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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Vericel Corp (VCEL) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 40.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $2.05B mid-cap · #33 of 60 peers
Summary

Vericel Corp (VCEL) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, VCEL is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

Vericel Corp is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.05B. It ranks number 33 by market capitalization among the 60 Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For VCEL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 40.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

VCEL price chart and AI forecast

VCEL
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How VCEL ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Vericel Corp (VCEL) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricVCELIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $2.05B $2.38B 33/60
P/E Ratio 108.45x 26.88x 2/15
P/B Ratio 5.55x 4.69x 20/49
EPS $0.37 – –
Book Value/Share $7.23 – –
Revenue/Share $5.98 – –
FCF/Share $1.20 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricVCELIndustry medianRank
ROE 6.5% -32.1% 13/47
ROA 4.8% -24.2% 12/50
ROIC 4.0% -31.7% 13/53
Gross Margin 74.6% 75.0% 13/24
Operating Margin 6.0% -46.0% 13/40
Net Margin 7.9% -31.7% 12/37
EBT Margin 8.0% -52.3% 12/42

Financial Health

MetricVCELIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 5.04x 5.23x 33/59
Quick Ratio 4.69x 3.33x 8/28
D/E Ratio 0.36x 0.39x 29/53
Financial Leverage 1.36x 1.40x 28/52
Interest Coverage 45.8x -17.0x 3/37
Working Capital $212M $450M 47/59

Cash Flow

MetricVCELIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $70M -$132M 16/57
Free Cash Flow $62M -$117M 14/50
Capital Spending -$8M -$7M 27/50
OCF Growth YoY 47.5% 38.4% 6/16
FCF/Sales 20.1% -8.7% 12/32
CapEx/Sales 2.6% 3.6% 22/32

Operational Efficiency

MetricVCELIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.61x 0.36x 13/36
Receivables Turnover 4.0x 5.8x 15/24
Inventory Turnover 4.2x 2.8x 7/23
Fixed Assets Turnover 2.9x 4.0x 23/37
Days Sales Outstanding 90 days 63 days 10/24
Days Inventory 86 days 133 days 17/23
Payables Period 97 days 63 days 8/26
Cash Conversion Cycle 80 days 82 days 10/18

Income Statement

MetricVCELIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $306M $414M 23/37
Operating Income $18M -$189M 14/54
Net Income $24M -$170M 14/50
R&D Expense $29M $204M 55/56
SG&A Expense $181M $296M 16/22
Cost of Goods Sold $78M $194M 18/26

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricVCELIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 51M – –
Net Income Growth 240.8% 12.4% 1/12
EPS Growth 27.6% 17.6% 7/14

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$265M52.6% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$125M24.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable$76M15.0% of assets
Inventory$18M3.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$133M26.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$32M6.3% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

VCEL quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)

Vericel Corp (VCEL) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Vericel Corp (Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
VCEL Vericel Corp ▶ $2.05B 108.5x 5.6x
AMGN Amgen Inc ▼ $233.82B 26.9x 20.0x
GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. ▲ $193.67B – 16.4x
MRNA Moderna, Inc. ▲ $87.04B – 12.9x
ARGX Argenx Se ▼ $50.69B 21.5x –
RVMD Revolution Medicines, Inc. ▲ $38.14B – 14.6x
BIIB Biogen Inc. ▼ $34.13B 25.0x 1.8x
BNTX Biontech Se ▲ $22.18B 2.3x –
EXEL Exelixis, Inc. ▶ $15.42B 17.9x 8.4x
HALO Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc. ▶ $13.83B 28.0x 96.3x
NBIX Neurocrine Biosciences Inc ▲ $13.79B 19.6x 3.7x
TECH Bio-Techne Corp ▼ $11.38B 62.6x 5.4x
QGEN Qiagen N.V. ▶ $10.01B 32.7x 2.7x
RGEN Repligen Corp ▲ $9.90B 254.2x 4.7x
IBRX Immunitybio, Inc. ▲ $9.73B – –
PCVX Vaxcyte, Inc. ▲ $9.47B – 3.4x
KRYS Krystal Biotech, Inc. ▶ $9.37B 39.7x 6.9x
KYMR Kymera Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $8.71B – 5.8x
TWST Twist Bioscience Corp ▲ $8.32B – 18.7x
IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. ▲ $6.17B – 8.4x
IMVT Immunovant, Inc. ▲ $5.52B – 7.5x
KOD Kodiak Sciences Inc. ▲ $5.39B – 88.2x
CGON Cg Oncology, Inc. ▲ $5.31B – 5.2x
SRRK Scholar Rock Holding Corp ▲ $4.86B – 19.2x
CRSP Crispr Therapeutics Ag ▲ $4.76B – 2.7x
ADPT Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp ▲ $3.83B – 26.8x
RLAY Relay Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $3.57B – 4.0x
TARS Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▲ $2.99B – 8.6x
DNLI Denali Therapeutics Inc. ▼ $2.81B – 3.4x
BEAM Beam Therapeutics Inc. ▲ $2.42B 93.9x 2.3x
ADMA Adma Biologics, Inc. ▼ $2.39B 17.2x 5.9x
LIFE Atyr Pharma Inc ▲ $2.37B – 48.6x
RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▲ $2.07B – 2.3x
BCRX Biocryst Pharmaceuticals Inc ▲ $1.99B – –
NVAX Novavax Inc ▲ $1.86B – –
ALVO Alvotech ▲ $1.78B – –
MESO Mesoblast Ltd ▶ $1.70B – –
VIR Vir Biotechnology, Inc. ▲ $1.69B – 1.7x
MAZE Maze Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $1.53B – 3.4x
IMCR Immunocore Holdings Plc ▶ $1.51B – 3.6x
COAG Hemab Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. ▶ $1.40B – 3.1x
TSHA Taysha Gene Therapies, Inc. ▲ $1.18B – 3.1x
VOR Vor Biopharma Inc. ▲ $1.07B – –
REPL Replimune Group, Inc. ▲ $1.02B – 9.7x
JATT Zura Bio Ltd ▶ $994M – 5.0x
IMTX Immatics N.V. ▲ $902M – –
MGTX Meiragtx Holdings Plc ▶ $891M 12.1x 4.1x
SLBT Sl Science Holding Ltd ▶ $873M – –
CGEM Cullinan Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $832M – 2.6x
GLUE Monte Rosa Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $831M – 1.7x
ODTX Odyssey Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $825M – 2.0x
DNA Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. ▲ $692M – 1.7x
SANA Sana Biotechnology, Inc. ▲ $680M – 4.4x
FDMT 4d Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $670M – 1.6x
AURA Aura Biosciences, Inc. ▲ $633M – 2.0x
PRME Prime Medicine, Inc. ▲ $629M – 15.8x
CADL Candel Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $627M – 5.0x
SLDB Solid Biosciences Inc. ▲ $593M – 1.6x
DBVT Dbv Technologies S.A. ▶ $536M – 3.2x
VALN Valneva Se ▼ $521M – –

Where VCEL sits on the market map

Life Sciences · Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
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News

Vericel Corp (VCEL) stock news

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FAQ

Vericel Corp (VCEL) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Vericel Corp (VCEL) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, VCEL is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Vericel Corp stock predictions?

For VCEL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 40.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Vericel Corp forecasts updated?

Vericel Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Vericel Corp's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, VCEL included, share the SEC industry code Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances). The largest are: Amgen Inc (AMGN), Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD), Moderna, Inc. (MRNA), Argenx Se (ARGX), Revolution Medicines, Inc. (RVMD), Biogen Inc. (BIIB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.