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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Sasol Ltd (SSL) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Total
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 6.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $10.62B large-cap · #19 of 60 peers
Summary

Sasol Ltd (SSL) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, SSL is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

Sasol Ltd is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $10.62B. It ranks number 19 by market capitalization among the 60 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For SSL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 6.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 20.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

SSL price chart and AI forecast

SSL
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How SSL ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-06-30

Sasol Ltd (SSL) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in ZAR and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricSSLIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $10.62B $4.02B 19/60
P/E Ratio 19.80x 10.28x 8/41
EPS $0.83 – –
Revenue/Share $92.38 – –
FCF/Share $2.97 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricSSLIndustry medianRank
ROE 6.7% 16.1% 25/34
ROA 2.9% 8.9% 27/36
Operating Margin 6.8% 22.6% 30/40
Net Margin 0.9% 19.0% 30/36
EBT Margin 4.4% 16.8% 33/48
Tax Rate 69.7% – –

The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.

Financial Health

MetricSSLIndustry medianRank
Financial Leverage 2.36x 2.01x 13/43

Cash Flow

MetricSSLIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $7.92B $1.02B 10/54
Free Cash Flow $1.93B $408M 6/18
Capital Spending -$5.99B -$579M 18/18
OCF Growth YoY 70.5% 12.6% 6/49
FCF Growth YoY 0.0% 11.4% 9/14
FCF/Sales 3.2% 12.8% 13/18
CapEx/Sales 10.0% 22.1% 17/18

Operational Efficiency

MetricSSLIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 3.03x 0.38x 1/43
Receivables Turnover 27.2x 9.0x 5/43
Fixed Assets Turnover 6.9x 0.5x 7/43
Days Sales Outstanding 13 days 41 days 39/43

Income Statement

MetricSSLIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $60.02B $2.18B 5/53
Operating Income $4.10B $563M 5/43
Net Income $565M $538M 19/39

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricSSLIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 650M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from ZAR)

Cash & Short-term Investments$2.31B
Accounts Receivable$2.26B
Inventory$2.35B
Quarterly Financial Reports

SSL quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Sasol Ltd (SSL) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Sasol Ltd (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
SSL Sasol Ltd ▶ $10.62B 19.8x –
SHEL Shell Plc ▼ $307.91B – –
TTE Totalenergies Se ▼ $201.55B 6.6x –
PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa ▼ $167.55B – –
CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd ▼ $111.99B 3.0x –
E Eni Spa ▼ $97.06B – –
EOG Eog Resources Inc ▼ $82.88B 12.3x 2.6x
OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ ▼ $62.36B 8.6x 1.5x
CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. ▼ $62.04B 9.3x –
FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. ▶ $57.11B 39.5x 1.5x
DVN Devon Energy Corp/De ▼ $55.80B 10.2x 3.6x
WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd ▼ $44.94B 4.6x –
EC Ecopetrol S.A. ▼ $36.80B – –
EQT Eqt Corp ▼ $33.97B 11.5x 2.3x
EXE Expand Energy Corp ▼ $22.24B 8.1x –
PR Permian Resources Corp ▼ $20.60B 12.7x 1.8x
OVV Ovintiv Inc. ▼ $19.10B 24.2x 1.7x
APA Apa Corp ▼ $17.22B 8.6x 2.5x
AR Antero Resources Corp ▼ $11.88B 9.3x 1.4x
RRC Range Resources Corp ▼ $10.10B 10.8x 2.1x
SM Sm Energy Co ▼ $9.40B 7.8x 1.2x
CHRD Chord Energy Corp ▼ $8.45B 10.3x 1.0x
MTDR Matador Resources Co ▼ $7.12B 9.4x 1.2x
MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp ▼ $6.01B 14.5x 2.8x
MUR Murphy Oil Corp ▼ $5.98B 19.4x 1.1x
CRGY Crescent Energy Co ▶ $5.65B 107.4x 1.1x
CNX Cnx Resources Corp ▼ $5.31B 5.7x 1.1x
CRC California Resources Corp ▼ $4.54B – 1.3x
PARR Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ▶ $4.18B 5.1x 14.3x
CRK Comstock Resources Inc ▼ $4.11B 13.7x 1.6x
HESM Hess Midstream Lp ▲ $3.94B 10.5x –
BSM Black Stone Minerals, L.P. ▼ $3.40B 13.3x –
TALO Talos Energy Inc. ▼ $2.97B – 2.6x
GPOR Gulfport Energy Corp ▼ $2.94B 6.4x 1.6x
NOG Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. ▼ $2.89B – 1.5x
BKV Bkv Corp ▼ $2.51B 16.2x 1.1x
VET Vermilion Energy Inc. ▼ $2.02B 10.2x –
MNR Mach Natural Resources Lp ▼ $1.85B 12.2x –
KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners, Lp ▼ $1.83B 22.2x –
KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd. ▶ $1.66B – 3.1x
GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. ▶ $1.58B – –
DMLP Dorchester Minerals, L.P. ▼ $1.49B 17.1x –
AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. ▲ $1.23B – 1.1x
TBN Tamboran Resources Corp ▼ $1.10B – 1.4x
REPX Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. ▼ $1.08B 8.8x 1.7x
DEC Diversified Energy Co ▼ $1.05B – 1.1x
INR Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. ▼ $814M 4.7x 2.0x
OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. ▶ $805M 1.9x –
TTI Tetra Technologies Inc ▲ $788M 532.0x 1.9x
TXO Txo Partners, L.P. ▼ $787M – –
VTS Vitesse Energy, Inc. ▼ $768M 22.5x 1.2x
GPRK Geopark Ltd ▼ $761M 1.5x –
GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. ▼ $719M 24.8x 1.3x
EGY Vaalco Energy Inc /De/ ▶ $652M – 1.7x
SOC Sable Offshore Corp. ▼ $637M – 1.6x
WHK Whitehawk Minerals Corp. ▶ $597M – 2.1x
WTI W&T Offshore Inc ▶ $574M – –
SD Sandridge Energy Inc ▼ $529M 6.8x 1.0x
GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. ▼ $386M – 2.9x
REI Ring Energy, Inc. ▼ $357M – 0.5x

Where SSL sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
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News

Sasol Ltd (SSL) stock news

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FAQ

Sasol Ltd (SSL) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Sasol Ltd (SSL) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, SSL is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Sasol Ltd stock predictions?

For SSL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 6.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 20.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Sasol Ltd forecasts updated?

Sasol Ltd forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Sasol Ltd's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, SSL included, share the SEC industry code Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas. The largest are: Shell Plc (SHEL), Totalenergies Se (TTE), Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa (PBR), Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ), Eni Spa (E), Eog Resources Inc (EOG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.