Valneva Se (VALN) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Valneva Se (VALN) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Valneva Se outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Valneva Se is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $505M. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For VALN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -5.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, VALN included.
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How VALN ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Valneva Se (VALN) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in EUR and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).
Valuation & Market
| Metric | VALN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $505M | 60/60 |
| EPS | $-1.43 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $5.94 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-1.48 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | VALN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | -52.0% | 43/53 |
| Gross Margin | 44.6% | 22/24 |
| Operating Margin | -35.4% | 20/40 |
| EBT Margin | -45.6% | 21/42 |
| Tax Rate | -2.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | VALN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.38x | 50/59 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.85x | 23/28 |
| D/E Ratio | 2.76x | 7/53 |
| Financial Leverage | 3.76x | 7/52 |
| Working Capital | $152M | 53/59 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | VALN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$114M | 28/57 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$127M | 26/50 |
| Capital Spending | -$13M | 32/50 |
| FCF/Sales | -25.0% | 19/32 |
| CapEx/Sales | 2.6% | 21/32 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | VALN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.12x | 3/36 |
| Receivables Turnover | 16.1x | 4/24 |
| Inventory Turnover | 5.0x | 6/23 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 3.8x | 21/37 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 23 days | 21/24 |
| Days Inventory | 74 days | 18/23 |
| Payables Period | 36 days | 19/26 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 60 days | 11/18 |
Income Statement
| Metric | VALN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $508M | 15/37 |
| Operating Income | -$180M | 26/54 |
| R&D Expense | $218M | 25/56 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $281M | 12/26 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | VALN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 86M | – |
| EPS Growth | -270.3% | 13/14 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from EUR)
| Total Current Assets | $261M | |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $129M | |
| Accounts Receivable | $33M | |
| Inventory | $59M | |
| Total Liabilities | $344M | |
| Short-term Debt | $81M |
VALN quarterly financials and insider trading
Valneva Se (VALN) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Valneva Se (Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| VALN Valneva Se | ▼ | $505M |
| AMGN Amgen Inc | ▼ | $233.82B |
| GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. | ▲ | $193.67B |
| MRNA Moderna, Inc. | ▲ | $87.04B |
| ARGX Argenx Se | ▼ | $50.69B |
| RVMD Revolution Medicines, Inc. | ▲ | $38.14B |
| BIIB Biogen Inc. | ▼ | $34.13B |
| BNTX Biontech Se | ▲ | $22.18B |
| EXEL Exelixis, Inc. | ▶ | $15.42B |
| HALO Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc. | ▶ | $13.83B |
| NBIX Neurocrine Biosciences Inc | ▲ | $13.79B |
| TECH Bio-Techne Corp | ▼ | $11.38B |
| QGEN Qiagen N.V. | ▶ | $10.01B |
| RGEN Repligen Corp | ▲ | $9.90B |
| IBRX Immunitybio, Inc. | ▲ | $9.73B |
| PCVX Vaxcyte, Inc. | ▲ | $9.47B |
| KRYS Krystal Biotech, Inc. | ▶ | $9.37B |
| KYMR Kymera Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $8.71B |
| TWST Twist Bioscience Corp | ▲ | $8.32B |
| IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $6.17B |
| IMVT Immunovant, Inc. | ▲ | $5.52B |
| KOD Kodiak Sciences Inc. | ▲ | $5.39B |
| CGON Cg Oncology, Inc. | ▲ | $5.31B |
| SRRK Scholar Rock Holding Corp | ▲ | $4.86B |
| CRSP Crispr Therapeutics Ag | ▲ | $4.76B |
| ADPT Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp | ▲ | $3.83B |
| RLAY Relay Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $3.57B |
| TARS Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | ▲ | $2.99B |
| DNLI Denali Therapeutics Inc. | ▼ | $2.81B |
| BEAM Beam Therapeutics Inc. | ▲ | $2.42B |
| ADMA Adma Biologics, Inc. | ▼ | $2.39B |
| LIFE Atyr Pharma Inc | ▲ | $2.37B |
| RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | ▲ | $2.07B |
| VCEL Vericel Corp | ▶ | $2.05B |
| BCRX Biocryst Pharmaceuticals Inc | ▲ | $1.99B |
| NVAX Novavax Inc | ▲ | $1.86B |
| ALVO Alvotech | ▲ | $1.78B |
| MESO Mesoblast Ltd | ▶ | $1.70B |
| VIR Vir Biotechnology, Inc. | ▲ | $1.69B |
| MAZE Maze Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $1.53B |
| IMCR Immunocore Holdings Plc | ▶ | $1.51B |
| COAG Hemab Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $1.40B |
| TSHA Taysha Gene Therapies, Inc. | ▲ | $1.18B |
| VOR Vor Biopharma Inc. | ▲ | $1.07B |
| REPL Replimune Group, Inc. | ▲ | $1.02B |
| JATT Zura Bio Ltd | ▶ | $994M |
| IMTX Immatics N.V. | ▲ | $902M |
| MGTX Meiragtx Holdings Plc | ▶ | $891M |
| SLBT Sl Science Holding Ltd | ▶ | $884M |
| CGEM Cullinan Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $832M |
| GLUE Monte Rosa Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $831M |
| ODTX Odyssey Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $825M |
| DNA Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $692M |
| SANA Sana Biotechnology, Inc. | ▲ | $680M |
| FDMT 4d Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $670M |
| AURA Aura Biosciences, Inc. | ▲ | $633M |
| PRME Prime Medicine, Inc. | ▲ | $629M |
| CADL Candel Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $627M |
| SLDB Solid Biosciences Inc. | ▲ | $593M |
| DBVT Dbv Technologies S.A. | ▶ | $536M |
Where VALN sits on the market map
Valneva Se (VALN) stock news
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Valneva Se (VALN) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Valneva Se (VALN) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Valneva Se outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Valneva Se stock predictions?
For VALN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -5.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Valneva Se forecasts updated?
Valneva Se forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Valneva Se's industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, VALN included, share the SEC industry code Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances). The largest are: Amgen Inc (AMGN), Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD), Moderna, Inc. (MRNA), Argenx Se (ARGX), Revolution Medicines, Inc. (RVMD), Biogen Inc. (BIIB).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.