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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Talos Energy Inc. (TALO) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 8.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $2.97B mid-cap · #33 of 60 peers
Summary

Talos Energy Inc. (TALO) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, TALO is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

Talos Energy Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.97B. It ranks number 33 by market capitalization among the 60 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For TALO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 8.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 10.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

TALO price chart and AI forecast

TALO
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How TALO ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Talos Energy Inc. (TALO) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricTALOIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $2.97B $4.02B 33/60
P/B Ratio 2.55x 1.59x 7/39
EPS $-2.41 – –
Book Value/Share $6.98 – –
Revenue/Share $11.86 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricTALOIndustry medianRank
Operating Margin -18.4% 22.6% 37/40
EBT Margin -36.4% 16.8% 44/48
Tax Rate 18.7% – –

Financial Health

MetricTALOIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.61x 0.95x 10/54
D/E Ratio 1.62x 1.01x 11/49
Interest Coverage 5.1x 7.6x 33/40
Working Capital $416M -$49M 7/54

Cash Flow

MetricTALOIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $791M $1.02B 33/54
OCF Growth YoY -33.9% 12.6% 47/49

Operational Efficiency

MetricTALOIndustry medianRank
Receivables Turnover 7.9x 9.0x 28/43
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.5x 0.5x 27/43
Days Sales Outstanding 46 days 41 days 16/43

Income Statement

MetricTALOIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.98B $2.18B 29/53
Operating Income -$251M $563M 41/43

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricTALOIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 167M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.10B35.8% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$578M18.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable$251M8.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.89B61.9% of assets
Short-term Debt$592M19.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

TALO quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Talos Energy Inc. (TALO) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Talos Energy Inc. (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
TALO Talos Energy Inc. ▶ $2.97B – 2.6x
SHEL Shell Plc ▼ $307.91B – –
TTE Totalenergies Se ▼ $201.55B 6.6x –
PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa ▶ $167.55B – –
CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd ▼ $111.99B 3.0x –
E Eni Spa ▼ $97.06B – –
EOG Eog Resources Inc ▶ $82.88B 12.3x 2.6x
OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ ▼ $62.36B 8.6x 1.5x
CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. ▶ $62.04B 9.3x –
FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. ▲ $57.11B 39.5x 1.5x
DVN Devon Energy Corp/De ▼ $55.80B 10.2x 3.6x
WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd ▼ $44.94B 4.6x –
EC Ecopetrol S.A. ▶ $36.80B – –
EQT Eqt Corp ▼ $33.97B 11.5x 2.3x
EXE Expand Energy Corp ▼ $22.24B 8.1x –
PR Permian Resources Corp ▶ $20.60B 12.7x 1.8x
OVV Ovintiv Inc. ▶ $19.10B 24.2x 1.7x
APA Apa Corp ▼ $17.22B 8.6x 2.5x
AR Antero Resources Corp ▼ $11.88B 9.3x 1.4x
SSL Sasol Ltd ▲ $10.62B 19.8x –
RRC Range Resources Corp ▼ $10.10B 10.8x 2.1x
SM Sm Energy Co ▶ $9.40B 7.8x 1.2x
CHRD Chord Energy Corp ▶ $8.45B 10.3x 1.0x
MTDR Matador Resources Co ▼ $7.12B 9.4x 1.2x
MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp ▶ $6.01B 14.5x 2.8x
MUR Murphy Oil Corp ▶ $5.98B 19.4x 1.1x
CRGY Crescent Energy Co ▲ $5.65B 107.4x 1.1x
CNX Cnx Resources Corp ▶ $5.31B 5.7x 1.1x
CRC California Resources Corp ▶ $4.54B – 1.3x
PARR Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ▲ $4.18B 5.1x 14.3x
CRK Comstock Resources Inc ▶ $4.11B 13.7x 1.6x
HESM Hess Midstream Lp ▲ $3.94B 10.5x –
BSM Black Stone Minerals, L.P. ▼ $3.40B 13.3x –
GPOR Gulfport Energy Corp ▼ $2.94B 6.4x 1.6x
NOG Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. ▶ $2.89B – 1.5x
BKV Bkv Corp ▼ $2.51B 16.2x 1.1x
VET Vermilion Energy Inc. ▼ $2.02B 10.2x –
MNR Mach Natural Resources Lp ▶ $1.85B 12.2x –
KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners, Lp ▼ $1.83B 22.2x –
KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd. ▲ $1.66B – 3.1x
GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. ▲ $1.58B – –
DMLP Dorchester Minerals, L.P. ▼ $1.49B 17.1x –
AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. ▲ $1.23B – 1.1x
TBN Tamboran Resources Corp ▶ $1.10B – 1.4x
REPX Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. ▶ $1.08B 8.8x 1.7x
DEC Diversified Energy Co ▶ $1.05B – 1.1x
INR Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. ▶ $814M 4.7x 2.0x
OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. ▲ $805M 1.9x –
TXO Txo Partners, L.P. ▶ $788M – –
TTI Tetra Technologies Inc ▶ $788M 532.0x 1.9x
VTS Vitesse Energy, Inc. ▶ $768M 22.5x 1.2x
GPRK Geopark Ltd ▶ $761M 1.5x –
GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. ▶ $719M 24.8x 1.3x
EGY Vaalco Energy Inc /De/ ▲ $652M – 1.7x
SOC Sable Offshore Corp. ▼ $637M – 1.6x
WHK Whitehawk Minerals Corp. ▼ $597M – 2.1x
WTI W&T Offshore Inc ▲ $574M – –
SD Sandridge Energy Inc ▼ $529M 6.8x 1.0x
GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. ▶ $386M – 2.9x
REI Ring Energy, Inc. ▶ $357M – 0.5x

Where TALO sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
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News

Talos Energy Inc. (TALO) stock news

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FAQ

Talos Energy Inc. (TALO) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Talos Energy Inc. (TALO) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, TALO is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Talos Energy Inc. stock predictions?

For TALO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 8.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 10.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Talos Energy Inc. forecasts updated?

Talos Energy Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Talos Energy Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, TALO included, share the SEC industry code Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas. The largest are: Shell Plc (SHEL), Totalenergies Se (TTE), Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa (PBR), Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ), Eni Spa (E), Eog Resources Inc (EOG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.