Shell receives exemptive relief from Canadian securities regulatory authorities regarding future Canadian filings
Shell plc ("Shell" or the "Company") announced today that it has received exemptive relief from the applicable Canadian ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Shell Plc (SHEL) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
▼ Bearish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Bottom 35%
of 5185 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
-10.0%
Spearman, 325 dates
Market Cap
$307.91B
mega-cap · #1 of 60 peers
Summary
Shell Plc (SHEL) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Shell Plc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Shell Plc is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $307.91B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 60 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For SHEL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -10.0%, measured on 325 forecast dates between 2023-03-10 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -3.0%, measured on 368 forecast dates between 2023-03-10 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, SHEL included.
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SHEL price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How SHEL ranks among 5185 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2025-12-31
Shell Plc (SHEL) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | SHEL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $307.91B | 1/60 |
| Revenue/Share | $239.38 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | SHEL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 23.5% | 10/34 |
| ROA | 11.1% | 14/36 |
| Net Margin | 5.9% | 27/36 |
| EBT Margin | 10.6% | 30/48 |
| Tax Rate | 42.6% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | SHEL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.30x | 17/54 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.03x | 11/26 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.12x | 21/49 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.12x | 18/43 |
| Working Capital | $24.76B | 1/54 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | SHEL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $123.00B | 1/54 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -21.4% | 46/49 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | SHEL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.87x | 4/43 |
| Receivables Turnover | 15.5x | 11/43 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 24 days | 33/43 |
Income Statement
| Metric | SHEL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $691.07B | 1/53 |
| Net Income | $41.05B | 2/39 |
| R&D Expense | $2.81B | – |
| SG&A Expense | $31.22B | 1/10 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | SHEL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 2887M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -50.5% | 25/29 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $107.17B | |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $30.22B | |
| Accounts Receivable | $44.60B | |
| Inventory | $22.22B | |
| Total Liabilities | $195.03B | |
| Short-term Debt | $24.64B |
Quarterly Financial Reports
SHEL quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Shell Plc (SHEL) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Shell Plc (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| SHEL Shell Plc | ▼ | $307.91B |
| TTE Totalenergies Se | ▼ | $201.55B |
| PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa | ▶ | $167.55B |
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd | ▼ | $111.99B |
| E Eni Spa | ▼ | $97.06B |
| EOG Eog Resources Inc | ▶ | $82.88B |
| OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ | ▼ | $62.36B |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | ▶ | $62.04B |
| FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. | ▲ | $57.11B |
| DVN Devon Energy Corp/De | ▼ | $55.80B |
| WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd | ▼ | $44.94B |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | ▶ | $36.80B |
| EQT Eqt Corp | ▼ | $33.97B |
| EXE Expand Energy Corp | ▼ | $22.24B |
| PR Permian Resources Corp | ▶ | $20.60B |
| OVV Ovintiv Inc. | ▶ | $19.10B |
| APA Apa Corp | ▼ | $17.22B |
| AR Antero Resources Corp | ▼ | $11.88B |
| SSL Sasol Ltd | ▲ | $10.62B |
| RRC Range Resources Corp | ▼ | $10.10B |
| SM Sm Energy Co | ▶ | $9.40B |
| CHRD Chord Energy Corp | ▶ | $8.45B |
| MTDR Matador Resources Co | ▼ | $7.12B |
| MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp | ▶ | $6.01B |
| MUR Murphy Oil Corp | ▶ | $5.98B |
| CRGY Crescent Energy Co | ▲ | $5.65B |
| CNX Cnx Resources Corp | ▶ | $5.31B |
| CRC California Resources Corp | ▶ | $4.54B |
| PARR Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $4.18B |
| CRK Comstock Resources Inc | ▶ | $4.11B |
| HESM Hess Midstream Lp | ▲ | $3.94B |
| BSM Black Stone Minerals, L.P. | ▼ | $3.40B |
| TALO Talos Energy Inc. | ▶ | $2.97B |
| GPOR Gulfport Energy Corp | ▼ | $2.94B |
| NOG Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. | ▶ | $2.89B |
| BKV Bkv Corp | ▼ | $2.51B |
| VET Vermilion Energy Inc. | ▼ | $2.02B |
| MNR Mach Natural Resources Lp | ▶ | $1.85B |
| KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners, Lp | ▼ | $1.83B |
| KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd. | ▲ | $1.66B |
| GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. | ▲ | $1.58B |
| DMLP Dorchester Minerals, L.P. | ▼ | $1.49B |
| AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. | ▲ | $1.23B |
| TBN Tamboran Resources Corp | ▶ | $1.10B |
| REPX Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. | ▶ | $1.08B |
| DEC Diversified Energy Co | ▶ | $1.05B |
| INR Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. | ▶ | $814M |
| OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. | ▲ | $805M |
| TXO Txo Partners, L.P. | ▶ | $788M |
| TTI Tetra Technologies Inc | ▶ | $788M |
| VTS Vitesse Energy, Inc. | ▶ | $768M |
| GPRK Geopark Ltd | ▶ | $761M |
| GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. | ▶ | $719M |
| EGY Vaalco Energy Inc /De/ | ▲ | $652M |
| SOC Sable Offshore Corp. | ▼ | $637M |
| WHK Whitehawk Minerals Corp. | ▼ | $597M |
| WTI W&T Offshore Inc | ▲ | $574M |
| SD Sandridge Energy Inc | ▼ | $529M |
| GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. | ▶ | $386M |
| REI Ring Energy, Inc. | ▶ | $357M |
Where SHEL sits on the market map
Energy & Transportation · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
News
Shell Plc (SHEL) stock news
Shell agrees sale of French mobility unit to DCC Energy, source says
By Stephanie Kelly and Dimitri Rhodes LONDON, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Shell has signed an agreement with Dublin-based DCC Energy for the proposed sale of the British oil major's mobility business in France ...
Shell, Chevron, BP pull crews as Hurricane Isaias barrels toward Gulf Coast refineries
Shell plc SHEL, Chevron Corp. CVX and BP plc BP have pulled workers off Gulf of Mexico platforms and shut in production as ...
FAQ
Shell Plc (SHEL) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Shell Plc (SHEL) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Shell Plc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Shell Plc stock predictions?
For SHEL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -10.0%, measured on 325 forecast dates between 2023-03-10 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -3.0%, measured on 368 forecast dates between 2023-03-10 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Shell Plc forecasts updated?
Shell Plc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Shell Plc's industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, SHEL included, share the SEC industry code Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas. The largest are: Totalenergies Se (TTE), Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa (PBR), Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ), Eni Spa (E), Eog Resources Inc (EOG), Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ (OXY).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.