶ $768M 22.5x 1.2x
GPRK Geopark Ltd ▶ $761M 1.5x –
GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. ▶ $719M 24.8x 1.3x
EGY Vaalco Energy Inc /De/ ▲ $652M – 1.7x
SOC Sable Offshore Corp. ▼ $637M – 1.6x
WHK Whitehawk Minerals Corp. ▼ $597M – 2.1x
WTI W&T Offshore Inc ▲ $574M – –
SD Sandridge Energy Inc ▼ $529M 6.8x 1.0x
GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. ▶ $386M – 2.9x
REI Ring Energy, Inc. ▶ $357M – 0.5x

Where MNR sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
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News

Mach Natural Resources Lp (MNR) stock news

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FAQ

Mach Natural Resources Lp (MNR) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Mach Natural Resources Lp (MNR) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, MNR is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Mach Natural Resources Lp stock predictions?

For MNR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 49.0%, measured on 269 forecast dates between 2024-04-05 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 29.0%, measured on 312 forecast dates between 2024-04-05 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Mach Natural Resources Lp forecasts updated?

Mach Natural Resources Lp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Mach Natural Resources Lp's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, MNR included, share the SEC industry code Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas. The largest are: Shell Plc (SHEL), Totalenergies Se (TTE), Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa (PBR), Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ), Eni Spa (E), Eog Resources Inc (EOG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.